TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13088601
Played Sep 7Finished
Oleh Kurylenko
Home
1.40
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911611211––––
Serhii Maliuk
Away
2.75
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:43 and never touched — 54.1% is still 54.1%
Graded at full timeOleh Kurylenko to win
54.1%
54.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongpick shipped
How it is goingOleh Kurylenko above · Serhii Maliuk below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 2-11
Point 50 set 3, 2-11 — our read held Oleh Kurylenko at 54.1%
50 points played in total.
H2H Oleh Kurylenko 52–39 Serhii Maliuk Serhii Maliuk has won 39 of their 91 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 17:43What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Kurylenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
52-39 in 91
Kurylenko
Wrong
gap of 13 in 91, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kurylenko 1511 vs Maliuk 1470
Kurylenko
Wrong
both rated, 41 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kurylenko 40% vs Maliuk 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kurylenko 50% vs Maliuk 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kurylenko +1 · Maliuk -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Kurylenko) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kurylenko form (40%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKurylenko 1.40 / Maliuk 2.75
Signal prob.67% / 33%
Edge (Kurylenko)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13088601
Kurylenko1.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite62% won 159 of 258
Up 2–0, closes it91% 74 of 81
Up 1–0, closes it81% 111 of 137
Maliuk2.75
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog42% won 88 of 212
Down 0–1, comes back18% 21 of 119
Down 0–2, comes back9% 6 of 67
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKurylenko6wins
AwayMaliuk4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKurylenko leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKurylenko60%3 of 5
AwayMaliuk40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kurylenko5Maliuk5n = 10split evenly
S2Kurylenko5Maliuk5n = 10split evenly
S3Kurylenko5Maliuk5n = 10split evenly
S4Kurylenko2Maliuk4n = 6Maliuk took 4 of 6
S5Kurylenko3Maliuk0n = 3Kurylenko took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKurylenkoMaliukK − MBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match36.336.1+0.2per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKurylenkoMaliukBasisWin rate · lifetime494 / 992 vs 240 / 48649.8%49.4%494 / 992 vs 240 / 486Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.137.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KurylenkoKurylenko 1.40/Maliuk 2.75
Miss
What we said
66.7%
Kurylenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Maliuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 4 · 06:30O. Kurylenko—51111113S. Maliuk—117781
WSep 3 · 09:30O. Kurylenko—1111113S. Maliuk—8780
LAug 27 · 07:00O. Kurylenko—11118111S. Maliuk—91311133
WAug 25 · 08:00O. Kurylenko—111187113S. Maliuk—97111152
WAug 19 · 06:30O. Kurylenko—612118113S. Maliuk—111031192
LAug 18 · 11:00O. Kurylenko—118651S. Maliuk—41111113
WAug 13 · 06:30O. Kurylenko—1111113S. Maliuk—9740
LAug 5 · 08:00O. Kurylenko—4680S. Maliuk—1111113
LAug 4 · 06:30O. Kurylenko—61170S. Maliuk—1113113
WJul 30 · 06:30O. Kurylenko—891111113S. Maliuk—11118892
O. Kurylenko10
WSep 7 · 09:30O. Syksa1.617711101O. Kurylenko2.2011117123LSep 7 · 07:30D. Prylepa1.619111011113O. Kurylenko2.2011412842LSep 7 · 06:30O. Kurylenko4.335580S. Chuhai1.201111113WSep 7 · 05:30D. Kuzmenko2.005670O. Kurylenko1.731111113LSep 4 · 11:30O. Kurylenko1.534860O. Lyman2.381111113LSep 4 · 09:30M. Hubenko1.361211118123O. Kurylenko3.00144511102WSep 4 · 07:30O. Syksa1.6741181182O. Kurylenko2.10116118113WSep 4 · 06:30O. Kurylenko1.7351111113S. Maliuk2.00117781WSep 4 · 05:30D. Prylepa1.61311951O. Kurylenko2.2011911113LSep 3 · 11:30O. Kurylenko1.4429140S. Miroshnychenko2.631111163
S. Maliuk10
LSep 7 · 10:00S. Maliuk5.507480S. Chuhai1.131111113LSep 7 · 08:00D. Kuzmenko1.831111113S. Maliuk1.839440WSep 7 · 06:00D. Prylepa1.61115551S. Maliuk2.2091111113LSep 7 · 05:00O. Syksa1.611110911113S. Maliuk2.2051211972WSep 4 · 11:00D. Prylepa1.5767111192S. Maliuk2.25111168113WSep 4 · 10:00O. Lyman2.3851080S. Maliuk1.531112113LSep 4 · 08:30M. Hubenko1.531111113S. Maliuk2.388690LSep 4 · 06:30O. Kurylenko1.7351111113S. Maliuk2.00117781WSep 4 · 04:30O. Syksa1.57117121162S. Maliuk2.25811149113LSep 3 · 10:30O. Ziakun1.736121014113S. Maliuk2.001110121282
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