TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12472214
Played Aug 22Finished
Roman Boklah
Home
1.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1161416711115211
Andrii Fastov
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:30 and never touched — 73.3% is still 73.3%
Graded at full timeRoman Boklah to win
73.3%
73.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingRoman Boklah above · Andrii Fastov below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 14-16
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 2-11
Point 94 set 5, 2-11 — our read held Roman Boklah at 73.3%
94 points played in total.
H2H Roman Boklah 16–3 Andrii Fastov Andrii Fastov has won 3 of their 19 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:30What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Boklah
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
16-3 in 19
Boklah
Wrong
gap of 13 in 19, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Boklah 1202 vs Fastov 1200
Boklah
Wrong
both rated, 2 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Boklah 20% vs Fastov 60%
Fastov
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Boklah 40% vs Fastov 60%
Fastov
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Boklah -1 · Fastov -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 71% — Strong (leans Boklah) · live re-read · sealed at 73% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fastov form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBoklah 1.50 / Fastov 2.50
Signal prob.71% / 29%
Edge (Boklah)+8.8pp
Setka Cup · #12472214
Boklah1.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite70% won 71 of 101
Up 2–0, closes it100% 31 of 31
Up 1–0, closes it85% 52 of 61
Fastov2.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog21% won 13 of 63
Down 0–1, comes back5% 2 of 37
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 22
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBoklah8wins
AwayFastov2wins
6 of 10 to a deciderBoklah leads 8–2, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBoklah100%6 of 6
AwayFastov50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Boklah6Fastov4n = 10Boklah took 6 of 10
S2Boklah6Fastov4n = 10Boklah took 6 of 10
S3Boklah7Fastov3n = 10Boklah took 7 of 10
S4Boklah5Fastov3n = 8Boklah took 5 of 8
S5Boklah4Fastov2n = 6Boklah took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricBoklahFastovB − FBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match43.137.3+5.8per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBoklahFastovBasisWin rate · lifetime267 / 619 vs 107 / 20743.1%51.7%267 / 619 vs 107 / 207Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match35.437.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BoklahBoklah 1.50/Fastov 2.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
71.3%
Boklah · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Fastov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 1 · 05:00R. Boklah—12611133A. Fastov—10119111
WJul 29 · 13:00R. Boklah—711115123A. Fastov—112811102
WJul 27 · 12:00R. Boklah—1111123A. Fastov—77100
WJul 25 · 07:30R. Boklah—11118133A. Fastov—6411111
WJul 22 · 16:00R. Boklah—111198113A. Fastov—86111142
LJul 20 · 12:30R. Boklah—94111192A. Fastov—111178113
WJul 17 · 13:00R. Boklah—118812113A. Fastov—711111082
WJul 12 · 15:30R. Boklah—1111113A. Fastov—3080
LJul 8 · 14:30R. Boklah—81211662A. Fastov—1110711113
WJul 4 · 06:30R. Boklah—851111113A. Fastov—11115832
R. Boklah10
LSep 6 · 17:29R. Boklah4.508680V. Ziakun1.171111113LSep 6 · 16:00S. Priadko1.6181111103R. Boklah2.20115931WSep 6 · 14:30I. Torhachov1.50111261292R. Boklah2.508101114113WSep 6 · 13:00I. Serdiuk1.2081231182R. Boklah4.331110113113LSep 6 · 12:00V. Ziakun1.171111113R. Boklah4.504680WSep 5 · 11:00A. Fastov2.0014137882R. Boklah1.7312111111113LSep 5 · 10:00O. Kolos3.00121399113R. Boklah1.361011111132LSep 5 · 08:30V. Ananiev1.571211113R. Boklah2.2510290LSep 5 · 06:30I. Serdiuk1.2011119113R. Boklah4.33471151LSep 5 · 04:30Y. Priadko1.80111168113R. Boklah1.9198111142
A. Fastov10
LSep 5 · 11:00A. Fastov2.0014137882R. Boklah1.7312111111113WSep 5 · 09:00Y. Priadko4.50991181A. Fastov1.1711119113LSep 5 · 08:00A. Fastov1.73931211102O. Kolos2.001111103123WSep 5 · 07:00V. Ananiev2.6396111152A. Fastov1.44111198113LSep 5 · 05:30A. Fastov2.75137761I. Serdiuk1.40111111113WAug 29 · 10:30R. Boklah1.577870A. Fastov2.251111113LAug 29 · 09:30A. Fastov1.8011237782O. Kolos1.919211111113LAug 29 · 08:30A. Fastov3.4012961192I. Torhachov1.301011118113WAug 29 · 07:00A. Fastov3.401111411153I. Serdiuk1.30713118132WAug 29 · 05:00A. Fastov3.001111510113S. Priadko1.3699111292
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