TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13061026
Played Sep 2Finished
Serhii Priadko
Home
1.53
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1158111012119116
Roman Boklah
Away
2.38
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:23 and never touched — 60.9% is still 60.9%
Graded at full timeSerhii Priadko to win
60.9%
60.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightpick shipped
How it is goingSerhii Priadko above · Roman Boklah below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 94 set 5, 11-6 — our read held Serhii Priadko at 60.9%
94 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Priadko 69–69 Roman Boklah Dead even across their 138 meetings.
Last 10 · 8–2Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:23What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Priadko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
69-69 in 138
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Priadko 1257 vs Boklah 1171
Priadko
Correct
both rated, 87 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Priadko 40% vs Boklah 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Priadko 30% vs Boklah 30%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Priadko -2 · Boklah -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Priadko) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Priadko form (40%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPriadko 1.53 / Boklah 2.38
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Priadko)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13061026
Priadko1.53
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite76% won 99 of 130
Up 2–0, closes it96% 51 of 53
Up 1–0, closes it89% 71 of 80
Boklah2.38
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog28% won 50 of 182
Down 0–1, comes back13% 16 of 124
Down 0–2, comes back1% 1 of 79
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePriadko8wins
AwayBoklah2wins
1 of 10 to a deciderPriadko leads 8–2, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePriadko100%7 of 7
AwayBoklah66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Priadko7Boklah3n = 10Priadko took 7 of 10
S2Priadko6Boklah4n = 10Priadko took 6 of 10
S3Priadko7Boklah3n = 10Priadko took 7 of 10
S4Priadko7Boklah2n = 9Priadko took 7 of 9
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home770%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricPriadkoBoklahP − BBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match39.331.5+7.8per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPriadkoBoklahBasisWin rate · lifetime262 / 624 vs 261 / 62042%42.1%262 / 624 vs 261 / 620Avg sets wonper match1.81.8per matchAvg pointsper match36.535.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PriadkoPriadko 1.53/Boklah 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64%
Priadko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Priadko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 29 · 06:00S. Priadko—11115113R. Boklah—261131
WAug 26 · 12:00S. Priadko—11512113R. Boklah—9111051
WAug 23 · 12:00S. Priadko—11811123R. Boklah—5116101
WAug 22 · 04:30S. Priadko—11911113R. Boklah—711571
WAug 19 · 17:34S. Priadko—51111113R. Boklah—118581
LAug 19 · 12:00S. Priadko—7118111R. Boklah—11711133
LAug 12 · 14:30S. Priadko—91111562R. Boklah—118911113
WAug 8 · 05:00S. Priadko—1111113R. Boklah—2520
WAug 7 · 14:30S. Priadko—11711113R. Boklah—611881
WAug 5 · 14:30S. Priadko—11119113R. Boklah—881131
S. Priadko10
WSep 6 · 16:00S. Priadko1.6181111103R. Boklah2.20115931LSep 6 · 15:00V. Ziakun1.33111191093S. Priadko3.2557111262LSep 6 · 14:00I. Serdiuk1.5711713113S. Priadko2.255111151LSep 6 · 12:30I. Torhachov1.67916115113S. Priadko2.10111441172LSep 2 · 17:10V. Ziakun1.3311115123S. Priadko3.257711101LSep 2 · 16:30I. Torhachov1.6111911113S. Priadko2.20711841LSep 2 · 13:30S. Priadko3.251112951V. Ziakun1.3351411113LSep 2 · 12:00S. Priadko4.504590S. Miroshnychenko1.171111113WAug 29 · 11:30O. Kolos4.503590S. Priadko1.171111113WAug 29 · 10:00S. Priadko2.00111177123I. Torhachov1.73421111102
R. Boklah10
LSep 6 · 17:29R. Boklah4.508680V. Ziakun1.171111113LSep 6 · 16:00S. Priadko1.6181111103R. Boklah2.20115931WSep 6 · 14:30I. Torhachov1.50111261292R. Boklah2.508101114113WSep 6 · 13:00I. Serdiuk1.2081231182R. Boklah4.331110113113LSep 6 · 12:00V. Ziakun1.171111113R. Boklah4.504680WSep 5 · 11:00A. Fastov2.0014137882R. Boklah1.7312111111113LSep 5 · 10:00O. Kolos3.00121399113R. Boklah1.361011111132LSep 5 · 08:30V. Ananiev1.571211113R. Boklah2.2510290LSep 5 · 06:30I. Serdiuk1.2011119113R. Boklah4.33471151LSep 5 · 04:30Y. Priadko1.80111168113R. Boklah1.9198111142
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