TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13049344
Played Aug 31Finished
Oleksandr Ziakun
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
411711118911––
Dmytro Prylepa
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:48 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDmytro Prylepa to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Ziakun above · Dmytro Prylepa below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 72 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Dmytro Prylepa at 54.0%
72 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Ziakun 10–12 Dmytro Prylepa Oleksandr Ziakun has won 10 of their 22 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:48What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Prylepa
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-12 in 22
Prylepa
Correct
gap of 2 in 22, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ziakun 1575 vs Prylepa 1548
Ziakun
Wrong
both rated, 27 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ziakun 60% vs Prylepa 40%
Ziakun
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ziakun 60% vs Prylepa 30%
Ziakun
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Ziakun -1 · Prylepa +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Prylepa)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Prylepa form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZiakun 2.10 / Prylepa 1.67
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Prylepa)-1.8pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13049344
Ziakun2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog35% won 91 of 258
Down 0–1, comes back20% 29 of 147
Down 0–2, comes back5% 4 of 80
Prylepa1.67
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite64% won 137 of 214
Up 2–0, closes it97% 68 of 70
Up 1–0, closes it85% 113 of 133
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZiakun5wins
AwayPrylepa5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZiakun75%3 of 4
AwayPrylepa66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ziakun4Prylepa6n = 10Prylepa took 6 of 10
S2Ziakun2Prylepa8n = 10Prylepa took 8 of 10
S3Ziakun9Prylepa1n = 10Ziakun took 9 of 10
S4Ziakun6Prylepa4n = 10Ziakun took 6 of 10
S5Ziakun1Prylepa2n = 3Prylepa took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricZiakunPrylepaZ − PBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match44.343.1+1.2per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZiakunPrylepaBasisWin rate · lifetime349 / 743 vs 395 / 79647%49.6%349 / 743 vs 395 / 796Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.037.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PrylepaZiakun 2.10/Prylepa 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Prylepa · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Prylepa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 28 · 10:30O. Ziakun—81111123D. Prylepa—1194101
WAug 23 · 07:00O. Ziakun—11911113D. Prylepa—611861
LAug 13 · 09:00O. Ziakun—791171D. Prylepa—11119113
WAug 3 · 10:00O. Ziakun—61911123D. Prylepa—11177101
LJul 18 · 13:30O. Ziakun—510111592D. Prylepa—1112713113
WJun 29 · 04:30O. Ziakun—13111112113D. Prylepa—111361442
LJun 26 · 09:30O. Ziakun—6101981D. Prylepa—111217113
WJun 22 · 07:00O. Ziakun—11811113D. Prylepa—411961
LJun 18 · 09:00O. Ziakun—771191D. Prylepa—11119113
LJun 5 · 09:00O. Ziakun—121291172D. Prylepa—1014118113
O. Ziakun10
WSep 3 · 10:30O. Ziakun1.736121014113S. Maliuk2.001110121282WSep 3 · 09:00O. Ziakun1.571111113O. Lyman2.257760LSep 3 · 07:30O. Ziakun2.00118771O. Kurylenko1.7381111113WSep 3 · 06:00O. Ziakun1.441012118153S. Miroshnychenko2.631210711132LSep 3 · 04:30O. Ziakun2.107860D. Kuzmenko1.671111113LSep 2 · 10:30O. Ziakun2.638111151M. Hubenko1.4411139113LSep 2 · 09:00O. Ziakun2.10913881O. Kurylenko1.67111111113LSep 2 · 07:30O. Ziakun2.50691151A. Vasylets1.5011115113LSep 2 · 06:00O. Ziakun2.6371210121O. Syksa1.44111012143WSep 2 · 04:30O. Ziakun2.10111110113D. Kuzmenko1.67861251
D. Prylepa10
WSep 7 · 07:30D. Prylepa1.619111011113O. Kurylenko2.2011412842LSep 7 · 06:00D. Prylepa1.61115551S. Maliuk2.2091111113LSep 7 · 04:30D. Prylepa3.00119471S. Chuhai1.3691111113WSep 6 · 11:00D. Prylepa1.3381111113O. Lyman3.25117881WSep 6 · 09:00V. Tatarnykov1.5011116762D. Prylepa2.50791111113LSep 6 · 08:00D. Prylepa2.50111301162O. Syksa1.50215116113LSep 6 · 07:00M. Hubenko1.531211113D. Prylepa2.3810570LSep 6 · 05:30D. Prylepa2.6331141172S. Aristarkhov1.44118117113LSep 4 · 11:00D. Prylepa1.5767111192S. Maliuk2.25111168113LSep 4 · 09:00O. Syksa1.4411117123D. Prylepa2.638911101
Upcoming Matches
O. Ziakun
Nothing scheduled
D. Prylepa
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