TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13072925
Played Sep 4Finished
Dmytro Prylepa
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
311119911511––
Oleh Kurylenko
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:40 and never touched — 58.9% is still 58.9%
Graded at full timeDmytro Prylepa to win
58.9%
58.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingDmytro Prylepa above · Oleh Kurylenko below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 70 set 4, 5-11 — our read held Dmytro Prylepa at 58.9%
70 points played in total.
H2H Dmytro Prylepa 72–43 Oleh Kurylenko Oleh Kurylenko has won 43 of their 115 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:40What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Prylepa
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
72-43 in 115
Prylepa
Wrong
gap of 29 in 115, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Prylepa 1546 vs Kurylenko 1497
Prylepa
Wrong
both rated, 49 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Prylepa 60% vs Kurylenko 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Prylepa 40% vs Kurylenko 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Prylepa +3 · Kurylenko -1
Prylepa
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Prylepa)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kurylenko form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPrylepa 1.61 / Kurylenko 2.20
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Prylepa)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13072925
Prylepa1.61
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite65% won 136 of 211
Up 2–0, closes it97% 69 of 71
Up 1–0, closes it86% 113 of 131
Kurylenko2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog31% won 69 of 225
Down 0–1, comes back16% 23 of 144
Down 0–2, comes back6% 5 of 85
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePrylepa5wins
AwayKurylenko5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePrylepa80%4 of 5
AwayKurylenko80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Prylepa5Kurylenko5n = 10split evenly
S2Prylepa5Kurylenko5n = 10split evenly
S3Prylepa5Kurylenko5n = 10split evenly
S4Prylepa4Kurylenko3n = 7Prylepa took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricPrylepaKurylenkoP − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match37.336.5+0.8per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPrylepaKurylenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime396 / 797 vs 492 / 98949.7%49.8%396 / 797 vs 492 / 989Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.437.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PrylepaPrylepa 1.61/Kurylenko 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.9%
Prylepa · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kurylenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 31 · 05:00D. Prylepa—1017581O. Kurylenko—121511113
WAug 24 · 09:30D. Prylepa—11119113O. Kurylenko—881151
WAug 18 · 07:00D. Prylepa—111012113O. Kurylenko—7121081
WAug 13 · 05:30D. Prylepa—1111113O. Kurylenko—5880
WAug 5 · 07:00D. Prylepa—1012511113O. Kurylenko—121011362
LAug 3 · 11:00D. Prylepa—73111182O. Kurylenko—111158113
LJul 29 · 07:00D. Prylepa—1389101O. Kurylenko—111111123
WJul 27 · 09:30D. Prylepa—1111113O. Kurylenko—5760
LJul 23 · 05:30D. Prylepa—551191O. Kurylenko—11119113
LJul 21 · 09:30D. Prylepa—7870O. Kurylenko—1111113
D. Prylepa10
WSep 7 · 07:30D. Prylepa1.619111011113O. Kurylenko2.2011412842LSep 7 · 06:00D. Prylepa1.61115551S. Maliuk2.2091111113LSep 7 · 04:30D. Prylepa3.00119471S. Chuhai1.3691111113WSep 6 · 11:00D. Prylepa1.3381111113O. Lyman3.25117881WSep 6 · 09:00V. Tatarnykov1.5011116762D. Prylepa2.50791111113LSep 6 · 08:00D. Prylepa2.50111301162O. Syksa1.50215116113LSep 6 · 07:00M. Hubenko1.531211113D. Prylepa2.3810570LSep 6 · 05:30D. Prylepa2.6331141172S. Aristarkhov1.44118117113LSep 4 · 11:00D. Prylepa1.5767111192S. Maliuk2.25111168113LSep 4 · 09:00O. Syksa1.4411117123D. Prylepa2.638911101
O. Kurylenko10
LSep 7 · 07:30D. Prylepa1.619111011113O. Kurylenko2.2011412842LSep 7 · 06:30O. Kurylenko4.335580S. Chuhai1.201111113WSep 7 · 05:30D. Kuzmenko2.005670O. Kurylenko1.731111113LSep 4 · 11:30O. Kurylenko1.534860O. Lyman2.381111113LSep 4 · 09:30M. Hubenko1.361211118123O. Kurylenko3.00144511102WSep 4 · 07:30O. Syksa1.6741181182O. Kurylenko2.10116118113WSep 4 · 06:30O. Kurylenko1.7351111113S. Maliuk2.00117781LSep 3 · 11:30O. Kurylenko1.4429140S. Miroshnychenko2.631111163WSep 3 · 09:30S. Maliuk2.008780O. Kurylenko1.731111113WSep 3 · 07:30O. Ziakun2.00118771O. Kurylenko1.7381111113
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