TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13060855
Played Sep 2Finished
Serhii Priadko
Home
4.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
411511911––––
Serhii Miroshnychenko
Away
1.17
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:05 and never touched — 82.9% is still 82.9%
Graded at full timeSerhii Miroshnychenko to win
82.9%
82.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSerhii Priadko above · Serhii Miroshnychenko below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 51 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Serhii Miroshnychenko at 82.9%
51 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Priadko 2–22 Serhii Miroshnychenko Serhii Priadko has won 2 of their 24 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:05What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.17 (79%)
Miroshnychenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-22 in 24
Miroshnychenko
Correct
gap of 20 in 24, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Priadko 1278 vs Miroshnychenko 1337
Miroshnychenko
Correct
both rated, 59 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Priadko 60% vs Miroshnychenko 20%
Priadko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Priadko 40% vs Miroshnychenko 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Priadko +2 · Miroshnychenko -4
Miroshnychenko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 83% — Strong (leans Miroshnychenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Miroshnychenko form (20%) is below what odds imply (86%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPriadko 4.50 / Miroshnychenko 1.17
Signal prob.17% / 83%
Edge (Miroshnychenko)+3.5pp
Setka Cup · #13060855
Priadko4.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog28% won 49 of 177
Down 0–1, comes back14% 15 of 104
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 62
Miroshnychenko1.17
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite82% won 40 of 49
Up 2–0, closes it96% 23 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it88% 29 of 33
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePriadko0wins
AwayMiroshnychenko10wins
1 of 10 to a deciderMiroshnychenko leads 10–0, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePriadkon = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayMiroshnychenko100%9 of 9
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Priadko1Miroshnychenko9n = 10Miroshnychenko took 9 of 10
S2Priadko2Miroshnychenko8n = 10Miroshnychenko took 8 of 10
S3Priadko2Miroshnychenko8n = 10Miroshnychenko took 8 of 10
S4Priadko0Miroshnychenko4n = 4Miroshnychenko took 4 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away660%
These 10 meetings
MetricPriadkoMiroshnychenkoP − MBasisWins010−10in 10 meetingsFirst set19−8of 10Avg pointsper match26.737.4−10.7per matchSweeps06−63–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPriadkoMiroshnychenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime262 / 622 vs 302 / 85842.1%35.2%262 / 622 vs 302 / 858Avg sets wonper match1.81.6per matchAvg pointsper match36.534.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MiroshnychenkoPriadko 4.50/Miroshnychenko 1.17
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
82.9%
Miroshnychenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Miroshnychenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 24 · 12:30S. Priadko—61060S. Miroshnychenko—1112113
LJul 19 · 14:30S. Priadko—711731S. Miroshnychenko—11911113
LJul 17 · 13:30S. Priadko—9440S. Miroshnychenko—1111113
LJul 5 · 15:30S. Priadko—11711972S. Miroshnychenko—811711113
LJul 1 · 07:30S. Priadko—6116151S. Miroshnychenko—11611173
LJun 30 · 16:30S. Priadko—99110S. Miroshnychenko—1111133
LJun 28 · 17:43S. Priadko—61070S. Miroshnychenko—1112113
LJun 28 · 15:00S. Priadko—2790S. Miroshnychenko—1111113
LFeb 4 · 05:30S. Priadko—4860S. Miroshnychenko—1111113
LJan 20 · 07:30S. Priadko—571161S. Miroshnychenko—11114113
S. Priadko10
WSep 6 · 16:00S. Priadko1.6181111103R. Boklah2.20115931LSep 6 · 15:00V. Ziakun1.33111191093S. Priadko3.2557111262LSep 6 · 14:00I. Serdiuk1.5711713113S. Priadko2.255111151LSep 6 · 12:30I. Torhachov1.67916115113S. Priadko2.10111441172LSep 2 · 17:10V. Ziakun1.3311115123S. Priadko3.257711101LSep 2 · 16:30I. Torhachov1.6111911113S. Priadko2.20711841WSep 2 · 15:00S. Priadko1.531181011113R. Boklah2.3851112962LSep 2 · 13:30S. Priadko3.251112951V. Ziakun1.3351411113WAug 29 · 11:30O. Kolos4.503590S. Priadko1.171111113WAug 29 · 10:00S. Priadko2.00111177123I. Torhachov1.73421111102
S. Miroshnychenko10
WSep 3 · 11:30O. Kurylenko1.4429140S. Miroshnychenko2.631111163LSep 3 · 10:00S. Miroshnychenko2.384630D. Kuzmenko1.531111113LSep 3 · 08:00O. Lyman1.36711146163S. Miroshnychenko3.001151211142LSep 3 · 06:00O. Ziakun1.441012118153S. Miroshnychenko2.631210711132LSep 3 · 05:00S. Maliuk1.4011812113S. Miroshnychenko2.756111081WSep 2 · 17:39S. Miroshnychenko1.20111110113I. Torhachov4.33381251WSep 2 · 16:00R. Boklah4.00912113112S. Miroshnychenko1.221110811133WSep 2 · 14:30V. Ziakun3.25137981S. Miroshnychenko1.33111111113LSep 2 · 13:00I. Torhachov5.00111176113S. Miroshnychenko1.1465111172LSep 1 · 11:00S. Miroshnychenko3.251011491O. Syksa1.3312811113
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