TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13049503
Played Aug 31Finished
Vitalii Klymenko
Home
1.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
115119118––––
Maksym Bukata
Away
4.33
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:34 and never touched — 78.5% is still 78.5%
Graded at full timeVitalii Klymenko to win
78.5%
78.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVitalii Klymenko above · Maksym Bukata below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 55 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Vitalii Klymenko at 78.5%
55 points played in total.
H2H Vitalii Klymenko 14–4 Maksym Bukata Maksym Bukata has won 4 of their 18 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:34What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.20 (78%)
Klymenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-4 in 18
Klymenko
Correct
gap of 10 in 18, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Klymenko 1011 vs Bukata 862
Klymenko
Correct
both rated, 149 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Klymenko 60% vs Bukata 40%
Klymenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Klymenko 50% vs Bukata 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Klymenko +1 · Bukata -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 82% — Strong (leans Klymenko) · live re-read · sealed at 79% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bukata form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (23%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKlymenko 1.20 / Bukata 4.33
Signal prob.82% / 18%
Edge (Klymenko)+3.5pp
Setka Cup · #13049503
Klymenko1.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite63% won 19 of 30
Up 2–0, closes it83% 5 of 6
Up 1–0, closes it79% 11 of 14
Bukata4.33
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog33% won 8 of 24
Down 0–1, comes back13% 2 of 15
Down 0–2, comes back10% 1 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKlymenko9wins
AwayBukata1wins
Klymenko leads 9–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKlymenko100%7 of 7
AwayBukata33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Klymenko7Bukata3n = 10Klymenko took 7 of 10
S2Klymenko5Bukata5n = 10split evenly
S3Klymenko9Bukata1n = 10Klymenko took 9 of 10
S4Klymenko6Bukata0n = 6Klymenko took 6 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home660%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKlymenkoBukataK − BBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match37.930.2+7.7per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKlymenkoBukataBasisWin rate · lifetime88 / 238 vs 13 / 7237%18.1%88 / 238 vs 13 / 72Avg sets wonper match1.71.1per matchAvg pointsper match34.631.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KlymenkoKlymenko 1.20/Bukata 4.33
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
81.8%
Klymenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Klymenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 17 · 13:30V. Klymenko—8870M. Bukata—1111113
WAug 3 · 14:30V. Klymenko—31112113M. Bukata—1181031
WJun 13 · 04:30V. Klymenko—81111113M. Bukata—116771
WNov 8 · 05:30V. Klymenko—1111113M. Bukata—6740
WOct 3 · 14:30V. Klymenko—1111113M. Bukata—9380
WSep 20 · 04:30V. Klymenko—11911153M. Bukata—7116131
WSep 13 · 08:30V. Klymenko—11711113M. Bukata—811491
WAug 23 · 09:30V. Klymenko—11812123M. Bukata—31110101
WAug 21 · 14:00V. Klymenko—1111113M. Bukata—9480
WAug 14 · 17:35V. Klymenko—121011173M. Bukata—10128151
V. Klymenko10
LAug 31 · 17:03D. Aldayev1.9111119113V. Klymenko1.80821191LAug 31 · 16:30Y. Priadko1.2851111123V. Klymenko3.501197101LAug 31 · 15:00V. Klymenko1.369840V. Ivnytskyi3.001111113LAug 31 · 13:30V. Klymenko1.57141080D. Aldayev2.251612113WAug 17 · 17:18V. Ivnytskyi2.75117110V. Klymenko1.401311133LAug 17 · 16:30Y. Priadko1.3071112173V. Klymenko3.4011610151WAug 17 · 15:00V. Klymenko1.368111110113V. Ivnytskyi3.0011891252LAug 17 · 13:30V. Klymenko1.118870M. Bukata6.001111113WAug 17 · 12:00V. Klymenko1.731111123D. Aldayev2.0079100WAug 15 · 10:30V. Klymenko3.75711116113V. Ananiev1.2511691182
M. Bukata10
LAug 31 · 16:00V. Ivnytskyi1.5013611113M. Bukata2.501111891WAug 31 · 14:30D. Aldayev1.25310111282M. Bukata3.751112510113LAug 31 · 13:00Y. Priadko1.071111113M. Bukata7.506680LAug 24 · 17:13D. Aldayev1.401211113M. Bukata2.7510920LAug 24 · 15:30Y. Priadko1.0611611153M. Bukata8.008115131WAug 24 · 14:30M. Bukata2.751111113V. Laskavyi1.408990LAug 24 · 13:30O. Kolos1.131111113M. Bukata5.506660WAug 24 · 12:30M. Bukata3.25115114113D. Aldayev1.3371131192LAug 17 · 17:50M. Bukata8.501061161Y. Priadko1.0512119113WAug 17 · 13:30V. Klymenko1.118870M. Bukata6.001111113
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