TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12471817
Played Aug 22Finished
Vitalii Ananiev
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1185111113511––
Serhii Priadko
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:47 and never touched — 75.3% is still 75.3%
Graded at full timeSerhii Priadko to win
75.3%
75.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVitalii Ananiev above · Serhii Priadko below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-13
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 75 set 4, 5-11 — our read held Serhii Priadko at 75.3%
75 points played in total.
H2H Vitalii Ananiev 13–46 Serhii Priadko Vitalii Ananiev has won 13 of their 59 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:47What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Priadko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-46 in 59
Priadko
Correct
gap of 33 in 59, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ananiev 1169 vs Priadko 1310
Priadko
Correct
both rated, 142 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ananiev 20% vs Priadko 100%
Priadko
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ananiev 40% vs Priadko 60%
Priadko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Ananiev -1 · Priadko +5
Priadko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 80% — Strong (leans Priadko) · live re-read · sealed at 75% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Priadko form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAnaniev 2.63 / Priadko 1.44
Signal prob.20% / 80%
Edge (Priadko)+15.8pp
Setka Cup · #12471817
Ananiev2.63
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog28% won 30 of 107
Down 0–1, comes back17% 10 of 60
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 33
Priadko1.44
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite75% won 96 of 128
Up 2–0, closes it96% 49 of 51
Up 1–0, closes it87% 69 of 79
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeAnaniev4wins
AwayPriadko6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderPriadko leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeAnaniev50%2 of 4
AwayPriadko66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ananiev4Priadko6n = 10Priadko took 6 of 10
S2Ananiev4Priadko6n = 10Priadko took 6 of 10
S3Ananiev4Priadko6n = 10Priadko took 6 of 10
S4Ananiev2Priadko4n = 6Priadko took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricAnanievPriadkoA − PBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match35.536.8−1.3per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAnanievPriadkoBasisWin rate · lifetime121 / 289 vs 265 / 62341.9%42.5%121 / 289 vs 265 / 623Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.036.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PriadkoAnaniev 2.63/Priadko 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
80.3%
Priadko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Priadko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 22 · 10:00V. Ananiev—1151151S. Priadko—81113113
LAug 19 · 16:30V. Ananiev—9111061S. Priadko—11912113
LAug 12 · 13:30V. Ananiev—11111381S. Priadko—131311113
LAug 5 · 13:30V. Ananiev—91150S. Priadko—1113113
LJul 31 · 12:00V. Ananiev—116971S. Priadko—61111113
WJul 29 · 15:00V. Ananiev—1111113S. Priadko—5890
LJul 24 · 14:30V. Ananiev—9740S. Priadko—1111113
WJul 22 · 16:30V. Ananiev—911711113S. Priadko—11611882
WJul 15 · 17:04V. Ananiev—1211113S. Priadko—10650
WJul 15 · 15:30V. Ananiev—881111123S. Priadko—111153102
V. Ananiev10
WSep 5 · 10:30Y. Priadko2.631183121V. Ananiev1.4471111143WSep 5 · 09:30V. Ananiev3.401111113I. Serdiuk1.304980WSep 5 · 08:30V. Ananiev1.571211113R. Boklah2.2510290LSep 5 · 07:00V. Ananiev2.6396111152A. Fastov1.44111198113LSep 5 · 05:00V. Ananiev2.101111121262O. Kolos1.675131014113LAug 22 · 11:30O. Kolos1.73119511113V. Ananiev2.0071111852LAug 22 · 08:00I. Serdiuk1.3381111113V. Ananiev3.25119671WAug 22 · 06:00R. Boklah2.258730V. Ananiev1.571111113LAug 22 · 05:00A. Fastov1.611111113V. Ananiev2.206740LAug 19 · 16:30V. Ananiev2.639111061S. Priadko1.4411912113
S. Priadko10
WSep 6 · 16:00S. Priadko1.6181111103R. Boklah2.20115931LSep 6 · 15:00V. Ziakun1.33111191093S. Priadko3.2557111262LSep 6 · 14:00I. Serdiuk1.5711713113S. Priadko2.255111151LSep 6 · 12:30I. Torhachov1.67916115113S. Priadko2.10111441172LSep 2 · 17:10V. Ziakun1.3311115123S. Priadko3.257711101LSep 2 · 16:30I. Torhachov1.6111911113S. Priadko2.20711841WSep 2 · 15:00S. Priadko1.531181011113R. Boklah2.3851112962LSep 2 · 13:30S. Priadko3.251112951V. Ziakun1.3351411113LSep 2 · 12:00S. Priadko4.504590S. Miroshnychenko1.171111113WAug 19 · 16:30V. Ananiev2.639111061S. Priadko1.4411912113
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