TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13037518
Played Aug 29Finished
Andrii Fastov
Home
3.40
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1210911611118911
Ihor Torhachov
Away
1.30
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:03 and never touched — 74.7% is still 74.7%
Graded at full timeIhor Torhachov to win
74.7%
74.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAndrii Fastov above · Ihor Torhachov below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 98 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Ihor Torhachov at 74.7%
98 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Fastov 0–8 Ihor Torhachov Andrii Fastov has won 0 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:03What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (72%)
Torhachov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-8 in 8
Torhachov
Correct
gap of 8 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Fastov 1228 vs Torhachov 1283
Torhachov
Correct
both rated, 55 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Fastov 60% vs Torhachov 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Fastov 70% vs Torhachov 50%
Fastov
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Fastov +3 · Torhachov +2
Fastov
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 74% — Strong (leans Torhachov) · live re-read · sealed at 75% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Torhachov form (60%) is below what odds imply (77%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFastov 3.40 / Torhachov 1.30
Signal prob.26% / 74%
Edge (Torhachov)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13037518
Fastov3.40
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog23% won 15 of 66
Down 0–1, comes back10% 4 of 40
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 23
Torhachov1.30
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite70% won 105 of 151
Up 2–0, closes it100% 48 of 48
Up 1–0, closes it85% 70 of 82
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeFastov0wins
AwayTorhachov8wins
2 of 8 to a deciderTorhachov leads 8–0, and 2 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFastovn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayTorhachov100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Fastov1Torhachov7n = 8Torhachov took 7 of 8
S2Fastov2Torhachov6n = 8Torhachov took 6 of 8
S3Fastov4Torhachov4n = 8split evenly
S4Fastov1Torhachov5n = 6Torhachov took 5 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away225%
1–3Four sets, away450%
0–3Straight, away225%
These 8 meetings
MetricFastovTorhachovF − TBasisWins08−8in 8 meetingsFirst set17−6of 8Avg pointsper match32.642.0−9.4per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFastovTorhachovBasisWin rate · lifetime109 / 209 vs 255 / 50952.2%50.1%109 / 209 vs 255 / 509Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.736.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TorhachovFastov 3.40/Torhachov 1.30
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
73.9%
Torhachov · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Torhachov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LJul 29 · 15:30A. Fastov—10711101I. Torhachov—12117123
LJul 12 · 13:00A. Fastov—11116842I. Torhachov—881111113
LJul 8 · 13:30A. Fastov—451191I. Torhachov—11118113
LMay 16 · 09:00A. Fastov—75141152I. Torhachov—1111129113
LMar 28 · 11:30A. Fastov—91170I. Torhachov—1113113
LMar 21 · 11:00A. Fastov—6101161I. Torhachov—11127113
LMar 14 · 09:30A. Fastov—911461I. Torhachov—11811113
LFeb 8 · 15:30A. Fastov—4990I. Torhachov—1111113
A. Fastov10
LSep 5 · 11:00A. Fastov2.0014137882R. Boklah1.7312111111113WSep 5 · 09:00Y. Priadko4.50991181A. Fastov1.1711119113LSep 5 · 08:00A. Fastov1.73931211102O. Kolos2.001111103123WSep 5 · 07:00V. Ananiev2.6396111152A. Fastov1.44111198113LSep 5 · 05:30A. Fastov2.75137761I. Serdiuk1.40111111113WAug 29 · 10:30R. Boklah1.577870A. Fastov2.251111113LAug 29 · 09:30A. Fastov1.8011237782O. Kolos1.919211111113WAug 29 · 07:00A. Fastov3.401111411153I. Serdiuk1.30713118132WAug 29 · 05:00A. Fastov3.001111510113S. Priadko1.3699111292WAug 22 · 10:30R. Boklah1.50111471122A. Fastov2.50616115113
I. Torhachov10
LSep 6 · 17:00I. Torhachov2.2590I. Serdiuk1.57111WSep 6 · 15:30I. Serdiuk1.91671121I. Torhachov1.801111733LSep 6 · 14:30I. Torhachov1.50111261292R. Boklah2.508101114113LSep 6 · 13:30V. Ziakun1.441311833I. Torhachov2.631141121WSep 6 · 12:30I. Torhachov1.67916115113S. Priadko2.10111441172LSep 2 · 17:39S. Miroshnychenko1.20111110113I. Torhachov4.33381251WSep 2 · 16:30I. Torhachov1.6111911113S. Priadko2.20711841LSep 2 · 15:30I. Torhachov2.637790V. Ziakun1.441111113WSep 2 · 14:00I. Torhachov1.575111210113R. Boklah2.25117101252WSep 2 · 13:00I. Torhachov5.00111176113S. Miroshnychenko1.1465111172
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