TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12482468
Played Aug 24Finished
Maksym Bukata
Home
2.75
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118119119––––
Vasyl Laskavyi
Away
1.40
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:17 and never touched — 68.8% is still 68.8%
Graded at full timeVasyl Laskavyi to win
68.8%
68.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingMaksym Bukata above · Vasyl Laskavyi below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 59 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Vasyl Laskavyi at 68.8%
59 points played in total.
H2H Maksym Bukata 2–1 Vasyl Laskavyi Vasyl Laskavyi has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 23:17What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Laskavyi
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Bukata 875 vs Laskavyi 886
Laskavyi
Wrong
both rated, 11 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bukata 40% vs Laskavyi 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bukata 50% vs Laskavyi 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Bukata -1 · Laskavyi +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Laskavyi) · live re-read · sealed at 69% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Laskavyi form (40%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBukata 2.75 / Laskavyi 1.40
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Laskavyi)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #12482468
Bukata2.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog32% won 6 of 19
Down 0–1, comes back17% 2 of 12
Down 0–2, comes back13% 1 of 8
Laskavyi1.40
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite46% won 5 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it67% 4 of 6
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeBukata2wins
AwayLaskavyi1wins
1 of 3 to a deciderBukata leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bukata1Laskavyi2n = 3Laskavyi took 2 of 3
S2Bukata2Laskavyi1n = 3Bukata took 2 of 3
S3Bukata1Laskavyi2n = 3Laskavyi took 2 of 3
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricBukataLaskavyiB − LBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match30.334.7−4.4per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBukataLaskavyiBasisWin rate · lifetime12 / 74 vs 23 / 8716.2%26.4%12 / 74 vs 23 / 87Avg sets wonper match1.11.5per matchAvg pointsper match31.035.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LaskavyiBukata 2.75/Laskavyi 1.40
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
66.3%
Laskavyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Bukata won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WAug 3 · 16:00M. Bukata—611211113V. Laskavyi—11711892
LJun 27 · 06:00M. Bukata—2590V. Laskavyi—1111113
WJun 13 · 11:00M. Bukata—1112113V. Laskavyi—71080
M. Bukata10
LAug 31 · 16:00V. Ivnytskyi1.5013611113M. Bukata2.501111891WAug 31 · 14:30D. Aldayev1.25310111282M. Bukata3.751112510113LAug 31 · 13:00Y. Priadko1.071111113M. Bukata7.506680LAug 31 · 12:00V. Klymenko1.201111113M. Bukata4.335980LAug 24 · 17:13D. Aldayev1.401211113M. Bukata2.7510920LAug 24 · 15:30Y. Priadko1.0611611153M. Bukata8.008115131LAug 24 · 13:30O. Kolos1.131111113M. Bukata5.506660WAug 24 · 12:30M. Bukata3.25115114113D. Aldayev1.3371131192LAug 17 · 17:50M. Bukata8.501061161Y. Priadko1.0512119113LAug 17 · 15:30Y. Priadko1.03121111113M. Bukata10.00147761
V. Laskavyi10
LAug 24 · 16:00D. Aldayev1.2012116113V. Laskavyi4.331091151WAug 24 · 13:00Y. Priadko1.36691171V. Laskavyi3.0011116113LAug 24 · 12:00O. Kolos1.221111113V. Laskavyi4.003640LAug 10 · 16:00O. Kolos1.301111113V. Laskavyi3.408990WAug 10 · 14:30V. Klymenko1.6111611542V. Laskavyi2.20911811113LAug 10 · 13:00V. Ivnytskyi2.25111112113V. Laskavyi1.57891491LAug 10 · 12:00A. Fastov1.17101111113V. Laskavyi4.50129761LAug 3 · 17:08V. Laskavyi1.50111161392V. Ivnytskyi2.50791115113LAug 3 · 16:00V. Laskavyi1.1711711892M. Bukata4.50611211113WAug 3 · 15:00O. Kolos1.2211112972V. Laskavyi4.00971111113
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