TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13084031
Played Sep 6Finished
Ihor Torhachov
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
9111614114511117
Serhii Priadko
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:51 and never touched — 56.2% is still 56.2%
Graded at full timeIhor Torhachov to win
56.2%
56.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingIhor Torhachov above · Serhii Priadko below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 16-14
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 5-11
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 99 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Ihor Torhachov at 56.2%
99 points played in total.
H2H Ihor Torhachov 98–68 Serhii Priadko Serhii Priadko has won 68 of their 166 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:51What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Torhachov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
98-68 in 166
Torhachov
Correct
gap of 30 in 166, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Torhachov 1308 vs Priadko 1246
Torhachov
Correct
both rated, 62 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Torhachov 60% vs Priadko 20%
Torhachov
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Torhachov 60% vs Priadko 40%
Torhachov
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Torhachov -1 · Priadko -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Torhachov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Priadko form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTorhachov 1.67 / Priadko 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Torhachov)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13084031
Torhachov1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite69% won 104 of 150
Up 2–0, closes it100% 44 of 44
Up 1–0, closes it86% 67 of 78
Priadko2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog27% won 48 of 178
Down 0–1, comes back14% 14 of 104
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 63
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTorhachov7wins
AwayPriadko3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderTorhachov leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTorhachov100%5 of 5
AwayPriadko60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Torhachov5Priadko5n = 10split evenly
S2Torhachov6Priadko4n = 10Torhachov took 6 of 10
S3Torhachov7Priadko3n = 10Torhachov took 7 of 10
S4Torhachov5Priadko2n = 7Torhachov took 5 of 7
S5Torhachov2Priadko2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricTorhachovPriadkoT − PBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match40.638.4+2.2per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTorhachovPriadkoBasisWin rate · lifetime257 / 513 vs 263 / 62750.1%42%257 / 513 vs 263 / 627Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match36.936.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TorhachovTorhachov 1.67/Priadko 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.2%
Torhachov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Torhachov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 2 · 16:30I. Torhachov—11911113S. Priadko—711841
LAug 29 · 10:00I. Torhachov—421111102S. Priadko—111177123
WAug 26 · 15:00I. Torhachov—1111113S. Priadko—9990
LAug 23 · 14:30I. Torhachov—1111118112S. Priadko—136611133
WAug 19 · 13:30I. Torhachov—11811113S. Priadko—911981
WAug 12 · 15:30I. Torhachov—1111113S. Priadko—9860
LAug 9 · 17:08I. Torhachov—155120S. Priadko—1711143
WAug 9 · 12:30I. Torhachov—111110113S. Priadko—781291
WAug 8 · 10:00I. Torhachov—611711113S. Priadko—11711782
WAug 7 · 15:30I. Torhachov—1011112123S. Priadko—127811102
I. Torhachov10
LSep 6 · 17:00I. Torhachov2.2590I. Serdiuk1.57111WSep 6 · 15:30I. Serdiuk1.91671121I. Torhachov1.801111733LSep 6 · 14:30I. Torhachov1.50111261292R. Boklah2.508101114113LSep 6 · 13:30V. Ziakun1.441311833I. Torhachov2.631141121LSep 2 · 17:39S. Miroshnychenko1.20111110113I. Torhachov4.33381251WSep 2 · 16:30I. Torhachov1.6111911113S. Priadko2.20711841LSep 2 · 15:30I. Torhachov2.637790V. Ziakun1.441111113WSep 2 · 14:00I. Torhachov1.575111210113R. Boklah2.25117101252WSep 2 · 13:00I. Torhachov5.00111176113S. Miroshnychenko1.1465111172LAug 30 · 01:50I. Torhachov2.634610O. Pohonov1.44111153
S. Priadko10
WSep 6 · 16:00S. Priadko1.6181111103R. Boklah2.20115931LSep 6 · 15:00V. Ziakun1.33111191093S. Priadko3.2557111262LSep 6 · 14:00I. Serdiuk1.5711713113S. Priadko2.255111151LSep 2 · 17:10V. Ziakun1.3311115123S. Priadko3.257711101LSep 2 · 16:30I. Torhachov1.6111911113S. Priadko2.20711841WSep 2 · 15:00S. Priadko1.531181011113R. Boklah2.3851112962LSep 2 · 13:30S. Priadko3.251112951V. Ziakun1.3351411113LSep 2 · 12:00S. Priadko4.504590S. Miroshnychenko1.171111113WAug 29 · 11:30O. Kolos4.503590S. Priadko1.171111113WAug 29 · 10:00S. Priadko2.00111177123I. Torhachov1.73421111102
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