TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13072921
Played Sep 4Finished
Dmytro Prylepa
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
611711116118911
Serhii Maliuk
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:38 and never touched — 60.1% is still 60.1%
Graded at full timeDmytro Prylepa to win
60.1%
60.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingDmytro Prylepa above · Serhii Maliuk below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 91 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Dmytro Prylepa at 60.1%
91 points played in total.
H2H Dmytro Prylepa 23–15 Serhii Maliuk Serhii Maliuk has won 15 of their 38 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:38What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Prylepa
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
23-15 in 38
Prylepa
Wrong
gap of 8 in 38, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Prylepa 1522 vs Maliuk 1481
Prylepa
Wrong
both rated, 41 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Prylepa 40% vs Maliuk 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Prylepa 40% vs Maliuk 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Prylepa -1 · Maliuk +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Prylepa)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Prylepa form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPrylepa 1.57 / Maliuk 2.25
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Prylepa)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13072921
Prylepa1.57
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite65% won 136 of 211
Up 2–0, closes it97% 69 of 71
Up 1–0, closes it86% 113 of 131
Maliuk2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog41% won 86 of 208
Down 0–1, comes back17% 20 of 117
Down 0–2, comes back9% 6 of 66
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePrylepa7wins
AwayMaliuk3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderPrylepa leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePrylepa85.7%6 of 7
AwayMaliuk66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Prylepa7Maliuk3n = 10Prylepa took 7 of 10
S2Prylepa5Maliuk5n = 10split evenly
S3Prylepa5Maliuk5n = 10split evenly
S4Prylepa4Maliuk3n = 7Prylepa took 4 of 7
S5Prylepa3Maliuk1n = 4Prylepa took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricPrylepaMaliukP − MBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match38.237.8+0.4per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPrylepaMaliukBasisWin rate · lifetime397 / 801 vs 242 / 48749.6%49.7%397 / 801 vs 242 / 487Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PrylepaPrylepa 1.57/Maliuk 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.1%
Prylepa · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Maliuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 4 · 11:00D. Prylepa—67111192S. Maliuk—111168113
WAug 20 · 07:00D. Prylepa—51111123S. Maliuk—1199101
WAug 18 · 08:30D. Prylepa—115119113S. Maliuk—71151192
LAug 13 · 11:00D. Prylepa—6590S. Maliuk—1111113
WAug 12 · 08:30D. Prylepa—1110511113S. Maliuk—91211882
WAug 5 · 05:00D. Prylepa—1111143S. Maliuk—77120
WJul 29 · 09:30D. Prylepa—11115113S. Maliuk—981171
LJul 21 · 10:30D. Prylepa—116661S. Maliuk—61111113
WJul 16 · 07:00D. Prylepa—111169113S. Maliuk—78111192
WJul 14 · 10:30D. Prylepa—1111113S. Maliuk—7870
D. Prylepa10
LSep 7 · 06:00D. Prylepa1.61115551S. Maliuk2.2091111113LSep 7 · 04:30D. Prylepa3.00119471S. Chuhai1.3691111113WSep 6 · 11:00D. Prylepa1.3381111113O. Lyman3.25117881WSep 6 · 09:00V. Tatarnykov1.5011116762D. Prylepa2.50791111113LSep 6 · 08:00D. Prylepa2.50111301162O. Syksa1.50215116113LSep 6 · 07:00M. Hubenko1.531211113D. Prylepa2.3810570LSep 6 · 05:30D. Prylepa2.6331141172S. Aristarkhov1.44118117113LSep 4 · 09:00O. Syksa1.4411117123D. Prylepa2.638911101WSep 4 · 08:00D. Prylepa1.3611611113O. Lyman3.00711651LSep 4 · 07:00M. Hubenko1.531181110133D. Prylepa2.38911512112
S. Maliuk10
WSep 7 · 06:00D. Prylepa1.61115551S. Maliuk2.2091111113LSep 7 · 05:00O. Syksa1.611110911113S. Maliuk2.2051211972WSep 4 · 10:00O. Lyman2.3851080S. Maliuk1.531112113LSep 4 · 08:30M. Hubenko1.531111113S. Maliuk2.388690LSep 4 · 06:30O. Kurylenko1.7351111113S. Maliuk2.00117781WSep 4 · 04:30O. Syksa1.57117121162S. Maliuk2.25811149113LSep 3 · 10:30O. Ziakun1.736121014113S. Maliuk2.001110121282LSep 3 · 09:30S. Maliuk2.008780O. Kurylenko1.731111113LSep 3 · 08:30S. Maliuk1.8311711462D. Kuzmenko1.83511511113LSep 3 · 07:00S. Maliuk1.531110671O. Lyman2.3861211113
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