TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12482306
Played Aug 24Finished
Denis Aldayev
Home
1.20
At publish
Lost last 10Form at publish
0–10Last 10Lost last 10
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1210119611115––
Vasyl Laskavyi
Away
4.33
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:57 and never touched — 82.3% is still 82.3%
Graded at full timeDenis Aldayev to win
82.3%
82.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDenis Aldayev above · Vasyl Laskavyi below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 75 set 4, 11-5 — our read held Denis Aldayev at 82.3%
75 points played in total.
H2H Denis Aldayev 5–0 Vasyl Laskavyi Vasyl Laskavyi has won 0 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:57What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.20 (78%)
Aldayev
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-0 in 5
Aldayev
Correct
gap of 5 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Aldayev 880 vs Laskavyi 870
Aldayev
Correct
both rated, 11 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Aldayev 0% vs Laskavyi 40%
Laskavyi
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Aldayev 0% vs Laskavyi 30%
Laskavyi
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Aldayev -5 · Laskavyi -1
Aldayev
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 82% — Strong (leans Aldayev)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Laskavyi form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (23%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAldayev 1.20 / Laskavyi 4.33
Signal prob.82% / 18%
Edge (Aldayev)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #12482306
Aldayev1.20
0%won 0 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 10
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite59% won 26 of 44
Up 2–0, closes it88% 15 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it83% 19 of 23
Laskavyi4.33
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog21% won 15 of 72
Down 0–1, comes back16% 7 of 44
Down 0–2, comes back10% 3 of 29
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeAldayev5wins
AwayLaskavyi0wins
2 of 5 to a deciderAldayev leads 5–0, and 2 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeAldayev100%4 of 4
AwayLaskavyin = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Aldayev4Laskavyi1n = 5Aldayev took 4 of 5
S2Aldayev3Laskavyi2n = 5Aldayev took 3 of 5
S3Aldayev4Laskavyi1n = 5Aldayev took 4 of 5
S4Aldayev2Laskavyi1n = 3Aldayev took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home240%
3–1Four sets, home120%
3–2Decider, home240%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricAldayevLaskavyiA − LBasisWins50+5in 5 meetingsFirst set41+3of 5Avg pointsper match41.432.2+9.2per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAldayevLaskavyiBasisWin rate · lifetime90 / 226 vs 23 / 8839.8%26.1%90 / 226 vs 23 / 88Avg sets wonper match1.71.4per matchAvg pointsper match35.435.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AldayevAldayev 1.20/Laskavyi 4.33
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
82.3%
Aldayev · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Aldayev won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WJul 6 · 13:00D. Aldayev—1112113V. Laskavyi—61090
WJul 1 · 16:00D. Aldayev—1111113V. Laskavyi—6780
WJun 27 · 10:00D. Aldayev—11611113V. Laskavyi—711971
WApr 25 · 10:00D. Aldayev—1111610113V. Laskavyi—46111262
WMar 20 · 16:30D. Aldayev—991211113V. Laskavyi—111110552
D. Aldayev10
WAug 31 · 17:03D. Aldayev1.9111119113V. Klymenko1.80821191LAug 31 · 15:30Y. Priadko1.401111113D. Aldayev2.753760LAug 31 · 14:30D. Aldayev1.25310111282M. Bukata3.751112510113WAug 31 · 13:30V. Klymenko1.57141080D. Aldayev2.251612113LAug 31 · 12:30D. Aldayev1.6712991292V. Ivnytskyi2.1010111110113WAug 24 · 17:13D. Aldayev1.401211113M. Bukata2.7510920LAug 24 · 15:00O. Kolos1.251111411113D. Aldayev3.7513711762LAug 24 · 14:00Y. Priadko1.501311113D. Aldayev2.5011760LAug 24 · 12:30M. Bukata3.25115114113D. Aldayev1.3371131192LAug 17 · 16:00V. Ivnytskyi2.751111113D. Aldayev1.408840
V. Laskavyi10
LAug 24 · 14:30M. Bukata2.751111113V. Laskavyi1.408990WAug 24 · 13:00Y. Priadko1.36691171V. Laskavyi3.0011116113LAug 24 · 12:00O. Kolos1.221111113V. Laskavyi4.003640LAug 10 · 16:00O. Kolos1.301111113V. Laskavyi3.408990WAug 10 · 14:30V. Klymenko1.6111611542V. Laskavyi2.20911811113LAug 10 · 13:00V. Ivnytskyi2.25111112113V. Laskavyi1.57891491LAug 10 · 12:00A. Fastov1.17101111113V. Laskavyi4.50129761LAug 3 · 17:08V. Laskavyi1.50111161392V. Ivnytskyi2.50791115113LAug 3 · 16:00V. Laskavyi1.1711711892M. Bukata4.50611211113WAug 3 · 15:00O. Kolos1.2211112972V. Laskavyi4.00971111113
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