TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13079216
Played Sep 5Finished
Yurii Priadko
Home
4.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
911911119811––
Andrii Fastov
Away
1.17
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:37 and never touched — 85.6% is still 85.6%
Graded at full timeAndrii Fastov to win
85.6%
85.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYurii Priadko above · Andrii Fastov below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 79 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Andrii Fastov at 85.6%
79 points played in total.
H2H Yurii Priadko 2–19 Andrii Fastov Yurii Priadko has won 2 of their 21 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:37What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.17 (79%)
Fastov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-19 in 21
Fastov
Correct
gap of 17 in 21, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Priadko 1118 vs Fastov 1207
Fastov
Correct
both rated, 88 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Priadko 60% vs Fastov 40%
Priadko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Priadko 70% vs Fastov 50%
Priadko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Priadko -1 · Fastov -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 84% — Strong (leans Fastov) · live re-read · sealed at 86% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fastov form (40%) is below what odds imply (86%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPriadko 4.50 / Fastov 1.17
Signal prob.16% / 84%
Edge (Fastov)+4.3pp
Setka Cup · #13079216
Priadko4.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog18% won 10 of 56
Down 0–1, comes back0% 0 of 37
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 28
Fastov1.17
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite75% won 67 of 89
Up 2–0, closes it93% 41 of 44
Up 1–0, closes it90% 54 of 60
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePriadko1wins
AwayFastov9wins
1 of 10 to a deciderFastov leads 9–1, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePriadkon = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayFastov100%9 of 9
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Priadko1Fastov9n = 10Fastov took 9 of 10
S2Priadko2Fastov8n = 10Fastov took 8 of 10
S3Priadko3Fastov7n = 10Fastov took 7 of 10
S4Priadko1Fastov5n = 6Fastov took 5 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricPriadkoFastovP − FBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set19−8of 10Avg pointsper match30.037.6−7.6per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPriadkoFastovBasisWin rate · lifetime113 / 232 vs 111 / 21548.7%51.6%113 / 232 vs 111 / 215Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.837.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FastovPriadko 4.50/Fastov 1.17
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
83.7%
Fastov · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Fastov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 15 · 11:30Y. Priadko—711891A. Fastov—11311113
LJul 25 · 11:30Y. Priadko—991181A. Fastov—11115113
LJul 20 · 15:30Y. Priadko—511771A. Fastov—11411113
LJul 18 · 08:00Y. Priadko—781131A. Fastov—11119113
LJul 11 · 10:30Y. Priadko—4890A. Fastov—1111113
LJul 4 · 09:30Y. Priadko—81030A. Fastov—1112113
LJul 1 · 16:30Y. Priadko—10990A. Fastov—1211113
LJun 27 · 05:30Y. Priadko—771181A. Fastov—11118113
WJun 20 · 08:00Y. Priadko—118811113A. Fastov—91111892
LMay 30 · 11:30Y. Priadko—3860A. Fastov—1111113
Y. Priadko10
LSep 5 · 10:30Y. Priadko2.631183121V. Ananiev1.4471111143LSep 5 · 07:30Y. Priadko4.0091111101I. Serdiuk1.2211135123WSep 5 · 06:00Y. Priadko1.8014711133O. Kolos1.9112116111WSep 5 · 04:30Y. Priadko1.80111168113R. Boklah1.9198111142LAug 31 · 17:34V. Ivnytskyi3.00111146113Y. Priadko1.3668111182WAug 31 · 16:30Y. Priadko1.2851111123V. Klymenko3.501197101WAug 31 · 15:30Y. Priadko1.401111113D. Aldayev2.753760WAug 31 · 14:00Y. Priadko1.308121111113V. Ivnytskyi3.40111013772WAug 31 · 13:00Y. Priadko1.071111113M. Bukata7.506680LAug 24 · 17:43O. Kolos2.001011128113Y. Priadko1.73126101182
A. Fastov10
LSep 5 · 11:00A. Fastov2.0014137882R. Boklah1.7312111111113LSep 5 · 08:00A. Fastov1.73931211102O. Kolos2.001111103123WSep 5 · 07:00V. Ananiev2.6396111152A. Fastov1.44111198113LSep 5 · 05:30A. Fastov2.75137761I. Serdiuk1.40111111113WAug 29 · 10:30R. Boklah1.577870A. Fastov2.251111113LAug 29 · 09:30A. Fastov1.8011237782O. Kolos1.919211111113LAug 29 · 08:30A. Fastov3.4012961192I. Torhachov1.301011118113WAug 29 · 07:00A. Fastov3.401111411153I. Serdiuk1.30713118132WAug 29 · 05:00A. Fastov3.001111510113S. Priadko1.3699111292WAug 22 · 10:30R. Boklah1.50111471122A. Fastov2.50616115113
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.