TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13079193
Played Sep 5Finished
Volodymyr Tatarnykov
Home
1.30
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
9–1Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
7111141012711––
Dmitro Kuzmenko
Away
3.40
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:32 and never touched — 74.7% is still 74.7%
Graded at full timeVolodymyr Tatarnykov to win
74.7%
74.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingVolodymyr Tatarnykov above · Dmitro Kuzmenko below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 73 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Volodymyr Tatarnykov at 74.7%
73 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Tatarnykov 13–5 Dmitro Kuzmenko Dmitro Kuzmenko has won 5 of their 18 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:32What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (72%)
Tatarnykov
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-5 in 18
Tatarnykov
Wrong
gap of 8 in 18, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Tatarnykov 1664 vs Kuzmenko 1573
Tatarnykov
Wrong
both rated, 92 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tatarnykov 80% vs Kuzmenko 100%
Kuzmenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tatarnykov 90% vs Kuzmenko 80%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Tatarnykov -1 · Kuzmenko +5
Kuzmenko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Tatarnykov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kuzmenko form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTatarnykov 1.30 / Kuzmenko 3.40
Signal prob.75% / 25%
Edge (Tatarnykov)+2.4pp
Setka Cup · #13079193
Tatarnykov1.30
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite70% won 51 of 73
Up 2–0, closes it100% 25 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it81% 35 of 43
Kuzmenko3.40
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog35% won 108 of 311
Down 0–1, comes back18% 32 of 179
Down 0–2, comes back6% 6 of 109
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTatarnykov7wins
AwayKuzmenko3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderTatarnykov leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTatarnykov60%3 of 5
AwayKuzmenko20%1 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tatarnykov5Kuzmenko5n = 10split evenly
S2Tatarnykov7Kuzmenko3n = 10Tatarnykov took 7 of 10
S3Tatarnykov6Kuzmenko4n = 10Tatarnykov took 6 of 10
S4Tatarnykov6Kuzmenko3n = 9Tatarnykov took 6 of 9
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricTatarnykovKuzmenkoT − KBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match41.636.8+4.8per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTatarnykovKuzmenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime214 / 406 vs 375 / 91252.7%41.1%214 / 406 vs 375 / 912Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match36.836.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TatarnykovTatarnykov 1.30/Kuzmenko 3.40
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
74.7%
Tatarnykov · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kuzmenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 9 · 06:00V. Tatarnykov—111091152D. Kuzmenko—712113113
WJul 25 · 13:00V. Tatarnykov—81111113D. Kuzmenko—116861
WJul 11 · 13:30V. Tatarnykov—81511113D. Kuzmenko—1113931
WJun 6 · 17:34V. Tatarnykov—811116113D. Kuzmenko—11981162
LJun 6 · 15:30V. Tatarnykov—13109121D. Kuzmenko—111211143
WFeb 14 · 17:30V. Tatarnykov—1113893D. Kuzmenko—9111181
WJan 31 · 18:30V. Tatarnykov—1161173D. Kuzmenko—611731
LJan 31 · 14:00V. Tatarnykov—911971D. Kuzmenko—11811113
WDec 14 · 07:00V. Tatarnykov—1111103D. Kuzmenko—6680
WSep 28 · 09:00V. Tatarnykov—161111113D. Kuzmenko—186491
V. Tatarnykov10
WSep 6 · 10:30V. Tatarnykov2.00812114133M. Hubenko1.731110911112LSep 6 · 09:00V. Tatarnykov1.5011116762D. Prylepa2.50791111113LSep 6 · 07:30V. Tatarnykov2.251111881S. Aristarkhov1.5713311113WSep 6 · 06:00V. Tatarnykov1.5311118113O. Syksa2.38881151LSep 6 · 04:30V. Tatarnykov1.14681111O. Lyman5.0011114113WSep 5 · 17:39D. Kuzmenko3.401399101V. Tatarnykov1.30111111123WSep 5 · 16:30V. Tatarnykov1.50611118113A. Vasylets2.5011671162LSep 5 · 15:30V. Tatarnykov2.38111831S. Aristarkhov1.531191163LSep 5 · 14:00V. Tatarnykov2.0010960M. Hubenko1.731211113LAug 23 · 10:30V. Tatarnykov1.331011891O. Ziakun3.2512711113
D. Kuzmenko10
LSep 7 · 05:30D. Kuzmenko2.005670O. Kurylenko1.731111113LSep 5 · 17:39D. Kuzmenko3.401399101V. Tatarnykov1.30111111123LSep 5 · 16:00M. Hubenko1.28138611133D. Kuzmenko3.501111119112LSep 5 · 14:30S. Aristarkhov1.337111283D. Kuzmenko3.251141041WSep 5 · 12:00A. Vasylets1.5011610101D. Kuzmenko2.5081112123WSep 3 · 11:00O. Lyman3.258560D. Kuzmenko1.331111113WSep 3 · 10:00S. Miroshnychenko2.384630D. Kuzmenko1.531111113WSep 3 · 08:30S. Maliuk1.8311711462D. Kuzmenko1.83511511113WSep 3 · 06:30O. Kurylenko1.80119711102D. Kuzmenko1.91511113123WSep 3 · 04:30O. Ziakun2.107860D. Kuzmenko1.671111113
Upcoming Matches
V. Tatarnykov
Nothing scheduled
D. Kuzmenko
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.