TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13060361
Played Sep 2Finished
Oleksandr Ziakun
Home
2.63
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
711121010121214––
Oleksandr Syksa
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:54 and never touched — 66.1% is still 66.1%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Syksa to win
66.1%
66.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Ziakun above · Oleksandr Syksa below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 12-14
Point 88 set 4, 12-14 — our read held Oleksandr Syksa at 66.1%
88 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Ziakun 30–65 Oleksandr Syksa Oleksandr Ziakun has won 30 of their 95 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:54What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Syksa
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
30-65 in 95
Syksa
Correct
gap of 35 in 95, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ziakun 1527 vs Syksa 1569
Syksa
Correct
both rated, 43 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ziakun 60% vs Syksa 80%
Syksa
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ziakun 60% vs Syksa 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Ziakun +1 · Syksa +4
Syksa
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Syksa)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Syksa form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZiakun 2.63 / Syksa 1.44
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Syksa)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13060361
Ziakun2.63
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog36% won 94 of 263
Down 0–1, comes back21% 31 of 150
Down 0–2, comes back5% 4 of 79
Syksa1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite69% won 231 of 335
Up 2–0, closes it94% 90 of 96
Up 1–0, closes it82% 153 of 186
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZiakun5wins
AwaySyksa5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZiakun25%1 of 4
AwaySyksa33.3%2 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ziakun4Syksa6n = 10Syksa took 6 of 10
S2Ziakun5Syksa5n = 10split evenly
S3Ziakun5Syksa5n = 10split evenly
S4Ziakun6Syksa3n = 9Ziakun took 6 of 9
S5Ziakun2Syksa3n = 5Syksa took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricZiakunSyksaZ − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match44.944.90.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZiakunSyksaBasisWin rate · lifetime351 / 744 vs 574 / 109847.2%52.3%351 / 744 vs 574 / 1098Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.037.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SyksaZiakun 2.63/Syksa 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.1%
Syksa · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Syksa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 2 · 06:00O. Ziakun—71210121O. Syksa—111012143
WAug 31 · 07:30O. Ziakun—91112123O. Syksa—11410101
LAug 28 · 09:00O. Ziakun—119111392O. Syksa—9111311113
WAug 26 · 07:30O. Ziakun—611711113O. Syksa—11611932
LAug 23 · 05:00O. Ziakun—96100O. Syksa—1111123
WAug 21 · 04:30O. Ziakun—711116113O. Syksa—11991182
LAug 17 · 04:30O. Ziakun—118111192O. Syksa—611813113
WAug 14 · 09:30O. Ziakun—13912133O. Syksa—111110111
LAug 13 · 10:30O. Ziakun—1210511102O. Syksa—1012118123
WAug 10 · 08:30O. Ziakun—81113173O. Syksa—11811151
O. Ziakun10
WSep 3 · 10:30O. Ziakun1.736121014113S. Maliuk2.001110121282WSep 3 · 09:00O. Ziakun1.571111113O. Lyman2.257760LSep 3 · 07:30O. Ziakun2.00118771O. Kurylenko1.7381111113WSep 3 · 06:00O. Ziakun1.441012118153S. Miroshnychenko2.631210711132LSep 3 · 04:30O. Ziakun2.107860D. Kuzmenko1.671111113LSep 2 · 10:30O. Ziakun2.638111151M. Hubenko1.4411139113LSep 2 · 09:00O. Ziakun2.10913881O. Kurylenko1.67111111113LSep 2 · 07:30O. Ziakun2.50691151A. Vasylets1.5011115113WSep 2 · 04:30O. Ziakun2.10111110113D. Kuzmenko1.67861251LAug 31 · 10:30O. Ziakun2.10471191D. Prylepa1.6711118113
O. Syksa10
WSep 7 · 07:00O. Syksa1.6711911113D. Kuzmenko2.10911861WSep 7 · 05:00O. Syksa1.611110911113S. Maliuk2.2051211972WSep 6 · 11:30S. Aristarkhov1.6111971142O. Syksa2.2031111373WSep 6 · 10:00O. Syksa1.2011136113O. Lyman4.338111141WSep 6 · 08:00D. Prylepa2.50111301162O. Syksa1.50215116113LSep 6 · 06:00V. Tatarnykov1.5311118113O. Syksa2.38881151LSep 6 · 05:00M. Hubenko1.5711911133O. Syksa2.256115111LSep 4 · 10:30O. Syksa2.50611691M. Hubenko1.5011611113WSep 4 · 09:00O. Syksa1.4411117123D. Prylepa2.638911101LSep 4 · 07:30O. Syksa1.6741181182O. Kurylenko2.10116118113
Upcoming Matches
O. Ziakun
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O. Syksa
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