TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13088980
Played Sep 7Finished
Dmytro Prylepa
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119116911116––
Dmitro Kuzmenko
Away
2.38
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:20 and never touched — 62.0% is still 62.0%
Graded at full timeDmytro Prylepa to win
62.0%
62.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDmytro Prylepa above · Dmitro Kuzmenko below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 74 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Dmytro Prylepa at 62.0%
74 points played in total.
H2H Dmytro Prylepa 57–28 Dmitro Kuzmenko Dmitro Kuzmenko has won 28 of their 85 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:20What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Prylepa
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
57-28 in 85
Prylepa
Correct
gap of 29 in 85, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Prylepa 1508 vs Kuzmenko 1563
Kuzmenko
Wrong
both rated, 55 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Prylepa 60% vs Kuzmenko 20%
Prylepa
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Prylepa 30% vs Kuzmenko 50%
Kuzmenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Prylepa +1 · Kuzmenko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Prylepa)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kuzmenko form (20%) is below what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPrylepa 1.53 / Kuzmenko 2.38
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Prylepa)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13088980
Prylepa1.53
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite64% won 135 of 211
Up 2–0, closes it99% 66 of 67
Up 1–0, closes it87% 111 of 128
Kuzmenko2.38
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog35% won 108 of 310
Down 0–1, comes back18% 32 of 177
Down 0–2, comes back6% 6 of 107
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePrylepa6wins
AwayKuzmenko4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderPrylepa leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePrylepa100%5 of 5
AwayKuzmenko80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Prylepa5Kuzmenko5n = 10split evenly
S2Prylepa4Kuzmenko6n = 10Kuzmenko took 6 of 10
S3Prylepa6Kuzmenko4n = 10Prylepa took 6 of 10
S4Prylepa3Kuzmenko2n = 5Prylepa took 3 of 5
S5Prylepa3Kuzmenko1n = 4Prylepa took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricPrylepaKuzmenkoP − KBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match35.834.5+1.3per matchSweeps32+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPrylepaKuzmenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime395 / 801 vs 375 / 91449.3%41%395 / 801 vs 375 / 914Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.536.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PrylepaPrylepa 1.53/Kuzmenko 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62%
Prylepa · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Prylepa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 24 · 05:00D. Prylepa—1111113D. Kuzmenko—9710
WAug 18 · 09:30D. Prylepa—1111113D. Kuzmenko—9960
LAug 16 · 15:00D. Prylepa—6511101D. Kuzmenko—11118123
WAug 5 · 09:30D. Prylepa—1111113D. Kuzmenko—6630
LAug 3 · 06:30D. Prylepa—9470D. Kuzmenko—1111113
LJul 29 · 10:30D. Prylepa—9550D. Kuzmenko—1111113
WJul 27 · 07:00D. Prylepa—126911113D. Kuzmenko—101111572
WJul 25 · 16:58D. Prylepa—124119113D. Kuzmenko—101191172
LJul 25 · 14:30D. Prylepa—46111172D. Kuzmenko—111195113
WJul 23 · 08:00D. Prylepa—911913113D. Kuzmenko—114111152
D. Prylepa10
WSep 7 · 07:30D. Prylepa1.619111011113O. Kurylenko2.2011412842LSep 7 · 06:00D. Prylepa1.61115551S. Maliuk2.2091111113LSep 7 · 04:30D. Prylepa3.00119471S. Chuhai1.3691111113WSep 6 · 11:00D. Prylepa1.3381111113O. Lyman3.25117881WSep 6 · 09:00V. Tatarnykov1.5011116762D. Prylepa2.50791111113LSep 6 · 08:00D. Prylepa2.50111301162O. Syksa1.50215116113LSep 6 · 07:00M. Hubenko1.531211113D. Prylepa2.3810570LSep 6 · 05:30D. Prylepa2.6331141172S. Aristarkhov1.44118117113LSep 4 · 11:00D. Prylepa1.5767111192S. Maliuk2.25111168113LSep 4 · 09:00O. Syksa1.4411117123D. Prylepa2.638911101
D. Kuzmenko10
WSep 7 · 08:00D. Kuzmenko1.831111113S. Maliuk1.839440LSep 7 · 07:00O. Syksa1.6711911113D. Kuzmenko2.10911861LSep 7 · 05:30D. Kuzmenko2.005670O. Kurylenko1.731111113LSep 5 · 17:39D. Kuzmenko3.401399101V. Tatarnykov1.30111111123LSep 5 · 16:00M. Hubenko1.28138611133D. Kuzmenko3.501111119112LSep 5 · 14:30S. Aristarkhov1.337111283D. Kuzmenko3.251141041WSep 5 · 13:00V. Tatarnykov1.307111071D. Kuzmenko3.4011412113WSep 5 · 12:00A. Vasylets1.5011610101D. Kuzmenko2.5081112123WSep 3 · 11:00O. Lyman3.258560D. Kuzmenko1.331111113WSep 3 · 10:00S. Miroshnychenko2.384630D. Kuzmenko1.531111113
Upcoming Matches
D. Prylepa
D. Kuzmenko
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.