TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13037582
Played Aug 29Finished
Serhii Priadko
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1141127117111210
Ihor Torhachov
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:12 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeIhor Torhachov to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingSerhii Priadko above · Ihor Torhachov below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-2
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 12-10
Point 86 set 5, 12-10 — our read held Ihor Torhachov at 54.0%
86 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Priadko 68–97 Ihor Torhachov Serhii Priadko has won 68 of their 165 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:12What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Torhachov
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
68-97 in 165
Torhachov
Wrong
gap of 29 in 165, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Priadko 1278 vs Torhachov 1305
Torhachov
Wrong
both rated, 27 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Priadko 20% vs Torhachov 60%
Torhachov
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Priadko 40% vs Torhachov 60%
Torhachov
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Priadko -1 · Torhachov +3
Torhachov
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Torhachov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Priadko form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPriadko 2.00 / Torhachov 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Torhachov)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13037582
Priadko2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog27% won 48 of 179
Down 0–1, comes back14% 15 of 108
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 63
Torhachov1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite70% won 105 of 151
Up 2–0, closes it100% 48 of 48
Up 1–0, closes it85% 70 of 82
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePriadko4wins
AwayTorhachov6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderTorhachov leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePriadko66.7%4 of 6
AwayTorhachov100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Priadko6Torhachov4n = 10Priadko took 6 of 10
S2Priadko4Torhachov6n = 10Torhachov took 6 of 10
S3Priadko4Torhachov6n = 10Torhachov took 6 of 10
S4Priadko2Torhachov4n = 6Torhachov took 4 of 6
S5Priadko2Torhachov2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricPriadkoTorhachovP − TBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.839.2−0.4per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPriadkoTorhachovBasisWin rate · lifetime266 / 627 vs 257 / 51242.4%50.2%266 / 627 vs 257 / 512Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.536.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TorhachovPriadko 2.00/Torhachov 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.1%
Torhachov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Priadko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 29 · 10:00S. Priadko—111177123I. Torhachov—421111102
LAug 26 · 15:00S. Priadko—9990I. Torhachov—1111113
WAug 23 · 14:30S. Priadko—136611133I. Torhachov—1111118112
LAug 19 · 13:30S. Priadko—911981I. Torhachov—11811113
LAug 12 · 15:30S. Priadko—9860I. Torhachov—1111113
WAug 9 · 17:08S. Priadko—1711143I. Torhachov—155120
LAug 9 · 12:30S. Priadko—781291I. Torhachov—111110113
LAug 8 · 10:00S. Priadko—11711782I. Torhachov—611711113
LAug 7 · 15:30S. Priadko—127811102I. Torhachov—1011112123
WAug 5 · 15:30S. Priadko—1111123I. Torhachov—99100
S. Priadko10
WSep 6 · 16:00S. Priadko1.6181111103R. Boklah2.20115931LSep 6 · 15:00V. Ziakun1.33111191093S. Priadko3.2557111262LSep 6 · 14:00I. Serdiuk1.5711713113S. Priadko2.255111151LSep 6 · 12:30I. Torhachov1.67916115113S. Priadko2.10111441172LSep 2 · 17:10V. Ziakun1.3311115123S. Priadko3.257711101LSep 2 · 16:30I. Torhachov1.6111911113S. Priadko2.20711841WSep 2 · 15:00S. Priadko1.531181011113R. Boklah2.3851112962LSep 2 · 13:30S. Priadko3.251112951V. Ziakun1.3351411113LSep 2 · 12:00S. Priadko4.504590S. Miroshnychenko1.171111113WAug 29 · 11:30O. Kolos4.503590S. Priadko1.171111113
I. Torhachov10
LSep 6 · 17:00I. Torhachov2.2590I. Serdiuk1.57111WSep 6 · 15:30I. Serdiuk1.91671121I. Torhachov1.801111733LSep 6 · 14:30I. Torhachov1.50111261292R. Boklah2.508101114113LSep 6 · 13:30V. Ziakun1.441311833I. Torhachov2.631141121WSep 6 · 12:30I. Torhachov1.67916115113S. Priadko2.10111441172LSep 2 · 17:39S. Miroshnychenko1.20111110113I. Torhachov4.33381251WSep 2 · 16:30I. Torhachov1.6111911113S. Priadko2.20711841LSep 2 · 15:30I. Torhachov2.637790V. Ziakun1.441111113WSep 2 · 14:00I. Torhachov1.575111210113R. Boklah2.25117101252WSep 2 · 13:00I. Torhachov5.00111176113S. Miroshnychenko1.1465111172
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