TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13049351
Played Aug 31Finished
Yurii Priadko
Home
1.40
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
113117116––––
Denis Aldayev
Away
2.75
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:44 and never touched — 66.3% is still 66.3%
Graded at full timeYurii Priadko to win
66.3%
66.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYurii Priadko above · Denis Aldayev below
Set 1 · 11-3
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 49 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Yurii Priadko at 66.3%
49 points played in total.
H2H Yurii Priadko 15–18 Denis Aldayev Yurii Priadko has won 15 of their 33 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:44What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Priadko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
15-18 in 33
Aldayev
Wrong
gap of 3 in 33, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Priadko 1096 vs Aldayev 929
Priadko
Correct
both rated, 167 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Priadko 80% vs Aldayev 60%
Priadko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Priadko 80% vs Aldayev 30%
Priadko
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Priadko +2 · Aldayev -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Priadko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Aldayev form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPriadko 1.40 / Aldayev 2.75
Signal prob.67% / 33%
Edge (Priadko)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13049351
Priadko1.40
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite68% won 40 of 59
Up 2–0, closes it100% 24 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it82% 28 of 34
Aldayev2.75
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog22% won 11 of 50
Down 0–1, comes back10% 3 of 31
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 21
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePriadko6wins
AwayAldayev4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderPriadko leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePriadko83.3%5 of 6
AwayAldayev75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Priadko6Aldayev4n = 10Priadko took 6 of 10
S2Priadko8Aldayev2n = 10Priadko took 8 of 10
S3Priadko6Aldayev4n = 10Priadko took 6 of 10
S4Priadko1Aldayev2n = 3Aldayev took 2 of 3
S5Priadko1Aldayev2n = 3Aldayev took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricPriadkoAldayevP − ABasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match33.529.0+4.5per matchSweeps52+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPriadkoAldayevBasisWin rate · lifetime111 / 229 vs 93 / 22848.5%40.8%111 / 229 vs 93 / 228Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match36.735.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PriadkoPriadko 1.40/Aldayev 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.7%
Priadko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Priadko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 31 · 15:30Y. Priadko—1111113D. Aldayev—3760
WAug 24 · 14:00Y. Priadko—1311113D. Aldayev—11760
WAug 17 · 13:00Y. Priadko—511119113D. Aldayev—11761192
WAug 15 · 06:30Y. Priadko—1111113D. Aldayev—5470
WJul 18 · 07:00Y. Priadko—1111113D. Aldayev—9550
LJul 13 · 14:00Y. Priadko—8780D. Aldayev—1111113
LJul 11 · 07:30Y. Priadko—5350D. Aldayev—1111113
LJul 4 · 07:00Y. Priadko—91151182D. Aldayev—117115113
WJul 1 · 16:58Y. Priadko—1111113D. Aldayev—6540
LJul 1 · 13:00Y. Priadko—111136102D. Aldayev—651111123
Y. Priadko10
LSep 5 · 10:30Y. Priadko2.631183121V. Ananiev1.4471111143LSep 5 · 09:00Y. Priadko4.50991181A. Fastov1.1711119113LSep 5 · 07:30Y. Priadko4.0091111101I. Serdiuk1.2211135123WSep 5 · 06:00Y. Priadko1.8014711133O. Kolos1.9112116111WSep 5 · 04:30Y. Priadko1.80111168113R. Boklah1.9198111142LAug 31 · 17:34V. Ivnytskyi3.00111146113Y. Priadko1.3668111182WAug 31 · 16:30Y. Priadko1.2851111123V. Klymenko3.501197101WAug 31 · 14:00Y. Priadko1.308121111113V. Ivnytskyi3.40111013772WAug 31 · 13:00Y. Priadko1.071111113M. Bukata7.506680LAug 24 · 17:43O. Kolos2.001011128113Y. Priadko1.73126101182
D. Aldayev10
WAug 31 · 17:03D. Aldayev1.9111119113V. Klymenko1.80821191LAug 31 · 14:30D. Aldayev1.25310111282M. Bukata3.751112510113WAug 31 · 13:30V. Klymenko1.57141080D. Aldayev2.251612113LAug 31 · 12:30D. Aldayev1.6712991292V. Ivnytskyi2.1010111110113WAug 24 · 17:13D. Aldayev1.401211113M. Bukata2.7510920WAug 24 · 16:00D. Aldayev1.2012116113V. Laskavyi4.331091151LAug 24 · 15:00O. Kolos1.251111411113D. Aldayev3.7513711762LAug 24 · 14:00Y. Priadko1.501311113D. Aldayev2.5011760LAug 24 · 12:30M. Bukata3.25115114113D. Aldayev1.3371131192LAug 17 · 16:00V. Ivnytskyi2.751111113D. Aldayev1.408840
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