TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13037680
Played Aug 29Finished
Andrii Fastov
Home
3.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1191195111012119
Serhii Priadko
Away
1.36
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:02 and never touched — 73.2% is still 73.2%
Graded at full timeSerhii Priadko to win
73.2%
73.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingAndrii Fastov above · Serhii Priadko below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 10-12
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 98 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Serhii Priadko at 73.2%
98 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Fastov 5–16 Serhii Priadko Andrii Fastov has won 5 of their 21 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:02What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Priadko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-16 in 21
Priadko
Wrong
gap of 11 in 21, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Fastov 1200 vs Priadko 1279
Priadko
Wrong
both rated, 80 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Fastov 60% vs Priadko 20%
Fastov
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Fastov 60% vs Priadko 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Fastov +1 · Priadko -3
Priadko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Priadko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Priadko form (20%) is below what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFastov 3.00 / Priadko 1.36
Signal prob.27% / 73%
Edge (Priadko)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13037680
Fastov3.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog23% won 15 of 66
Down 0–1, comes back10% 4 of 40
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 23
Priadko1.36
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite77% won 98 of 128
Up 2–0, closes it96% 49 of 51
Up 1–0, closes it89% 70 of 79
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeFastov1wins
AwayPriadko9wins
4 of 10 to a deciderPriadko leads 9–1, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFastov25%1 of 4
AwayPriadko100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Fastov4Priadko6n = 10Priadko took 6 of 10
S2Fastov4Priadko6n = 10Priadko took 6 of 10
S3Fastov3Priadko7n = 10Priadko took 7 of 10
S4Fastov4Priadko4n = 8split evenly
S5Fastov0Priadko4n = 4Priadko took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricFastovPriadkoF − PBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match35.640.8−5.2per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFastovPriadkoBasisWin rate · lifetime107 / 207 vs 263 / 62251.7%42.3%107 / 207 vs 263 / 622Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.636.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PriadkoFastov 3.00/Priadko 1.36
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
73.2%
Priadko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Fastov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 1 · 09:30A. Fastov—1111113S. Priadko—2670
LJul 29 · 14:00A. Fastov—8570S. Priadko—1111113
LJul 27 · 16:30A. Fastov—4116111S. Priadko—11811133
LJul 22 · 12:00A. Fastov—4101161S. Priadko—11127113
LJul 20 · 14:30A. Fastov—1111791S. Priadko—13711113
LJul 17 · 15:30A. Fastov—116891S. Priadko—81111113
LJul 12 · 16:30A. Fastov—11561182S. Priadko—611115113
LJul 8 · 12:30A. Fastov—117121182S. Priadko—1311105113
LJun 14 · 14:00A. Fastov—61171152S. Priadko—118119113
LMay 16 · 05:30A. Fastov—11551162S. Priadko—711119113
A. Fastov10
LSep 5 · 11:00A. Fastov2.0014137882R. Boklah1.7312111111113WSep 5 · 09:00Y. Priadko4.50991181A. Fastov1.1711119113LSep 5 · 08:00A. Fastov1.73931211102O. Kolos2.001111103123WSep 5 · 07:00V. Ananiev2.6396111152A. Fastov1.44111198113LSep 5 · 05:30A. Fastov2.75137761I. Serdiuk1.40111111113WAug 29 · 10:30R. Boklah1.577870A. Fastov2.251111113LAug 29 · 09:30A. Fastov1.8011237782O. Kolos1.919211111113LAug 29 · 08:30A. Fastov3.4012961192I. Torhachov1.301011118113WAug 29 · 07:00A. Fastov3.401111411153I. Serdiuk1.30713118132WAug 22 · 10:30R. Boklah1.50111471122A. Fastov2.50616115113
S. Priadko10
WSep 6 · 16:00S. Priadko1.6181111103R. Boklah2.20115931LSep 6 · 15:00V. Ziakun1.33111191093S. Priadko3.2557111262LSep 6 · 14:00I. Serdiuk1.5711713113S. Priadko2.255111151LSep 6 · 12:30I. Torhachov1.67916115113S. Priadko2.10111441172LSep 2 · 17:10V. Ziakun1.3311115123S. Priadko3.257711101LSep 2 · 16:30I. Torhachov1.6111911113S. Priadko2.20711841WSep 2 · 15:00S. Priadko1.531181011113R. Boklah2.3851112962LSep 2 · 13:30S. Priadko3.251112951V. Ziakun1.3351411113LSep 2 · 12:00S. Priadko4.504590S. Miroshnychenko1.171111113WAug 29 · 11:30O. Kolos4.503590S. Priadko1.171111113
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