TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13060502
Played Sep 2Finished
Oleksandr Ziakun
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
8111113119511––
Maksym Hubenko
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:44 and never touched — 66.9% is still 66.9%
Graded at full timeMaksym Hubenko to win
66.9%
66.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Ziakun above · Maksym Hubenko below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 79 set 4, 5-11 — our read held Maksym Hubenko at 66.9%
79 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Ziakun 13–42 Maksym Hubenko Oleksandr Ziakun has won 13 of their 55 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:44What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Hubenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-42 in 55
Hubenko
Correct
gap of 29 in 55, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ziakun 1529 vs Hubenko 1691
Hubenko
Correct
both rated, 161 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ziakun 20% vs Hubenko 60%
Hubenko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ziakun 40% vs Hubenko 80%
Hubenko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Ziakun -3 · Hubenko +1
Ziakun
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Hubenko) · live re-read · sealed at 67% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ziakun form (20%) is below what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZiakun 2.63 / Hubenko 1.44
Signal prob.31% / 69%
Edge (Hubenko)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13060502
Ziakun2.63
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog36% won 93 of 260
Down 0–1, comes back21% 31 of 148
Down 0–2, comes back5% 4 of 79
Hubenko1.44
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite74% won 232 of 315
Up 2–0, closes it94% 116 of 123
Up 1–0, closes it84% 161 of 192
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZiakun5wins
AwayHubenko5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZiakunn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayHubenko62.5%5 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ziakun2Hubenko8n = 10Hubenko took 8 of 10
S2Ziakun6Hubenko4n = 10Ziakun took 6 of 10
S3Ziakun7Hubenko3n = 10Ziakun took 7 of 10
S4Ziakun5Hubenko4n = 9Ziakun took 5 of 9
S5Ziakun2Hubenko3n = 5Hubenko took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricZiakunHubenkoZ − HBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match41.944.9−3.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZiakunHubenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime350 / 744 vs 536 / 101547%52.8%350 / 744 vs 536 / 1015Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.138.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HubenkoZiakun 2.63/Hubenko 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.9%
Hubenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Hubenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 28 · 04:30O. Ziakun—111189113M. Hubenko—79111182
LAug 26 · 06:00O. Ziakun—71111662M. Hubenko—116911113
WAug 25 · 08:30O. Ziakun—111113113M. Hubenko—1391181
WAug 21 · 10:30O. Ziakun—111136123M. Hubenko—1171111102
LAug 19 · 10:30O. Ziakun—613771M. Hubenko—111111113
LAug 13 · 06:00O. Ziakun—7970M. Hubenko—1111113
LAug 11 · 10:30O. Ziakun—137111122M. Hubenko—151148113
WAug 4 · 10:30O. Ziakun—13812113M. Hubenko—11111091
WJul 22 · 07:30O. Ziakun—191111123M. Hubenko—2179101
LJul 18 · 12:00O. Ziakun—87111152M. Hubenko—111198113
O. Ziakun10
WSep 3 · 10:30O. Ziakun1.736121014113S. Maliuk2.001110121282WSep 3 · 09:00O. Ziakun1.571111113O. Lyman2.257760LSep 3 · 07:30O. Ziakun2.00118771O. Kurylenko1.7381111113WSep 3 · 06:00O. Ziakun1.441012118153S. Miroshnychenko2.631210711132LSep 3 · 04:30O. Ziakun2.107860D. Kuzmenko1.671111113LSep 2 · 09:00O. Ziakun2.10913881O. Kurylenko1.67111111113LSep 2 · 07:30O. Ziakun2.50691151A. Vasylets1.5011115113LSep 2 · 06:00O. Ziakun2.6371210121O. Syksa1.44111012143WSep 2 · 04:30O. Ziakun2.10111110113D. Kuzmenko1.67861251LAug 31 · 10:30O. Ziakun2.10471191D. Prylepa1.6711118113
M. Hubenko10
LSep 6 · 10:30V. Tatarnykov2.00812114133M. Hubenko1.731110911112WSep 6 · 09:30M. Hubenko1.831113113S. Aristarkhov1.8361160WSep 6 · 08:30M. Hubenko1.3011311113O. Lyman3.40411791WSep 6 · 07:00M. Hubenko1.531211113D. Prylepa2.3810570WSep 6 · 05:00M. Hubenko1.5711911133O. Syksa2.256115111LSep 5 · 17:10M. Hubenko1.83121160S. Aristarkhov1.831413113WSep 5 · 16:00M. Hubenko1.28138611133D. Kuzmenko3.501111119112WSep 5 · 15:00A. Vasylets2.38651171M. Hubenko1.5311118103WSep 5 · 14:00V. Tatarnykov2.0010960M. Hubenko1.731211113LSep 5 · 12:30S. Aristarkhov1.836111112113M. Hubenko1.8311491442
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.