TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13037576
Played Aug 29Finished
Oleksandr Kolos
Home
4.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
311511911––––
Serhii Priadko
Away
1.17
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:57 and never touched — 85.6% is still 85.6%
Graded at full timeSerhii Priadko to win
85.6%
85.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Kolos above · Serhii Priadko below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 50 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Serhii Priadko at 85.6%
50 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Kolos 0–12 Serhii Priadko Oleksandr Kolos has won 0 of their 12 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:57What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.17 (79%)
Priadko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-12 in 12
Priadko
Correct
gap of 12 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kolos 1163 vs Priadko 1278
Priadko
Correct
both rated, 115 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolos 40% vs Priadko 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolos 60% vs Priadko 40%
Kolos
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolos +1 · Priadko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 86% — Strong (leans Priadko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Priadko form (40%) is below what odds imply (86%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolos 4.50 / Priadko 1.17
Signal prob.14% / 86%
Edge (Priadko)+6.2pp
Setka Cup · #13037576
Kolos4.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog36% won 19 of 53
Down 0–1, comes back19% 5 of 27
Down 0–2, comes back7% 1 of 15
Priadko1.17
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite77% won 98 of 128
Up 2–0, closes it96% 49 of 51
Up 1–0, closes it89% 70 of 79
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKolos0wins
AwayPriadko10wins
Priadko leads 10–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKolosn = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayPriadko100%10 of 10
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolos0Priadko10n = 10Priadko took 10 of 10
S2Kolos1Priadko9n = 10Priadko took 9 of 10
S3Kolos0Priadko10n = 10Priadko took 10 of 10
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away990%
These 10 meetings
MetricKolosPriadkoK − PBasisWins010−10in 10 meetingsFirst set010−10of 10Avg pointsper match21.134.1−13.0per matchSweeps09−93–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolosPriadkoBasisWin rate · lifetime159 / 308 vs 266 / 62751.6%42.4%159 / 308 vs 266 / 627Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.636.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PriadkoKolos 4.50/Priadko 1.17
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
85.6%
Priadko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Priadko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 22 · 06:30O. Kolos—47110S. Priadko—1111133
LAug 1 · 06:30O. Kolos—39100S. Priadko—1111123
LMay 2 · 11:30O. Kolos—5590S. Priadko—1111113
LApr 11 · 10:00O. Kolos—8960S. Priadko—1111113
LMar 25 · 13:00O. Kolos—10560S. Priadko—1211113
LFeb 11 · 08:00O. Kolos—76100S. Priadko—1111123
LJan 18 · 15:30O. Kolos—9116101S. Priadko—11711123
LJan 3 · 08:30O. Kolos—7380S. Priadko—1111113
LDec 13 · 11:00O. Kolos—2560S. Priadko—1111113
LDec 7 · 14:00O. Kolos—4460S. Priadko—111193
O. Kolos10
WSep 5 · 11:30I. Serdiuk1.2588100O. Kolos3.751111123WSep 5 · 10:00O. Kolos3.00121399113R. Boklah1.361011111132WSep 5 · 08:00A. Fastov1.73931211102O. Kolos2.001111103123LSep 5 · 06:00Y. Priadko1.8014711133O. Kolos1.9112116111WSep 5 · 05:00V. Ananiev2.101111121262O. Kolos1.675131014113WAug 29 · 09:30A. Fastov1.8011237782O. Kolos1.919211111113LAug 29 · 07:30R. Boklah1.3611611113O. Kolos3.00811771LAug 29 · 06:30O. Kolos4.0013151081I. Torhachov1.22151312113LAug 29 · 05:30I. Serdiuk1.301111113O. Kolos3.405950WAug 24 · 17:43O. Kolos2.001011128113Y. Priadko1.73126101182
S. Priadko10
WSep 6 · 16:00S. Priadko1.6181111103R. Boklah2.20115931LSep 6 · 15:00V. Ziakun1.33111191093S. Priadko3.2557111262LSep 6 · 14:00I. Serdiuk1.5711713113S. Priadko2.255111151LSep 6 · 12:30I. Torhachov1.67916115113S. Priadko2.10111441172LSep 2 · 17:10V. Ziakun1.3311115123S. Priadko3.257711101LSep 2 · 16:30I. Torhachov1.6111911113S. Priadko2.20711841WSep 2 · 15:00S. Priadko1.531181011113R. Boklah2.3851112962LSep 2 · 13:30S. Priadko3.251112951V. Ziakun1.3351411113LSep 2 · 12:00S. Priadko4.504590S. Miroshnychenko1.171111113WAug 29 · 10:00S. Priadko2.00111177123I. Torhachov1.73421111102
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