TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12471828
Played Aug 22Finished
Roman Boklah
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811711311––––
Vitalii Ananiev
Away
1.57
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:48 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVitalii Ananiev to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRoman Boklah above · Vitalii Ananiev below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 3-11
Point 51 set 3, 3-11 — our read held Vitalii Ananiev at 54.0%
51 points played in total.
H2H Roman Boklah 25–39 Vitalii Ananiev Roman Boklah has won 25 of their 64 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:48What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Ananiev
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
25-39 in 64
Ananiev
Correct
gap of 14 in 64, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Boklah 1182 vs Ananiev 1169
Boklah
Wrong
both rated, 13 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Boklah 20% vs Ananiev 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Boklah 50% vs Ananiev 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Boklah -3 · Ananiev -4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Ananiev) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ananiev form (20%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBoklah 2.25 / Ananiev 1.57
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Ananiev)+2.0pp
Setka Cup · #12471828
Boklah2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog27% won 49 of 183
Down 0–1, comes back12% 15 of 124
Down 0–2, comes back1% 1 of 81
Ananiev1.57
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite81% won 26 of 32
Up 2–0, closes it100% 11 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it85% 17 of 20
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBoklah2wins
AwayAnaniev8wins
Ananiev leads 8–2.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBoklahn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayAnaniev87.5%7 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Boklah2Ananiev8n = 10Ananiev took 8 of 10
S2Boklah3Ananiev7n = 10Ananiev took 7 of 10
S3Boklah4Ananiev6n = 10Ananiev took 6 of 10
S4Boklah2Ananiev5n = 7Ananiev took 5 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricBoklahAnanievB − ABasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match29.738.3−8.6per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBoklahAnanievBasisWin rate · lifetime263 / 618 vs 121 / 28942.6%41.9%263 / 618 vs 121 / 289Avg sets wonper match1.81.9per matchAvg pointsper match35.437.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AnanievBoklah 2.25/Ananiev 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.9%
Ananiev · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Ananiev won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 22 · 06:00R. Boklah—8730V. Ananiev—1111113
LAug 19 · 13:00R. Boklah—1251181V. Ananiev—101113113
WAug 12 · 12:00R. Boklah—11114113V. Ananiev—871191
LAug 5 · 17:33R. Boklah—791161V. Ananiev—11114113
LAug 5 · 12:00R. Boklah—811421V. Ananiev—11511113
LJul 31 · 16:00R. Boklah—3111101V. Ananiev—11118123
LJul 29 · 12:00R. Boklah—9830V. Ananiev—1111113
WJul 22 · 14:00R. Boklah—71112113V. Ananiev—1191091
LJul 15 · 13:00R. Boklah—1391191V. Ananiev—15117113
LJul 10 · 17:29R. Boklah—21350V. Ananiev—1115113
R. Boklah10
LSep 6 · 17:29R. Boklah4.508680V. Ziakun1.171111113LSep 6 · 16:00S. Priadko1.6181111103R. Boklah2.20115931WSep 6 · 14:30I. Torhachov1.50111261292R. Boklah2.508101114113WSep 6 · 13:00I. Serdiuk1.2081231182R. Boklah4.331110113113LSep 6 · 12:00V. Ziakun1.171111113R. Boklah4.504680WSep 5 · 11:00A. Fastov2.0014137882R. Boklah1.7312111111113LSep 5 · 10:00O. Kolos3.00121399113R. Boklah1.361011111132LSep 5 · 08:30V. Ananiev1.571211113R. Boklah2.2510290LSep 5 · 06:30I. Serdiuk1.2011119113R. Boklah4.33471151LSep 5 · 04:30Y. Priadko1.80111168113R. Boklah1.9198111142
V. Ananiev10
WSep 5 · 10:30Y. Priadko2.631183121V. Ananiev1.4471111143WSep 5 · 09:30V. Ananiev3.401111113I. Serdiuk1.304980WSep 5 · 08:30V. Ananiev1.571211113R. Boklah2.2510290LSep 5 · 07:00V. Ananiev2.6396111152A. Fastov1.44111198113LSep 5 · 05:00V. Ananiev2.101111121262O. Kolos1.675131014113LAug 22 · 11:30O. Kolos1.73119511113V. Ananiev2.0071111852LAug 22 · 10:00V. Ananiev2.631151151S. Priadko1.4481113113LAug 22 · 08:00I. Serdiuk1.3381111113V. Ananiev3.25119671LAug 22 · 05:00A. Fastov1.611111113V. Ananiev2.206740LAug 19 · 16:30V. Ananiev2.639111061S. Priadko1.4411912113
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