TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13089242
Played Sep 7Finished
Oleksandr Syksa
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1151012911119117
Serhii Maliuk
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:43 and never touched — 58.9% is still 58.9%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Syksa to win
58.9%
58.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Syksa above · Serhii Maliuk below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 96 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Oleksandr Syksa at 58.9%
96 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Syksa 42–23 Serhii Maliuk Serhii Maliuk has won 23 of their 65 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:43What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Syksa
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
42-23 in 65
Syksa
Correct
gap of 19 in 65, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Syksa 1604 vs Maliuk 1473
Syksa
Correct
both rated, 131 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Syksa 60% vs Maliuk 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Syksa 50% vs Maliuk 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Syksa +3 · Maliuk +2
Syksa
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Syksa)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Maliuk form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSyksa 1.61 / Maliuk 2.20
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Syksa)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13089242
Syksa1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite69% won 229 of 333
Up 2–0, closes it94% 92 of 98
Up 1–0, closes it82% 153 of 187
Maliuk2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog42% won 88 of 212
Down 0–1, comes back18% 21 of 119
Down 0–2, comes back9% 6 of 67
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSyksa5wins
AwayMaliuk5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSyksa100%4 of 4
AwayMaliuk83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Syksa4Maliuk6n = 10Maliuk took 6 of 10
S2Syksa6Maliuk4n = 10Syksa took 6 of 10
S3Syksa3Maliuk7n = 10Maliuk took 7 of 10
S4Syksa5Maliuk2n = 7Syksa took 5 of 7
S5Syksa2Maliuk2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSyksaMaliukS − MBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match38.238.8−0.6per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSyksaMaliukBasisWin rate · lifetime576 / 1102 vs 239 / 48352.3%49.5%576 / 1102 vs 239 / 483Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.237.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SyksaSyksa 1.61/Maliuk 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.9%
Syksa · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Syksa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 27 · 08:30O. Syksa—51111101S. Maliuk—11133123
LAug 26 · 09:30O. Syksa—7970S. Maliuk—1111113
WAug 20 · 05:30O. Syksa—11117113S. Maliuk—761151
WAug 18 · 10:00O. Syksa—11117113S. Maliuk—961181
LAug 14 · 11:30O. Syksa—9870S. Maliuk—1111113
WAug 13 · 08:30O. Syksa—1112113S. Maliuk—81090
WAug 12 · 10:00O. Syksa—611135133S. Maliuk—1171111112
LAug 6 · 08:30O. Syksa—611151182S. Maliuk—113178113
LAug 4 · 11:00O. Syksa—41141182S. Maliuk—118118113
WJul 30 · 08:30O. Syksa—116613113S. Maliuk—511111152
O. Syksa10
WSep 7 · 10:30D. Prylepa2.5051090O. Syksa1.501112113LSep 7 · 09:30O. Syksa1.617711101O. Kurylenko2.2011117123LSep 7 · 08:30O. Syksa4.00471181S. Chuhai1.2211116113WSep 7 · 07:00O. Syksa1.6711911113D. Kuzmenko2.10911861WSep 6 · 11:30S. Aristarkhov1.6111971142O. Syksa2.2031111373WSep 6 · 10:00O. Syksa1.2011136113O. Lyman4.338111141WSep 6 · 08:00D. Prylepa2.50111301162O. Syksa1.50215116113LSep 6 · 06:00V. Tatarnykov1.5311118113O. Syksa2.38881151LSep 6 · 05:00M. Hubenko1.5711911133O. Syksa2.256115111LSep 4 · 10:30O. Syksa2.50611691M. Hubenko1.5011611113
S. Maliuk10
LSep 8 · 07:30O. Ziakun1.8311811113S. Maliuk1.83711881WSep 8 · 06:30S. Maliuk1.611111123O. Lyman2.2087100WSep 8 · 05:30O. Kurylenko1.7311114792S. Maliuk2.00751111113WSep 7 · 11:30O. Kurylenko1.409620S. Maliuk2.751111113LSep 7 · 10:00S. Maliuk5.507480S. Chuhai1.131111113LSep 7 · 08:00D. Kuzmenko1.831111113S. Maliuk1.839440WSep 7 · 06:00D. Prylepa1.61115551S. Maliuk2.2091111113WSep 4 · 11:00D. Prylepa1.5767111192S. Maliuk2.25111168113WSep 4 · 10:00O. Lyman2.3851080S. Maliuk1.531112113LSep 4 · 08:30M. Hubenko1.531111113S. Maliuk2.388690
Upcoming Matches
O. Syksa
Nothing scheduled
S. Maliuk
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