TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13072871
Played Sep 4Finished
Maksym Hubenko
Home
1.36
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 5
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
12141141158111210
Oleh Kurylenko
Away
3.00
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:28 and never touched — 73.2% is still 73.2%
Graded at full timeMaksym Hubenko to win
73.2%
73.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMaksym Hubenko above · Oleh Kurylenko below
Set 1 · 12-14
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 12-10
Point 98 set 5, 12-10 — our read held Maksym Hubenko at 73.2%
98 points played in total.
H2H Maksym Hubenko 70–20 Oleh Kurylenko Oleh Kurylenko has won 20 of their 90 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:28What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Hubenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
70-20 in 90
Hubenko
Correct
gap of 50 in 90, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hubenko 1707 vs Kurylenko 1522
Hubenko
Correct
both rated, 185 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hubenko 100% vs Kurylenko 80%
Hubenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hubenko 80% vs Kurylenko 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hubenko +5 · Kurylenko +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Hubenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kurylenko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (33%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHubenko 1.36 / Kurylenko 3.00
Signal prob.73% / 27%
Edge (Hubenko)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13072871
Hubenko1.36
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite73% won 235 of 320
Up 2–0, closes it94% 118 of 125
Up 1–0, closes it84% 163 of 195
Kurylenko3.00
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog31% won 69 of 225
Down 0–1, comes back16% 23 of 144
Down 0–2, comes back6% 5 of 85
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHubenko9wins
AwayKurylenko1wins
3 of 10 to a deciderHubenko leads 9–1, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHubenko100%5 of 5
AwayKurylenko20%1 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hubenko5Kurylenko5n = 10split evenly
S2Hubenko8Kurylenko2n = 10Hubenko took 8 of 10
S3Hubenko8Kurylenko2n = 10Hubenko took 8 of 10
S4Hubenko4Kurylenko2n = 6Hubenko took 4 of 6
S5Hubenko3Kurylenko0n = 3Hubenko took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricHubenkoKurylenkoH − KBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match41.534.8+6.7per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHubenkoKurylenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime539 / 1018 vs 494 / 99153%49.9%539 / 1018 vs 494 / 991Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.137.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HubenkoHubenko 1.36/Kurylenko 3.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
73.2%
Hubenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Hubenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 2 · 07:00M. Hubenko—811126113O. Kurylenko—119101162
WAug 31 · 08:00M. Hubenko—1211143O. Kurylenko—104120
WAug 25 · 07:00M. Hubenko—791111113O. Kurylenko—11116992
WAug 21 · 07:00M. Hubenko—1311113O. Kurylenko—11980
LAug 19 · 09:30M. Hubenko—691391O. Kurylenko—111111113
WAug 17 · 07:00M. Hubenko—1111113O. Kurylenko—9960
WAug 13 · 11:30M. Hubenko—71411113O. Kurylenko—1112661
WAug 11 · 07:00M. Hubenko—9111111113O. Kurylenko—11413582
WAug 5 · 09:00M. Hubenko—12118153O. Kurylenko—10311131
WAug 4 · 09:30M. Hubenko—1211113O. Kurylenko—10550
M. Hubenko10
LSep 6 · 10:30V. Tatarnykov2.00812114133M. Hubenko1.731110911112WSep 6 · 09:30M. Hubenko1.831113113S. Aristarkhov1.8361160WSep 6 · 08:30M. Hubenko1.3011311113O. Lyman3.40411791WSep 6 · 07:00M. Hubenko1.531211113D. Prylepa2.3810570WSep 6 · 05:00M. Hubenko1.5711911133O. Syksa2.256115111LSep 5 · 17:10M. Hubenko1.83121160S. Aristarkhov1.831413113WSep 5 · 16:00M. Hubenko1.28138611133D. Kuzmenko3.501111119112WSep 5 · 15:00A. Vasylets2.38651171M. Hubenko1.5311118103WSep 5 · 14:00V. Tatarnykov2.0010960M. Hubenko1.731211113LSep 5 · 12:30S. Aristarkhov1.836111112113M. Hubenko1.8311491442
O. Kurylenko10
LSep 7 · 07:30D. Prylepa1.619111011113O. Kurylenko2.2011412842LSep 7 · 06:30O. Kurylenko4.335580S. Chuhai1.201111113WSep 7 · 05:30D. Kuzmenko2.005670O. Kurylenko1.731111113LSep 4 · 11:30O. Kurylenko1.534860O. Lyman2.381111113WSep 4 · 07:30O. Syksa1.6741181182O. Kurylenko2.10116118113WSep 4 · 06:30O. Kurylenko1.7351111113S. Maliuk2.00117781WSep 4 · 05:30D. Prylepa1.61311951O. Kurylenko2.2011911113LSep 3 · 11:30O. Kurylenko1.4429140S. Miroshnychenko2.631111163WSep 3 · 09:30S. Maliuk2.008780O. Kurylenko1.731111113WSep 3 · 07:30O. Ziakun2.00118771O. Kurylenko1.7381111113
Upcoming Matches
M. Hubenko
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O. Kurylenko
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