TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13004914
Played Aug 24Finished
Denis Aldayev
Home
1.40
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
1–9Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1210119112––––
Maksym Bukata
Away
2.75
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingDenis Aldayev above · Maksym Bukata below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-2
Point 55 set 3, 11-2
55 points played in total.
H2H Denis Aldayev 12–8 Maksym Bukata Maksym Bukata has won 8 of their 20 meetings.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Aldayev)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Aldayev form (20%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAldayev 1.40 / Bukata 2.75
Signal prob.67% / 33%
Edge (Aldayev)+1.0pp
Setka Cup · #13004914
Aldayev1.40
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite59% won 26 of 44
Up 2–0, closes it88% 15 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it83% 19 of 23
Bukata2.75
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog32% won 6 of 19
Down 0–1, comes back17% 2 of 12
Down 0–2, comes back13% 1 of 8
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeAldayev6wins
AwayBukata4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderAldayev leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeAldayev75%3 of 4
AwayBukata50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Aldayev4Bukata6n = 10Bukata took 6 of 10
S2Aldayev8Bukata2n = 10Aldayev took 8 of 10
S3Aldayev5Bukata5n = 10split evenly
S4Aldayev4Bukata4n = 8split evenly
S5Aldayev3Bukata2n = 5Aldayev took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricAldayevBukataA − BBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match40.239.7+0.5per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAldayevBukataBasisWin rate · lifetime91 / 227 vs 13 / 7640.1%17.1%91 / 227 vs 13 / 76Avg sets wonper match1.71.1per matchAvg pointsper match35.431.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AldayevAldayev 1.40/Bukata 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.3%
Aldayev · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Aldayev won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 24 · 12:30D. Aldayev—71131192M. Bukata—115114113
LAug 17 · 14:30D. Aldayev—12115582M. Bukata—1041111113
WJun 27 · 04:30D. Aldayev—11117113M. Bukata—991191
WNov 8 · 11:30D. Aldayev—1151121103M. Bukata—131161912
WOct 3 · 13:00D. Aldayev—1111113M. Bukata—8390
WSep 20 · 06:30D. Aldayev—1111123M. Bukata—86100
WSep 13 · 06:30D. Aldayev—411711163M. Bukata—116119142
LAug 21 · 15:00D. Aldayev—811591M. Bukata—11711113
LAug 14 · 12:00D. Aldayev—751181M. Bukata—11119113
WJul 31 · 05:30D. Aldayev—011128113M. Bukata—116101152
D. Aldayev10
WAug 31 · 17:03D. Aldayev1.9111119113V. Klymenko1.80821191LAug 31 · 15:30Y. Priadko1.401111113D. Aldayev2.753760LAug 31 · 14:30D. Aldayev1.25310111282M. Bukata3.751112510113WAug 31 · 13:30V. Klymenko1.57141080D. Aldayev2.251612113LAug 31 · 12:30D. Aldayev1.6712991292V. Ivnytskyi2.1010111110113WAug 24 · 16:00D. Aldayev1.2012116113V. Laskavyi4.331091151LAug 24 · 15:00O. Kolos1.251111411113D. Aldayev3.7513711762LAug 24 · 14:00Y. Priadko1.501311113D. Aldayev2.5011760LAug 24 · 12:30M. Bukata3.25115114113D. Aldayev1.3371131192LAug 17 · 16:00V. Ivnytskyi2.751111113D. Aldayev1.408840
M. Bukata10
LAug 31 · 16:00V. Ivnytskyi1.5013611113M. Bukata2.501111891WAug 31 · 14:30D. Aldayev1.25310111282M. Bukata3.751112510113LAug 31 · 13:00Y. Priadko1.071111113M. Bukata7.506680LAug 31 · 12:00V. Klymenko1.201111113M. Bukata4.335980LAug 24 · 15:30Y. Priadko1.0611611153M. Bukata8.008115131WAug 24 · 14:30M. Bukata2.751111113V. Laskavyi1.408990LAug 24 · 13:30O. Kolos1.131111113M. Bukata5.506660WAug 24 · 12:30M. Bukata3.25115114113D. Aldayev1.3371131192LAug 17 · 17:50M. Bukata8.501061161Y. Priadko1.0512119113LAug 17 · 15:30Y. Priadko1.03121111113M. Bukata10.00147761
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