TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13037793
Played Aug 29Finished
Ihor Serdiuk
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1214111369––––
Ihor Torhachov
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:35 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeIhor Torhachov to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingIhor Serdiuk above · Ihor Torhachov below
Set 1 · 12-14
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 6-9
Point 65 set 3, 6-9 — our read held Ihor Torhachov at 54.0%
65 points played in total.
H2H Ihor Serdiuk 16–25 Ihor Torhachov Ihor Serdiuk has won 16 of their 41 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:35What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Torhachov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
16-25 in 41
Torhachov
Correct
gap of 9 in 41, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Serdiuk 1337 vs Torhachov 1290
Serdiuk
Wrong
both rated, 47 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Serdiuk 80% vs Torhachov 60%
Serdiuk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Serdiuk 60% vs Torhachov 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Serdiuk +2 · Torhachov -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Torhachov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Serdiuk form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSerdiuk 1.83 / Torhachov 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Torhachov)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13037793
Serdiuk1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Torhachov1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSerdiuk4wins
AwayTorhachov6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderTorhachov leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSerdiuk60%3 of 5
AwayTorhachov80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Serdiuk5Torhachov5n = 10split evenly
S2Serdiuk5Torhachov5n = 10split evenly
S3Serdiuk5Torhachov5n = 10split evenly
S4Serdiuk4Torhachov3n = 7Serdiuk took 4 of 7
S5Serdiuk1Torhachov4n = 5Torhachov took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSerdiukTorhachovS − TBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match41.340.7+0.6per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSerdiukTorhachovBasisWin rate · lifetime230 / 344 vs 256 / 51166.9%50.1%230 / 344 vs 256 / 511Avg sets wonper match2.32.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.036.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TorhachovSerdiuk 1.83/Torhachov 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Torhachov · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Torhachov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 23 · 17:34I. Serdiuk—111316113I. Torhachov—9111881
LAug 23 · 15:30I. Serdiuk—812119112I. Torhachov—1110811133
WAug 9 · 14:00I. Serdiuk—119911143I. Torhachov—611116122
LAug 8 · 11:00I. Serdiuk—78120I. Torhachov—1111143
LJul 26 · 16:30I. Serdiuk—11912982I. Torhachov—7111011113
LJun 28 · 13:00I. Serdiuk—11131182I. Torhachov—411118113
LJun 21 · 14:00I. Serdiuk—7890I. Torhachov—1111113
WJun 7 · 16:30I. Serdiuk—1111123I. Torhachov—63100
LMay 31 · 08:00I. Serdiuk—81111992I. Torhachov—114511113
WMay 24 · 14:30I. Serdiuk—71211113I. Torhachov—1110881
I. Serdiuk10
WSep 6 · 17:00I. Torhachov2.2590I. Serdiuk1.57111WSep 6 · 16:30I. Serdiuk2.7511116113V. Ziakun1.40631141LSep 6 · 15:30I. Serdiuk1.91671121I. Torhachov1.801111733WSep 6 · 14:00I. Serdiuk1.5711713113S. Priadko2.255111151LSep 6 · 13:00I. Serdiuk1.2081231182R. Boklah4.331110113113LSep 5 · 11:30I. Serdiuk1.2588100O. Kolos3.751111123LSep 5 · 09:30V. Ananiev3.401111113I. Serdiuk1.304980WSep 5 · 07:30Y. Priadko4.0091111101I. Serdiuk1.2211135123WSep 5 · 06:30I. Serdiuk1.2011119113R. Boklah4.33471151WSep 5 · 05:30A. Fastov2.75137761I. Serdiuk1.40111111113
I. Torhachov10
LSep 6 · 17:00I. Torhachov2.2590I. Serdiuk1.57111WSep 6 · 15:30I. Serdiuk1.91671121I. Torhachov1.801111733LSep 6 · 14:30I. Torhachov1.50111261292R. Boklah2.508101114113LSep 6 · 13:30V. Ziakun1.441311833I. Torhachov2.631141121WSep 6 · 12:30I. Torhachov1.67916115113S. Priadko2.10111441172LSep 2 · 17:39S. Miroshnychenko1.20111110113I. Torhachov4.33381251WSep 2 · 16:30I. Torhachov1.6111911113S. Priadko2.20711841LSep 2 · 15:30I. Torhachov2.637790V. Ziakun1.441111113WSep 2 · 14:00I. Torhachov1.575111210113R. Boklah2.25117101252WSep 2 · 13:00I. Torhachov5.00111176113S. Miroshnychenko1.1465111172
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