TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12392728
Played Aug 10Finished
Volodymyr Ivnytskyi
Home
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1181191214119––
Vasyl Laskavyi
Away
1.57
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:25 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVolodymyr Ivnytskyi to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVolodymyr Ivnytskyi above · Vasyl Laskavyi below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 12-14
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 85 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Volodymyr Ivnytskyi at 54.0%
85 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Ivnytskyi 4–7 Vasyl Laskavyi Volodymyr Ivnytskyi has won 4 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 23:25What took a side2 for · 4 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Laskavyi
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-7 in 11
Laskavyi
Wrong
gap of 3 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ivnytskyi 863 vs Laskavyi 873
Laskavyi
Wrong
both rated, 10 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ivnytskyi 60% vs Laskavyi 40%
Ivnytskyi
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ivnytskyi 40% vs Laskavyi 20%
Ivnytskyi
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Ivnytskyi +1 · Laskavyi -3
Laskavyi
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Laskavyi) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Laskavyi form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsIvnytskyi 2.25 / Laskavyi 1.57
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Laskavyi)+1.0pp
Setka Cup · #12392728
Ivnytskyi2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog23% won 14 of 61
Down 0–1, comes back7% 3 of 41
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 28
Laskavyi1.57
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite50% won 5 of 10
Up 1–0, closes it67% 4 of 6
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeIvnytskyi4wins
AwayLaskavyi6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLaskavyi leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeIvnytskyi50%2 of 4
AwayLaskavyi66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ivnytskyi4Laskavyi6n = 10Laskavyi took 6 of 10
S2Ivnytskyi5Laskavyi5n = 10split evenly
S3Ivnytskyi3Laskavyi7n = 10Laskavyi took 7 of 10
S4Ivnytskyi5Laskavyi4n = 9Ivnytskyi took 5 of 9
S5Ivnytskyi2Laskavyi2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricIvnytskyiLaskavyiI − LBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match38.642.0−3.4per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricIvnytskyiLaskavyiBasisWin rate · lifetime17 / 71 vs 21 / 8223.9%25.6%17 / 71 vs 21 / 82Avg sets wonper match1.41.5per matchAvg pointsper match33.335.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LaskavyiIvnytskyi 2.25/Laskavyi 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59.9%
Laskavyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Ivnytskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 3 · 17:08V. Ivnytskyi—791115113V. Laskavyi—111161392
LAug 3 · 14:00V. Ivnytskyi—312981V. Laskavyi—111011113
LJul 6 · 11:59V. Ivnytskyi—81161132V. Laskavyi—114118113
LJun 20 · 06:30V. Ivnytskyi—7911111V. Laskavyi—11119133
LJun 13 · 05:30V. Ivnytskyi—1291051V. Laskavyi—101112113
LMay 23 · 11:30V. Ivnytskyi—11139392V. Laskavyi—9111111113
WMay 9 · 05:00V. Ivnytskyi—461111113V. Laskavyi—11119762
WMay 4 · 15:00V. Ivnytskyi—111115113V. Laskavyi—821781
LMar 20 · 17:58V. Ivnytskyi—5730V. Laskavyi—1111113
WMar 20 · 15:00V. Ivnytskyi—11114113V. Laskavyi—571161
V. Ivnytskyi10
WAug 31 · 17:34V. Ivnytskyi3.00111146113Y. Priadko1.3668111182WAug 31 · 16:00V. Ivnytskyi1.5013611113M. Bukata2.501111891WAug 31 · 15:00V. Klymenko1.369840V. Ivnytskyi3.001111113LAug 31 · 14:00Y. Priadko1.308121111113V. Ivnytskyi3.40111013772WAug 31 · 12:30D. Aldayev1.6712991292V. Ivnytskyi2.1010111110113LAug 17 · 17:18V. Ivnytskyi2.75117110V. Klymenko1.401311133WAug 17 · 16:00V. Ivnytskyi2.751111113D. Aldayev1.408840LAug 17 · 15:00V. Klymenko1.368111110113V. Ivnytskyi3.0011891252WAug 17 · 14:00Y. Priadko1.17118121292V. Ivnytskyi4.507111410113LAug 17 · 12:30M. Bukata3.7511811123V. Ivnytskyi1.257118101
V. Laskavyi10
LAug 24 · 16:00D. Aldayev1.2012116113V. Laskavyi4.331091151LAug 24 · 14:30M. Bukata2.751111113V. Laskavyi1.408990WAug 24 · 13:00Y. Priadko1.36691171V. Laskavyi3.0011116113LAug 24 · 12:00O. Kolos1.221111113V. Laskavyi4.003640LAug 10 · 16:00O. Kolos1.301111113V. Laskavyi3.408990WAug 10 · 14:30V. Klymenko1.6111611542V. Laskavyi2.20911811113LAug 10 · 12:00A. Fastov1.17101111113V. Laskavyi4.50129761LAug 3 · 17:08V. Laskavyi1.50111161392V. Ivnytskyi2.50791115113LAug 3 · 16:00V. Laskavyi1.1711711892M. Bukata4.50611211113WAug 3 · 15:00O. Kolos1.2211112972V. Laskavyi4.00971111113
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