TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13054098
Played Sep 1Finished
Serhii Miroshnychenko
Home
3.25
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1012118411911––
Oleksandr Syksa
Away
1.33
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:46 and never touched — 74.1% is still 74.1%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Syksa to win
74.1%
74.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSerhii Miroshnychenko above · Oleksandr Syksa below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 76 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Oleksandr Syksa at 74.1%
76 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Miroshnychenko 44–81 Oleksandr Syksa Serhii Miroshnychenko has won 44 of their 125 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 17:46What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Syksa
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
44-81 in 125
Syksa
Correct
gap of 37 in 125, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Miroshnychenko 1344 vs Syksa 1542
Syksa
Correct
both rated, 199 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Miroshnychenko 40% vs Syksa 60%
Syksa
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Miroshnychenko 50% vs Syksa 30%
Miroshnychenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Miroshnychenko -3 · Syksa +2
Miroshnychenko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 74% — Strong (leans Syksa)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Syksa form (60%) is below what odds imply (75%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMiroshnychenko 3.25 / Syksa 1.33
Signal prob.26% / 74%
Edge (Syksa)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13054098
Miroshnychenko3.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog25% won 85 of 346
Down 0–1, comes back14% 30 of 217
Down 0–2, comes back4% 5 of 124
Syksa1.33
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite69% won 231 of 335
Up 2–0, closes it94% 93 of 99
Up 1–0, closes it82% 152 of 185
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMiroshnychenko3wins
AwaySyksa7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderSyksa leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMiroshnychenkon = 2, below the 3 needed
AwaySyksa75%6 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Miroshnychenko2Syksa8n = 10Syksa took 8 of 10
S2Miroshnychenko2Syksa8n = 10Syksa took 8 of 10
S3Miroshnychenko4Syksa6n = 10Syksa took 6 of 10
S4Miroshnychenko2Syksa4n = 6Syksa took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricMiroshnychenkoSyksaM − SBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match34.139.1−5.0per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMiroshnychenkoSyksaBasisWin rate · lifetime302 / 857 vs 569 / 109135.2%52.2%302 / 857 vs 569 / 1091Avg sets wonper match1.62.0per matchAvg pointsper match34.737.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SyksaMiroshnychenko 3.25/Syksa 1.33
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
74.1%
Syksa · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Syksa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 21 · 10:00S. Miroshnychenko—119751O. Syksa—31111113
LAug 20 · 06:30S. Miroshnychenko—6780O. Syksa—1111113
WAug 18 · 06:00S. Miroshnychenko—961111113O. Syksa—11119752
WAug 14 · 07:30S. Miroshnychenko—111111123O. Syksa—8139101
LAug 12 · 11:30S. Miroshnychenko—91060O. Syksa—1112113
LAug 10 · 10:30S. Miroshnychenko—6890O. Syksa—1111113
LAug 8 · 16:00S. Miroshnychenko—811971O. Syksa—11811113
LAug 6 · 11:00S. Miroshnychenko—641271O. Syksa—111110113
WAug 4 · 08:00S. Miroshnychenko—911159123O. Syksa—1171311102
LJul 30 · 07:00S. Miroshnychenko—81270O. Syksa—1114113
S. Miroshnychenko10
WSep 3 · 11:30O. Kurylenko1.4429140S. Miroshnychenko2.631111163LSep 3 · 10:00S. Miroshnychenko2.384630D. Kuzmenko1.531111113LSep 3 · 08:00O. Lyman1.36711146163S. Miroshnychenko3.001151211142LSep 3 · 06:00O. Ziakun1.441012118153S. Miroshnychenko2.631210711132LSep 3 · 05:00S. Maliuk1.4011812113S. Miroshnychenko2.756111081WSep 2 · 17:39S. Miroshnychenko1.20111110113I. Torhachov4.33381251WSep 2 · 16:00R. Boklah4.00912113112S. Miroshnychenko1.221110811133WSep 2 · 14:30V. Ziakun3.25137981S. Miroshnychenko1.33111111113LSep 2 · 13:00I. Torhachov5.00111176113S. Miroshnychenko1.1465111172WSep 2 · 12:00S. Priadko4.504590S. Miroshnychenko1.171111113
O. Syksa10
LSep 7 · 09:30O. Syksa1.617711101O. Kurylenko2.2011117123LSep 7 · 08:30O. Syksa4.00471181S. Chuhai1.2211116113WSep 7 · 07:00O. Syksa1.6711911113D. Kuzmenko2.10911861WSep 7 · 05:00O. Syksa1.611110911113S. Maliuk2.2051211972WSep 6 · 11:30S. Aristarkhov1.6111971142O. Syksa2.2031111373WSep 6 · 10:00O. Syksa1.2011136113O. Lyman4.338111141WSep 6 · 08:00D. Prylepa2.50111301162O. Syksa1.50215116113LSep 6 · 06:00V. Tatarnykov1.5311118113O. Syksa2.38881151LSep 6 · 05:00M. Hubenko1.5711911133O. Syksa2.256115111LSep 4 · 10:30O. Syksa2.50611691M. Hubenko1.5011611113
Upcoming Matches
S. Miroshnychenko
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O. Syksa
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