TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13084393
Played Sep 6Finished
Ihor Serdiuk
Home
1.20
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
8111210311113811
Roman Boklah
Away
4.33
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:20 and never touched — 84.6% is still 84.6%
Graded at full timeIhor Serdiuk to win
84.6%
84.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingIhor Serdiuk above · Roman Boklah below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 3-11
Set 4 · 11-3
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 88 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Ihor Serdiuk at 84.6%
88 points played in total.
H2H Ihor Serdiuk 56–15 Roman Boklah Roman Boklah has won 15 of their 71 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:20What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.20 (78%)
Serdiuk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
56-15 in 71
Serdiuk
Wrong
gap of 41 in 71, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Serdiuk 1257 vs Boklah 1102
Serdiuk
Wrong
both rated, 155 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Serdiuk 60% vs Boklah 20%
Serdiuk
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Serdiuk 60% vs Boklah 20%
Serdiuk
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Serdiuk -2 · Boklah -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 85% — Strong (leans Serdiuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Serdiuk form (60%) is below what odds imply (83%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSerdiuk 1.20 / Boklah 4.33
Signal prob.85% / 15%
Edge (Serdiuk)+6.3pp
Setka Cup · #13084393
Serdiuk1.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite72% won 86 of 119
Up 2–0, closes it98% 45 of 46
Up 1–0, closes it89% 62 of 70
Boklah4.33
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog27% won 51 of 186
Down 0–1, comes back13% 16 of 126
Down 0–2, comes back1% 1 of 81
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSerdiuk9wins
AwayBoklah1wins
2 of 10 to a deciderSerdiuk leads 9–1, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSerdiuk100%9 of 9
AwayBoklahn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Serdiuk9Boklah1n = 10Serdiuk took 9 of 10
S2Serdiuk7Boklah3n = 10Serdiuk took 7 of 10
S3Serdiuk3Boklah7n = 10Boklah took 7 of 10
S4Serdiuk6Boklah2n = 8Serdiuk took 6 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home660%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSerdiukBoklahS − BBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set91+8of 10Avg pointsper match41.934.5+7.4per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSerdiukBoklahBasisWin rate · lifetime229 / 345 vs 257 / 61866.4%41.6%229 / 345 vs 257 / 618Avg sets wonper match2.31.8per matchAvg pointsper match39.035.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SerdiukSerdiuk 1.20/Boklah 4.33
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
84.6%
Serdiuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Boklah won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 5 · 06:30I. Serdiuk—11119113R. Boklah—471151
WAug 29 · 09:00I. Serdiuk—11811113R. Boklah—311991
WAug 23 · 16:30I. Serdiuk—11116113R. Boklah—771131
WAug 22 · 09:00I. Serdiuk—131139113R. Boklah—119111132
WAug 8 · 07:00I. Serdiuk—111011113R. Boklah—812671
WAug 1 · 08:00I. Serdiuk—1515113R. Boklah—131340
LJul 26 · 14:00I. Serdiuk—85100R. Boklah—1111123
WJul 25 · 09:00I. Serdiuk—111111113R. Boklah—551361
WJul 22 · 12:30I. Serdiuk—121199133R. Boklah—1091111112
WJul 19 · 17:08I. Serdiuk—111112113R. Boklah—791451
I. Serdiuk10
WSep 6 · 17:00I. Torhachov2.2590I. Serdiuk1.57111WSep 6 · 16:30I. Serdiuk2.7511116113V. Ziakun1.40631141LSep 6 · 15:30I. Serdiuk1.91671121I. Torhachov1.801111733WSep 6 · 14:00I. Serdiuk1.5711713113S. Priadko2.255111151LSep 5 · 11:30I. Serdiuk1.2588100O. Kolos3.751111123LSep 5 · 09:30V. Ananiev3.401111113I. Serdiuk1.304980WSep 5 · 07:30Y. Priadko4.0091111101I. Serdiuk1.2211135123WSep 5 · 06:30I. Serdiuk1.2011119113R. Boklah4.33471151WSep 5 · 05:30A. Fastov2.75137761I. Serdiuk1.40111111113LAug 29 · 11:00I. Serdiuk1.83121160I. Torhachov1.83141393
R. Boklah10
LSep 6 · 17:29R. Boklah4.508680V. Ziakun1.171111113LSep 6 · 16:00S. Priadko1.6181111103R. Boklah2.20115931WSep 6 · 14:30I. Torhachov1.50111261292R. Boklah2.508101114113LSep 6 · 12:00V. Ziakun1.171111113R. Boklah4.504680WSep 5 · 11:00A. Fastov2.0014137882R. Boklah1.7312111111113LSep 5 · 10:00O. Kolos3.00121399113R. Boklah1.361011111132LSep 5 · 08:30V. Ananiev1.571211113R. Boklah2.2510290LSep 5 · 06:30I. Serdiuk1.2011119113R. Boklah4.33471151LSep 5 · 04:30Y. Priadko1.80111168113R. Boklah1.9198111142LSep 2 · 16:00R. Boklah4.00912113112S. Miroshnychenko1.221110811133
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.