TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12352392
Played Aug 3Finished
Vasyl Laskavyi
Home
1.17
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
116711112811911
Maksym Bukata
Away
4.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:33 and never touched — 76.6% is still 76.6%
Graded at full timeVasyl Laskavyi to win
76.6%
76.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingVasyl Laskavyi above · Maksym Bukata below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-2
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 87 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Vasyl Laskavyi at 76.6%
87 points played in total.
H2H Vasyl Laskavyi 1–1 Maksym Bukata Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:33What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.17 (79%)
Laskavyi
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Laskavyi 906 vs Bukata 816
Laskavyi
Wrong
both rated, 90 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Laskavyi 40% vs Bukata 20%
Laskavyi
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Laskavyi 30% vs Bukata 20%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Laskavyi +2 · Bukata -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 79% — Strong (leans Laskavyi) · live re-read · sealed at 77% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Laskavyi form (40%) is below what odds imply (86%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLaskavyi 1.17 / Bukata 4.50
Signal prob.79% / 21%
Edge (Laskavyi)-0.0pp
Setka Cup · #12352392
Laskavyi1.17
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Bukata4.50
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog10% won 1 of 10
Down 0–1, comes back0% 0 of 8
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 5
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeLaskavyi1wins
AwayBukata1wins
Level at 1–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricLaskavyiBukataL − BBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match29.025.0+4.0per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLaskavyiBukataBasisWin rate · lifetime21 / 79 vs 9 / 8626.6%10.5%21 / 79 vs 9 / 86Avg sets wonper match1.50.9per matchAvg pointsper match35.129.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LaskavyiLaskavyi 1.17/Bukata 4.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
79.4%
Laskavyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Bukata won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WJun 27 · 06:00V. Laskavyi—1111113M. Bukata—2590
LJun 13 · 11:00V. Laskavyi—71080M. Bukata—1112113
V. Laskavyi10
LAug 24 · 16:00D. Aldayev1.2012116113V. Laskavyi4.331091151LAug 24 · 14:30M. Bukata2.751111113V. Laskavyi1.408990WAug 24 · 13:00Y. Priadko1.36691171V. Laskavyi3.0011116113LAug 24 · 12:00O. Kolos1.221111113V. Laskavyi4.003640LAug 10 · 16:00O. Kolos1.301111113V. Laskavyi3.408990WAug 10 · 14:30V. Klymenko1.6111611542V. Laskavyi2.20911811113LAug 10 · 13:00V. Ivnytskyi2.25111112113V. Laskavyi1.57891491LAug 10 · 12:00A. Fastov1.17101111113V. Laskavyi4.50129761LAug 3 · 17:08V. Laskavyi1.50111161392V. Ivnytskyi2.50791115113WAug 3 · 15:00O. Kolos1.2211112972V. Laskavyi4.00971111113
M. Bukata10
LAug 31 · 16:00V. Ivnytskyi1.5013611113M. Bukata2.501111891WAug 31 · 14:30D. Aldayev1.25310111282M. Bukata3.751112510113LAug 31 · 13:00Y. Priadko1.071111113M. Bukata7.506680LAug 31 · 12:00V. Klymenko1.201111113M. Bukata4.335980LAug 24 · 17:13D. Aldayev1.401211113M. Bukata2.7510920LAug 24 · 15:30Y. Priadko1.0611611153M. Bukata8.008115131WAug 24 · 14:30M. Bukata2.751111113V. Laskavyi1.408990LAug 24 · 13:30O. Kolos1.131111113M. Bukata5.506660WAug 24 · 12:30M. Bukata3.25115114113D. Aldayev1.3371131192LAug 17 · 17:50M. Bukata8.501061161Y. Priadko1.0512119113
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.