TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13037653
Played Aug 29Finished
Oleksandr Kolos
Home
4.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
131515131012811––
Ihor Torhachov
Away
1.22
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:04 and never touched — 77.4% is still 77.4%
Graded at full timeIhor Torhachov to win
77.4%
77.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Kolos above · Ihor Torhachov below
Set 1 · 13-15
Set 2 · 15-13
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 97 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Ihor Torhachov at 77.4%
97 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Kolos 0–5 Ihor Torhachov Oleksandr Kolos has won 0 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:04What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.22 (77%)
Torhachov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-5 in 5
Torhachov
Correct
gap of 5 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kolos 1163 vs Torhachov 1303
Torhachov
Correct
both rated, 140 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolos 60% vs Torhachov 40%
Kolos
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolos 60% vs Torhachov 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolos -1 · Torhachov +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 81% — Strong (leans Torhachov) · live re-read · sealed at 77% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Torhachov form (40%) is below what odds imply (82%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolos 4.00 / Torhachov 1.22
Signal prob.19% / 81%
Edge (Torhachov)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13037653
Kolos4.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog35% won 20 of 58
Down 0–1, comes back19% 6 of 32
Down 0–2, comes back11% 2 of 18
Torhachov1.22
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite70% won 108 of 155
Up 2–0, closes it100% 48 of 48
Up 1–0, closes it86% 72 of 84
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeKolos0wins
AwayTorhachov5wins
Torhachov leads 5–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKolosn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayTorhachov100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolos1Torhachov4n = 5Torhachov took 4 of 5
S2Kolos2Torhachov3n = 5Torhachov took 3 of 5
S3Kolos1Torhachov4n = 5Torhachov took 4 of 5
S4Kolos0Torhachov4n = 4Torhachov took 4 of 4
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away480%
0–3Straight, away120%
These 5 meetings
MetricKolosTorhachovK − TBasisWins05−5in 5 meetingsFirst set14−3of 5Avg pointsper match29.842.2−12.4per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolosTorhachovBasisWin rate · lifetime158 / 303 vs 257 / 51352.2%50.1%158 / 303 vs 257 / 513Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.736.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TorhachovKolos 4.00/Torhachov 1.22
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
80.6%
Torhachov · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Torhachov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LAug 29 · 06:30O. Kolos—13151081I. Torhachov—151312113
LApr 11 · 05:00O. Kolos—114531I. Torhachov—71111113
LFeb 11 · 05:30O. Kolos—681361I. Torhachov—111111113
LJan 18 · 13:00O. Kolos—5570I. Torhachov—1111113
LNov 16 · 16:30O. Kolos—612661I. Torhachov—111011113
O. Kolos10
WSep 5 · 11:30I. Serdiuk1.2588100O. Kolos3.751111123WSep 5 · 10:00O. Kolos3.00121399113R. Boklah1.361011111132WSep 5 · 08:00A. Fastov1.73931211102O. Kolos2.001111103123LSep 5 · 06:00Y. Priadko1.8014711133O. Kolos1.9112116111WSep 5 · 05:00V. Ananiev2.101111121262O. Kolos1.675131014113LAug 29 · 11:30O. Kolos4.503590S. Priadko1.171111113WAug 29 · 09:30A. Fastov1.8011237782O. Kolos1.919211111113LAug 29 · 07:30R. Boklah1.3611611113O. Kolos3.00811771LAug 29 · 05:30I. Serdiuk1.301111113O. Kolos3.405950WAug 24 · 17:43O. Kolos2.001011128113Y. Priadko1.73126101182
I. Torhachov10
LSep 6 · 17:00I. Torhachov2.2590I. Serdiuk1.57111WSep 6 · 15:30I. Serdiuk1.91671121I. Torhachov1.801111733LSep 6 · 14:30I. Torhachov1.50111261292R. Boklah2.508101114113LSep 6 · 13:30V. Ziakun1.441311833I. Torhachov2.631141121WSep 6 · 12:30I. Torhachov1.67916115113S. Priadko2.10111441172LSep 2 · 17:39S. Miroshnychenko1.20111110113I. Torhachov4.33381251WSep 2 · 16:30I. Torhachov1.6111911113S. Priadko2.20711841LSep 2 · 15:30I. Torhachov2.637790V. Ziakun1.441111113WSep 2 · 14:00I. Torhachov1.575111210113R. Boklah2.25117101252WSep 2 · 13:00I. Torhachov5.00111176113S. Miroshnychenko1.1465111172
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