TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13060692
Played Sep 2Finished
Ihor Torhachov
Home
2.63
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711711911––––
Viktor Ziakun
Away
1.44
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:25 and never touched — 62.0% is still 62.0%
Graded at full timeViktor Ziakun to win
62.0%
62.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingIhor Torhachov above · Viktor Ziakun below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 56 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Viktor Ziakun at 62.0%
56 points played in total.
H2H Ihor Torhachov 69–103 Viktor Ziakun Ihor Torhachov has won 69 of their 172 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:25What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Ziakun
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
69-103 in 172
Ziakun
Correct
gap of 34 in 172, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Torhachov 1322 vs Ziakun 1330
Ziakun
Correct
both rated, 7 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Torhachov 60% vs Ziakun 20%
Torhachov
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Torhachov 60% vs Ziakun 20%
Torhachov
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Torhachov +2 · Ziakun -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Ziakun) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ziakun form (20%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTorhachov 2.63 / Ziakun 1.44
Signal prob.35% / 65%
Edge (Ziakun)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13060692
Torhachov2.63
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog34% won 24 of 71
Down 0–1, comes back21% 9 of 44
Down 0–2, comes back9% 3 of 32
Ziakun1.44
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite81% won 171 of 212
Up 2–0, closes it95% 104 of 109
Up 1–0, closes it87% 138 of 158
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTorhachov4wins
AwayZiakun6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderZiakun leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTorhachovn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayZiakun62.5%5 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Torhachov2Ziakun8n = 10Ziakun took 8 of 10
S2Torhachov3Ziakun7n = 10Ziakun took 7 of 10
S3Torhachov5Ziakun5n = 10split evenly
S4Torhachov3Ziakun4n = 7Ziakun took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricTorhachovZiakunT − ZBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match33.238.1−4.9per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTorhachovZiakunBasisWin rate · lifetime256 / 510 vs 374 / 62650.2%59.7%256 / 510 vs 374 / 626Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match36.936.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZiakunTorhachov 2.63/Ziakun 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.9%
Ziakun · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Ziakun won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 23 · 12:30I. Torhachov—118951V. Ziakun—81111113
LAug 19 · 17:05I. Torhachov—7840V. Ziakun—1111113
WAug 19 · 12:30I. Torhachov—11611113V. Ziakun—911961
LAug 12 · 14:00I. Torhachov—49110V. Ziakun—1111133
WAug 9 · 16:00I. Torhachov—991111113V. Ziakun—11114652
LAug 8 · 06:30I. Torhachov—712651V. Ziakun—111011113
WAug 7 · 14:00I. Torhachov—511119113V. Ziakun—11681192
WAug 5 · 14:00I. Torhachov—81111113V. Ziakun—119981
LJul 31 · 15:30I. Torhachov—77100V. Ziakun—1111123
LJul 26 · 12:00I. Torhachov—331171V. Ziakun—11118113
I. Torhachov10
LSep 6 · 17:00I. Torhachov2.2590I. Serdiuk1.57111WSep 6 · 15:30I. Serdiuk1.91671121I. Torhachov1.801111733LSep 6 · 14:30I. Torhachov1.50111261292R. Boklah2.508101114113LSep 6 · 13:30V. Ziakun1.441311833I. Torhachov2.631141121WSep 6 · 12:30I. Torhachov1.67916115113S. Priadko2.10111441172LSep 2 · 17:39S. Miroshnychenko1.20111110113I. Torhachov4.33381251WSep 2 · 16:30I. Torhachov1.6111911113S. Priadko2.20711841WSep 2 · 14:00I. Torhachov1.575111210113R. Boklah2.25117101252WSep 2 · 13:00I. Torhachov5.00111176113S. Miroshnychenko1.1465111172LAug 30 · 01:50I. Torhachov2.634610O. Pohonov1.44111153
V. Ziakun10
WSep 6 · 17:29R. Boklah4.508680V. Ziakun1.171111113LSep 6 · 16:30I. Serdiuk2.7511116113V. Ziakun1.40631141WSep 6 · 15:00V. Ziakun1.33111191093S. Priadko3.2557111262WSep 6 · 13:30V. Ziakun1.441311833I. Torhachov2.631141121WSep 6 · 12:00V. Ziakun1.171111113R. Boklah4.504680WSep 2 · 17:10V. Ziakun1.3311115123S. Priadko3.257711101LSep 2 · 14:30V. Ziakun3.25137981S. Miroshnychenko1.33111111113WSep 2 · 13:30S. Priadko3.251112951V. Ziakun1.3351411113LSep 2 · 12:30V. Ziakun1.1491111982R. Boklah5.00115411113LSep 1 · 11:30V. Ziakun3.403880D. Kuzmenko1.301111113
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