TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13089376
Played Sep 7Finished
Serhii Maliuk
Home
5.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711411811––––
Serhii Chuhai
Away
1.13
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:11 and never touched — 87.4% is still 87.4%
Graded at full timeSerhii Chuhai to win
87.4%
87.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSerhii Maliuk above · Serhii Chuhai below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 52 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Serhii Chuhai at 87.4%
52 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Maliuk 0–9 Serhii Chuhai Serhii Maliuk has won 0 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:11What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.13 (83%)
Chuhai
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-9 in 9
Chuhai
Correct
gap of 9 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Maliuk 1470 vs Chuhai 1739
Chuhai
Correct
both rated, 270 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Maliuk 60% vs Chuhai 80%
Chuhai
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Maliuk 40% vs Chuhai 60%
Chuhai
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Maliuk -1 · Chuhai +4
Chuhai
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 87% — Strong (leans Chuhai)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Maliuk form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (18%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMaliuk 5.50 / Chuhai 1.13
Signal prob.13% / 87%
Edge (Chuhai)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13089376
Maliuk5.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog42% won 88 of 212
Down 0–1, comes back18% 21 of 119
Down 0–2, comes back9% 6 of 67
Chuhai1.13
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite73% won 180 of 246
Up 2–0, closes it94% 98 of 104
Up 1–0, closes it86% 134 of 156
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeMaliuk0wins
AwayChuhai9wins
Chuhai leads 9–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMaliukn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayChuhai100%8 of 8
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Maliuk1Chuhai8n = 9Chuhai took 8 of 9
S2Maliuk2Chuhai7n = 9Chuhai took 7 of 9
S3Maliuk3Chuhai6n = 9Chuhai took 6 of 9
S4Maliuk0Chuhai6n = 6Chuhai took 6 of 6
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away667%
0–3Straight, away333%
These 9 meetings
MetricMaliukChuhaiM − CBasisWins09−9in 9 meetingsFirst set18−7of 9Avg pointsper match28.439.2−10.8per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMaliukChuhaiBasisWin rate · lifetime240 / 486 vs 486 / 96049.4%50.6%240 / 486 vs 486 / 960Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.437.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChuhaiMaliuk 5.50/Chuhai 1.13
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
87.4%
Chuhai · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Chuhai won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LSep 7 · 10:00S. Maliuk—7480S. Chuhai—1111113
LAug 14 · 08:00S. Maliuk—411751S. Chuhai—11811113
LJul 20 · 08:30S. Maliuk—127351S. Chuhai—101111113
LJul 13 · 05:30S. Maliuk—1212861S. Chuhai—141011113
LJul 9 · 05:00S. Maliuk—861161S. Chuhai—11113113
LJun 11 · 06:30S. Maliuk—791131S. Chuhai—11116113
LJun 3 · 10:30S. Maliuk—126110S. Chuhai—1411133
LMay 19 · 11:00S. Maliuk—3920S. Chuhai—1111113
LMay 4 · 04:30S. Maliuk—11111181S. Chuhai—13137113
S. Maliuk10
WSep 7 · 11:30O. Kurylenko1.409620S. Maliuk2.751111113LSep 7 · 08:00D. Kuzmenko1.831111113S. Maliuk1.839440WSep 7 · 06:00D. Prylepa1.61115551S. Maliuk2.2091111113LSep 7 · 05:00O. Syksa1.611110911113S. Maliuk2.2051211972WSep 4 · 11:00D. Prylepa1.5767111192S. Maliuk2.25111168113WSep 4 · 10:00O. Lyman2.3851080S. Maliuk1.531112113LSep 4 · 08:30M. Hubenko1.531111113S. Maliuk2.388690LSep 4 · 06:30O. Kurylenko1.7351111113S. Maliuk2.00117781WSep 4 · 04:30O. Syksa1.57117121162S. Maliuk2.25811149113LSep 3 · 10:30O. Ziakun1.736121014113S. Maliuk2.001110121282
S. Chuhai10
WSep 7 · 11:00D. Kuzmenko6.007580S. Chuhai1.111111113WSep 7 · 08:30O. Syksa4.00471181S. Chuhai1.2211116113WSep 7 · 06:30O. Kurylenko4.335580S. Chuhai1.201111113WSep 7 · 04:30D. Prylepa3.00119471S. Chuhai1.3691111113WSep 4 · 17:00A. Kasyanov1.678930S. Chuhai2.101111113LSep 4 · 16:30I. Fedoryshyn1.44117119113S. Chuhai2.6371171162WSep 4 · 15:00A. Lushchyk1.6111521S. Chuhai2.2061142LSep 4 · 14:00S. Chuhai2.5010570A. Lushchyk1.501211113LSep 4 · 13:00S. Chuhai2.50491171I. Fedoryshyn1.5011115113LSep 4 · 12:00S. Chuhai2.201117141A. Kasyanov1.6191111163
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