TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13048341
Played Aug 30Finished
Andrii Vasylets
Home
2.63
At publish
Won last 10Form at publish
10–0Last 10Won last 10
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117116119––––
Serhii Aristarkhov
Away
1.44
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingAndrii Vasylets above · Serhii Aristarkhov below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 55 set 3, 11-9
55 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Vasylets 28–66 Serhii Aristarkhov Andrii Vasylets has won 28 of their 94 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Aristarkhov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vasylets form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVasylets 2.63 / Aristarkhov 1.44
Signal prob.37% / 64%
Edge (Aristarkhov)-1.0pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13048341
Vasylets2.63
100%won 10 of 10 · last 10
Won last 10
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog30% won 52 of 175
Down 0–1, comes back18% 20 of 110
Down 0–2, comes back10% 6 of 62
Aristarkhov1.44
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite67% won 113 of 170
Up 2–0, closes it97% 57 of 59
Up 1–0, closes it84% 81 of 96
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVasylets5wins
AwayAristarkhov5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVasylets50%2 of 4
AwayAristarkhov50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vasylets4Aristarkhov6n = 10Aristarkhov took 6 of 10
S2Vasylets3Aristarkhov7n = 10Aristarkhov took 7 of 10
S3Vasylets5Aristarkhov5n = 10split evenly
S4Vasylets6Aristarkhov3n = 9Vasylets took 6 of 9
S5Vasylets2Aristarkhov1n = 3Vasylets took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricVasyletsAristarkhovV − ABasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match40.341.7−1.4per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVasyletsAristarkhovBasisWin rate · lifetime237 / 522 vs 325 / 60045.4%54.2%237 / 522 vs 325 / 600Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.736.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AristarkhovVasylets 2.63/Aristarkhov 1.44
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
63.5%
Aristarkhov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Vasylets won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 30 · 16:30A. Vasylets—6101111113S. Aristarkhov—11129652
WAug 22 · 16:58A. Vasylets—8111112133S. Aristarkhov—1113810112
WAug 22 · 12:30A. Vasylets—11711113S. Aristarkhov—511741
LAug 16 · 16:59A. Vasylets—118991S. Aristarkhov—71111113
LAug 16 · 13:00A. Vasylets—36110S. Aristarkhov—1111133
WJul 25 · 15:00A. Vasylets—111116113S. Aristarkhov—471881
LJul 4 · 17:39A. Vasylets—871471S. Aristarkhov—111112113
LJul 4 · 15:00A. Vasylets—1410741S. Aristarkhov—121211113
LJun 27 · 13:30A. Vasylets—91121172S. Aristarkhov—118119113
WJun 20 · 17:43A. Vasylets—61112133S. Aristarkhov—11910111
A. Vasylets10
LSep 5 · 16:30V. Tatarnykov1.50611118113A. Vasylets2.5011671162LSep 5 · 15:00A. Vasylets2.38651171M. Hubenko1.5311118103LSep 5 · 13:30A. Vasylets2.50411471S. Aristarkhov1.5011111113LSep 5 · 12:00A. Vasylets1.5011610101D. Kuzmenko2.5081112123WSep 2 · 11:30A. Vasylets2.0011119113O. Syksa1.73761191LSep 2 · 09:30M. Hubenko1.501211123A. Vasylets2.50108100WSep 2 · 07:30O. Ziakun2.50691151A. Vasylets1.5011115113LSep 2 · 06:30A. Vasylets1.44114127102D. Kuzmenko2.639111011123WSep 2 · 05:30O. Kurylenko3.75951151A. Vasylets1.2511117113WAug 30 · 16:30S. Aristarkhov1.4411129652A. Vasylets2.636101111113
S. Aristarkhov10
LSep 6 · 11:30S. Aristarkhov1.6111971142O. Syksa2.2031111373LSep 6 · 09:30M. Hubenko1.831113113S. Aristarkhov1.8361160WSep 6 · 07:30V. Tatarnykov2.251111881S. Aristarkhov1.5713311113WSep 6 · 06:30S. Aristarkhov1.1471512113O. Lyman5.0011131091WSep 6 · 05:30D. Prylepa2.6331141172S. Aristarkhov1.44118117113WSep 5 · 17:10M. Hubenko1.83121160S. Aristarkhov1.831413113WSep 5 · 15:30V. Tatarnykov2.38111831S. Aristarkhov1.531191163WSep 5 · 14:30S. Aristarkhov1.337111283D. Kuzmenko3.251141041WSep 5 · 13:30A. Vasylets2.50411471S. Aristarkhov1.5011111113LAug 30 · 16:30S. Aristarkhov1.4411129652A. Vasylets2.636101111113
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