TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13079154
Played Sep 5Finished
Vitalii Ananiev
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
911611119118511
Andrii Fastov
Away
1.44
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:27 and never touched — 65.7% is still 65.7%
Graded at full timeAndrii Fastov to win
65.7%
65.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVitalii Ananiev above · Andrii Fastov below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 5-11
Point 92 set 5, 5-11 — our read held Andrii Fastov at 65.7%
92 points played in total.
H2H Vitalii Ananiev 6–9 Andrii Fastov Vitalii Ananiev has won 6 of their 15 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:27What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Fastov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-9 in 15
Fastov
Correct
gap of 3 in 15, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ananiev 1235 vs Fastov 1201
Ananiev
Wrong
both rated, 34 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ananiev 20% vs Fastov 40%
Fastov
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ananiev 20% vs Fastov 50%
Fastov
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Ananiev -4 · Fastov -1
Ananiev
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Fastov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fastov form (40%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAnaniev 2.63 / Fastov 1.44
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Fastov)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13079154
Ananiev2.63
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog28% won 29 of 105
Down 0–1, comes back18% 10 of 57
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 31
Fastov1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite75% won 69 of 92
Up 2–0, closes it94% 43 of 46
Up 1–0, closes it90% 56 of 62
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeAnaniev4wins
AwayFastov6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderFastov leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeAnaniev75%3 of 4
AwayFastov83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ananiev4Fastov6n = 10Fastov took 6 of 10
S2Ananiev3Fastov7n = 10Fastov took 7 of 10
S3Ananiev4Fastov6n = 10Fastov took 6 of 10
S4Ananiev4Fastov4n = 8split evenly
S5Ananiev3Fastov2n = 5Ananiev took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricAnanievFastovA − FBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match40.042.5−2.5per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAnanievFastovBasisWin rate · lifetime124 / 290 vs 112 / 21742.8%51.6%124 / 290 vs 112 / 217Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.238.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FastovAnaniev 2.63/Fastov 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.7%
Fastov · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Fastov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 5 · 07:00V. Ananiev—96111152A. Fastov—111198113
LAug 22 · 05:00V. Ananiev—6740A. Fastov—1111113
WAug 15 · 05:00V. Ananiev—12121111113A. Fastov—141091352
WJul 29 · 16:30V. Ananiev—1111511113A. Fastov—69111382
LJul 22 · 13:00V. Ananiev—11670A. Fastov—1311113
LJul 18 · 11:30V. Ananiev—7711111A. Fastov—11117133
WJul 8 · 17:15V. Ananiev—11116113A. Fastov—391191
WJul 8 · 15:30V. Ananiev—1110911113A. Fastov—81211732
LApr 5 · 16:59V. Ananiev—991271A. Fastov—111110113
LApr 5 · 16:00V. Ananiev—112912132A. Fastov—4111110153
V. Ananiev10
WSep 5 · 10:30Y. Priadko2.631183121V. Ananiev1.4471111143WSep 5 · 09:30V. Ananiev3.401111113I. Serdiuk1.304980WSep 5 · 08:30V. Ananiev1.571211113R. Boklah2.2510290LSep 5 · 05:00V. Ananiev2.101111121262O. Kolos1.675131014113LAug 22 · 11:30O. Kolos1.73119511113V. Ananiev2.0071111852LAug 22 · 10:00V. Ananiev2.631151151S. Priadko1.4481113113LAug 22 · 08:00I. Serdiuk1.3381111113V. Ananiev3.25119671WAug 22 · 06:00R. Boklah2.258730V. Ananiev1.571111113LAug 22 · 05:00A. Fastov1.611111113V. Ananiev2.206740LAug 19 · 16:30V. Ananiev2.639111061S. Priadko1.4411912113
A. Fastov10
LSep 5 · 11:00A. Fastov2.0014137882R. Boklah1.7312111111113WSep 5 · 09:00Y. Priadko4.50991181A. Fastov1.1711119113LSep 5 · 08:00A. Fastov1.73931211102O. Kolos2.001111103123LSep 5 · 05:30A. Fastov2.75137761I. Serdiuk1.40111111113WAug 29 · 10:30R. Boklah1.577870A. Fastov2.251111113LAug 29 · 09:30A. Fastov1.8011237782O. Kolos1.919211111113LAug 29 · 08:30A. Fastov3.4012961192I. Torhachov1.301011118113WAug 29 · 07:00A. Fastov3.401111411153I. Serdiuk1.30713118132WAug 29 · 05:00A. Fastov3.001111510113S. Priadko1.3699111292WAug 22 · 05:00A. Fastov1.611111113V. Ananiev2.206740
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