TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12482476
Played Aug 24Finished
Oleksandr Kolos
Home
1.13
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
116116116––––
Maksym Bukata
Away
5.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:17 and never touched — 91.8% is still 91.8%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Kolos to win
91.8%
91.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Kolos above · Maksym Bukata below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 51 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Oleksandr Kolos at 91.8%
51 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Kolos 23–2 Maksym Bukata Maksym Bukata has won 2 of their 25 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 23:17What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.13 (83%)
Kolos
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
23-2 in 25
Kolos
Correct
gap of 21 in 25, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kolos 1192 vs Bukata 880
Kolos
Correct
both rated, 312 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolos 60% vs Bukata 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolos 80% vs Bukata 60%
Kolos
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolos +3 · Bukata +1
Kolos
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 92% — Strong (leans Kolos)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bukata form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (18%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolos 1.13 / Bukata 5.50
Signal prob.92% / 8%
Edge (Kolos)+8.8pp
Setka Cup · #12482476
Kolos1.13
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite71% won 45 of 63
Up 2–0, closes it96% 21 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it87% 34 of 39
Bukata5.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog32% won 6 of 19
Down 0–1, comes back17% 2 of 12
Down 0–2, comes back13% 1 of 8
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKolos8wins
AwayBukata2wins
2 of 10 to a deciderKolos leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKolos100%6 of 6
AwayBukata50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolos6Bukata4n = 10Kolos took 6 of 10
S2Kolos7Bukata3n = 10Kolos took 7 of 10
S3Kolos9Bukata1n = 10Kolos took 9 of 10
S4Kolos4Bukata3n = 7Kolos took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKolosBukataK − BBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.431.5+8.9per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolosBukataBasisWin rate · lifetime157 / 304 vs 12 / 7351.6%16.4%157 / 304 vs 12 / 73Avg sets wonper match2.01.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.531.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KolosKolos 1.13/Bukata 5.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
91.8%
Kolos · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kolos won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 3 · 12:00O. Kolos—1011111182M. Bukata—127413113
WJun 27 · 10:30O. Kolos—1111113M. Bukata—4870
WJun 13 · 08:30O. Kolos—111011113M. Bukata—912991
WNov 8 · 08:30O. Kolos—11119113M. Bukata—851181
WOct 3 · 12:00O. Kolos—81111113M. Bukata—113721
LSep 20 · 11:00O. Kolos—8911101M. Bukata—11112113
WSep 13 · 11:00O. Kolos—61111113M. Bukata—117871
WSep 5 · 12:00O. Kolos—1111113M. Bukata—6660
WAug 30 · 06:30O. Kolos—1112113M. Bukata—31080
WAug 23 · 07:30O. Kolos—115117163M. Bukata—511711142
O. Kolos10
WSep 5 · 11:30I. Serdiuk1.2588100O. Kolos3.751111123WSep 5 · 10:00O. Kolos3.00121399113R. Boklah1.361011111132WSep 5 · 08:00A. Fastov1.73931211102O. Kolos2.001111103123LSep 5 · 06:00Y. Priadko1.8014711133O. Kolos1.9112116111WSep 5 · 05:00V. Ananiev2.101111121262O. Kolos1.675131014113LAug 29 · 11:30O. Kolos4.503590S. Priadko1.171111113WAug 29 · 09:30A. Fastov1.8011237782O. Kolos1.919211111113LAug 29 · 07:30R. Boklah1.3611611113O. Kolos3.00811771LAug 29 · 06:30O. Kolos4.0013151081I. Torhachov1.22151312113LAug 29 · 05:30I. Serdiuk1.301111113O. Kolos3.405950
M. Bukata10
LAug 31 · 16:00V. Ivnytskyi1.5013611113M. Bukata2.501111891WAug 31 · 14:30D. Aldayev1.25310111282M. Bukata3.751112510113LAug 31 · 13:00Y. Priadko1.071111113M. Bukata7.506680LAug 31 · 12:00V. Klymenko1.201111113M. Bukata4.335980LAug 24 · 17:13D. Aldayev1.401211113M. Bukata2.7510920LAug 24 · 15:30Y. Priadko1.0611611153M. Bukata8.008115131WAug 24 · 14:30M. Bukata2.751111113V. Laskavyi1.408990WAug 24 · 12:30M. Bukata3.25115114113D. Aldayev1.3371131192LAug 17 · 17:50M. Bukata8.501061161Y. Priadko1.0512119113LAug 17 · 15:30Y. Priadko1.03121111113M. Bukata10.00147761
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