TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13049434
Played Aug 31Finished
Vitalii Klymenko
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
14161012811––––
Denis Aldayev
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:06 and never touched — 59.3% is still 59.3%
Graded at full timeVitalii Klymenko to win
59.3%
59.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingVitalii Klymenko above · Denis Aldayev below
Set 1 · 14-16
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 71 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Vitalii Klymenko at 59.3%
71 points played in total.
H2H Vitalii Klymenko 17–16 Denis Aldayev Denis Aldayev has won 16 of their 33 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:06What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Klymenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
17-16 in 33
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Klymenko 1020 vs Aldayev 894
Klymenko
Wrong
both rated, 126 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Klymenko 60% vs Aldayev 40%
Klymenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Klymenko 50% vs Aldayev 20%
Klymenko
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Klymenko +2 · Aldayev -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Klymenko)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKlymenko 1.57 / Aldayev 2.25
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Klymenko)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13049434
Klymenko1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite63% won 19 of 30
Up 2–0, closes it83% 5 of 6
Up 1–0, closes it79% 11 of 14
Aldayev2.25
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog22% won 11 of 50
Down 0–1, comes back10% 3 of 31
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 21
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKlymenko6wins
AwayAldayev4wins
Klymenko leads 6–4.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKlymenko85.7%6 of 7
AwayAldayev100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Klymenko7Aldayev3n = 10Klymenko took 7 of 10
S2Klymenko4Aldayev6n = 10Aldayev took 6 of 10
S3Klymenko5Aldayev5n = 10split evenly
S4Klymenko3Aldayev1n = 4Klymenko took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricKlymenkoAldayevK − ABasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match30.732.0−1.3per matchSweeps3303–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKlymenkoAldayevBasisWin rate · lifetime89 / 239 vs 91 / 22437.2%40.6%89 / 239 vs 91 / 224Avg sets wonper match1.71.7per matchAvg pointsper match34.635.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KlymenkoKlymenko 1.57/Aldayev 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59.3%
Klymenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Aldayev won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 17 · 12:00V. Klymenko—1111123D. Aldayev—79100
WAug 15 · 04:30V. Klymenko—11811113D. Aldayev—611891
LJul 18 · 10:30V. Klymenko—4740D. Aldayev—1111113
WJul 13 · 12:30V. Klymenko—11116113D. Aldayev—971161
WJul 11 · 05:30V. Klymenko—1111113D. Aldayev—8640
WJul 6 · 14:00V. Klymenko—121011113D. Aldayev—1012941
WJul 4 · 09:00V. Klymenko—1114113D. Aldayev—91290
LApr 18 · 06:00V. Klymenko—51250D. Aldayev—1114113
LApr 4 · 08:00V. Klymenko—114861D. Aldayev—91111113
LMar 20 · 15:30V. Klymenko—5630D. Aldayev—1111113
V. Klymenko10
LAug 31 · 17:03D. Aldayev1.9111119113V. Klymenko1.80821191LAug 31 · 16:30Y. Priadko1.2851111123V. Klymenko3.501197101LAug 31 · 15:00V. Klymenko1.369840V. Ivnytskyi3.001111113WAug 31 · 12:00V. Klymenko1.201111113M. Bukata4.335980WAug 17 · 17:18V. Ivnytskyi2.75117110V. Klymenko1.401311133LAug 17 · 16:30Y. Priadko1.3071112173V. Klymenko3.4011610151WAug 17 · 15:00V. Klymenko1.368111110113V. Ivnytskyi3.0011891252LAug 17 · 13:30V. Klymenko1.118870M. Bukata6.001111113WAug 17 · 12:00V. Klymenko1.731111123D. Aldayev2.0079100WAug 15 · 10:30V. Klymenko3.75711116113V. Ananiev1.2511691182
D. Aldayev10
WAug 31 · 17:03D. Aldayev1.9111119113V. Klymenko1.80821191LAug 31 · 15:30Y. Priadko1.401111113D. Aldayev2.753760LAug 31 · 14:30D. Aldayev1.25310111282M. Bukata3.751112510113LAug 31 · 12:30D. Aldayev1.6712991292V. Ivnytskyi2.1010111110113WAug 24 · 17:13D. Aldayev1.401211113M. Bukata2.7510920WAug 24 · 16:00D. Aldayev1.2012116113V. Laskavyi4.331091151LAug 24 · 15:00O. Kolos1.251111411113D. Aldayev3.7513711762LAug 24 · 14:00Y. Priadko1.501311113D. Aldayev2.5011760LAug 24 · 12:30M. Bukata3.25115114113D. Aldayev1.3371131192LAug 17 · 12:00V. Klymenko1.731111123D. Aldayev2.0079100
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