TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12472125
Played Aug 22Finished
Andrii Fastov
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
116117114––––
Vitalii Ananiev
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:18 and never touched — 58.7% is still 58.7%
Graded at full timeAndrii Fastov to win
58.7%
58.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAndrii Fastov above · Vitalii Ananiev below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-4
Point 50 set 3, 11-4 — our read held Andrii Fastov at 58.7%
50 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Fastov 7–6 Vitalii Ananiev Vitalii Ananiev has won 6 of their 13 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:18What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Fastov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-6 in 13
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Fastov 1196 vs Ananiev 1195
Fastov
Correct
both rated, 1 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Fastov 60% vs Ananiev 20%
Fastov
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Fastov 70% vs Ananiev 40%
Fastov
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Fastov +2 · Ananiev -3
Ananiev
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Fastov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ananiev form (20%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFastov 1.61 / Ananiev 2.20
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Fastov)+1.0pp
Setka Cup · #12472125
Fastov1.61
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite77% won 66 of 86
Up 2–0, closes it98% 40 of 41
Up 1–0, closes it93% 53 of 57
Ananiev2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog28% won 30 of 107
Down 0–1, comes back17% 10 of 60
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 33
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeFastov5wins
AwayAnaniev5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFastov80%4 of 5
AwayAnaniev80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Fastov5Ananiev5n = 10split evenly
S2Fastov7Ananiev3n = 10Fastov took 7 of 10
S3Fastov7Ananiev3n = 10Fastov took 7 of 10
S4Fastov4Ananiev4n = 8split evenly
S5Fastov1Ananiev4n = 5Ananiev took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricFastovAnanievF − ABasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match42.841.4+1.4per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFastovAnanievBasisWin rate · lifetime104 / 202 vs 120 / 28451.5%42.3%104 / 202 vs 120 / 284Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FastovFastov 1.61/Ananiev 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.7%
Fastov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Fastov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 15 · 05:00A. Fastov—141091352V. Ananiev—12121111113
LJul 29 · 16:30A. Fastov—69111382V. Ananiev—1111511113
WJul 22 · 13:00A. Fastov—1311113V. Ananiev—11670
WJul 18 · 11:30A. Fastov—11117133V. Ananiev—7711111
LJul 8 · 17:15A. Fastov—391191V. Ananiev—11116113
LJul 8 · 15:30A. Fastov—81211732V. Ananiev—1110911113
WApr 5 · 16:59A. Fastov—111110113V. Ananiev—991271
WApr 5 · 16:00A. Fastov—4111110153V. Ananiev—112912132
WFeb 21 · 11:00A. Fastov—1117113V. Ananiev—51540
LJan 24 · 12:30A. Fastov—71211982V. Ananiev—1110611113
A. Fastov10
LSep 5 · 11:00A. Fastov2.0014137882R. Boklah1.7312111111113WSep 5 · 09:00Y. Priadko4.50991181A. Fastov1.1711119113LSep 5 · 08:00A. Fastov1.73931211102O. Kolos2.001111103123WSep 5 · 07:00V. Ananiev2.6396111152A. Fastov1.44111198113LSep 5 · 05:30A. Fastov2.75137761I. Serdiuk1.40111111113WAug 29 · 10:30R. Boklah1.577870A. Fastov2.251111113LAug 29 · 09:30A. Fastov1.8011237782O. Kolos1.919211111113LAug 29 · 08:30A. Fastov3.4012961192I. Torhachov1.301011118113WAug 29 · 07:00A. Fastov3.401111411153I. Serdiuk1.30713118132WAug 29 · 05:00A. Fastov3.001111510113S. Priadko1.3699111292
V. Ananiev10
WSep 5 · 10:30Y. Priadko2.631183121V. Ananiev1.4471111143WSep 5 · 09:30V. Ananiev3.401111113I. Serdiuk1.304980WSep 5 · 08:30V. Ananiev1.571211113R. Boklah2.2510290LSep 5 · 07:00V. Ananiev2.6396111152A. Fastov1.44111198113LSep 5 · 05:00V. Ananiev2.101111121262O. Kolos1.675131014113LAug 22 · 11:30O. Kolos1.73119511113V. Ananiev2.0071111852LAug 22 · 10:00V. Ananiev2.631151151S. Priadko1.4481113113LAug 22 · 08:00I. Serdiuk1.3381111113V. Ananiev3.25119671WAug 22 · 06:00R. Boklah2.258730V. Ananiev1.571111113LAug 19 · 16:30V. Ananiev2.639111061S. Priadko1.4411912113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.