TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13049440
Played Aug 31Finished
Volodymyr Ivnytskyi
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1311611118119––
Maksym Bukata
Away
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:05 and never touched — 60.8% is still 60.8%
Graded at full timeVolodymyr Ivnytskyi to win
60.8%
60.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVolodymyr Ivnytskyi above · Maksym Bukata below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 80 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Volodymyr Ivnytskyi at 60.8%
80 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Ivnytskyi 2–1 Maksym Bukata Maksym Bukata has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:05What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Ivnytskyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ivnytskyi 907 vs Bukata 851
Ivnytskyi
Correct
both rated, 56 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ivnytskyi 60% vs Bukata 20%
Ivnytskyi
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ivnytskyi 40% vs Bukata 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Ivnytskyi +1 · Bukata +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Ivnytskyi) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bukata form (20%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsIvnytskyi 1.50 / Bukata 2.50
Signal prob.63% / 37%
Edge (Ivnytskyi)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13049440
Ivnytskyi1.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Bukata2.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog33% won 8 of 24
Down 0–1, comes back13% 2 of 15
Down 0–2, comes back10% 1 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeIvnytskyi2wins
AwayBukata1wins
Ivnytskyi leads 2–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ivnytskyi2Bukata1n = 3Ivnytskyi took 2 of 3
S2Ivnytskyi2Bukata1n = 3Ivnytskyi took 2 of 3
S3Ivnytskyi2Bukata1n = 3Ivnytskyi took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricIvnytskyiBukataI − BBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match37.330.7+6.6per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricIvnytskyiBukataBasisWin rate · lifetime23 / 84 vs 14 / 7527.4%18.7%23 / 84 vs 14 / 75Avg sets wonper match1.51.1per matchAvg pointsper match34.631.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
IvnytskyiIvnytskyi 1.50/Bukata 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.3%
Ivnytskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Ivnytskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LAug 17 · 12:30V. Ivnytskyi—7118101M. Bukata—11811123
WAug 3 · 13:00V. Ivnytskyi—1111113M. Bukata—2880
WJun 13 · 06:30V. Ivnytskyi—12911113M. Bukata—1011831
V. Ivnytskyi10
WAug 31 · 17:34V. Ivnytskyi3.00111146113Y. Priadko1.3668111182WAug 31 · 15:00V. Klymenko1.369840V. Ivnytskyi3.001111113LAug 31 · 14:00Y. Priadko1.308121111113V. Ivnytskyi3.40111013772WAug 31 · 12:30D. Aldayev1.6712991292V. Ivnytskyi2.1010111110113LAug 17 · 17:18V. Ivnytskyi2.75117110V. Klymenko1.401311133WAug 17 · 16:00V. Ivnytskyi2.751111113D. Aldayev1.408840LAug 17 · 15:00V. Klymenko1.368111110113V. Ivnytskyi3.0011891252WAug 17 · 14:00Y. Priadko1.17118121292V. Ivnytskyi4.507111410113LAug 17 · 12:30M. Bukata3.7511811123V. Ivnytskyi1.257118101LAug 10 · 17:13O. Kolos1.2091211113V. Ivnytskyi4.331110741
M. Bukata10
WAug 31 · 14:30D. Aldayev1.25310111282M. Bukata3.751112510113LAug 31 · 13:00Y. Priadko1.071111113M. Bukata7.506680LAug 31 · 12:00V. Klymenko1.201111113M. Bukata4.335980LAug 24 · 17:13D. Aldayev1.401211113M. Bukata2.7510920LAug 24 · 15:30Y. Priadko1.0611611153M. Bukata8.008115131WAug 24 · 14:30M. Bukata2.751111113V. Laskavyi1.408990LAug 24 · 13:30O. Kolos1.131111113M. Bukata5.506660WAug 24 · 12:30M. Bukata3.25115114113D. Aldayev1.3371131192LAug 17 · 17:50M. Bukata8.501061161Y. Priadko1.0512119113WAug 17 · 12:30M. Bukata3.7511811123V. Ivnytskyi1.257118101
Upcoming Matches
V. Ivnytskyi
M. Bukata
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.