TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12482443
Played Aug 24Finished
Yurii Priadko
Home
1.06
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1186111151513––
Maksym Bukata
Away
8.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:17 and never touched — 92.3% is still 92.3%
Graded at full timeYurii Priadko to win
92.3%
92.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYurii Priadko above · Maksym Bukata below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 15-13
Point 80 set 4, 15-13 — our read held Yurii Priadko at 92.3%
80 points played in total.
H2H Yurii Priadko 14–0 Maksym Bukata Maksym Bukata has won 0 of their 14 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 23:17What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.06 (88%)
Priadko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-0 in 14
Priadko
Correct
gap of 14 in 14, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Priadko 1066 vs Bukata 892
Priadko
Correct
both rated, 174 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Priadko 80% vs Bukata 40%
Priadko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Priadko 60% vs Bukata 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Priadko +1 · Bukata +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 92% — Strong (leans Priadko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bukata form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (13%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPriadko 1.06 / Bukata 8.00
Signal prob.92% / 8%
Edge (Priadko)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #12482443
Priadko1.06
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite70% won 39 of 56
Up 2–0, closes it100% 23 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it84% 27 of 32
Bukata8.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog32% won 6 of 19
Down 0–1, comes back17% 2 of 12
Down 0–2, comes back13% 1 of 8
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePriadko10wins
AwayBukata0wins
1 of 10 to a deciderPriadko leads 10–0, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePriadko100%8 of 8
AwayBukatan = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Priadko8Bukata2n = 10Priadko took 8 of 10
S2Priadko9Bukata1n = 10Priadko took 9 of 10
S3Priadko8Bukata2n = 10Priadko took 8 of 10
S4Priadko4Bukata1n = 5Priadko took 4 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricPriadkoBukataP − BBasisWins100+10in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match39.025.4+13.6per matchSweeps50+53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPriadkoBukataBasisWin rate · lifetime107 / 226 vs 13 / 7547.4%17.3%107 / 226 vs 13 / 75Avg sets wonper match1.91.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.531.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PriadkoPriadko 1.06/Bukata 8.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
92.3%
Priadko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Priadko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 17 · 17:50Y. Priadko—12119113M. Bukata—1061161
WAug 17 · 15:30Y. Priadko—121111113M. Bukata—147761
WJun 27 · 07:30Y. Priadko—1111113M. Bukata—4880
WNov 8 · 07:00Y. Priadko—1111113M. Bukata—5430
WSep 20 · 08:30Y. Priadko—12711113M. Bukata—1011331
WSep 13 · 04:30Y. Priadko—1112113M. Bukata—61090
WSep 5 · 16:00Y. Priadko—1113113M. Bukata—21170
WJul 19 · 05:00Y. Priadko—1111183M. Bukata—85160
WJun 26 · 05:00Y. Priadko—71111103M. Bukata—119241
WJun 14 · 10:30Y. Priadko—11119883M. Bukata—22111122
Y. Priadko10
LSep 5 · 10:30Y. Priadko2.631183121V. Ananiev1.4471111143LSep 5 · 09:00Y. Priadko4.50991181A. Fastov1.1711119113LSep 5 · 07:30Y. Priadko4.0091111101I. Serdiuk1.2211135123WSep 5 · 06:00Y. Priadko1.8014711133O. Kolos1.9112116111WSep 5 · 04:30Y. Priadko1.80111168113R. Boklah1.9198111142LAug 31 · 17:34V. Ivnytskyi3.00111146113Y. Priadko1.3668111182WAug 31 · 16:30Y. Priadko1.2851111123V. Klymenko3.501197101WAug 31 · 15:30Y. Priadko1.401111113D. Aldayev2.753760WAug 31 · 14:00Y. Priadko1.308121111113V. Ivnytskyi3.40111013772WAug 31 · 13:00Y. Priadko1.071111113M. Bukata7.506680
M. Bukata10
LAug 31 · 16:00V. Ivnytskyi1.5013611113M. Bukata2.501111891WAug 31 · 14:30D. Aldayev1.25310111282M. Bukata3.751112510113LAug 31 · 13:00Y. Priadko1.071111113M. Bukata7.506680LAug 31 · 12:00V. Klymenko1.201111113M. Bukata4.335980LAug 24 · 17:13D. Aldayev1.401211113M. Bukata2.7510920WAug 24 · 14:30M. Bukata2.751111113V. Laskavyi1.408990LAug 24 · 13:30O. Kolos1.131111113M. Bukata5.506660WAug 24 · 12:30M. Bukata3.25115114113D. Aldayev1.3371131192LAug 17 · 17:50M. Bukata8.501061161Y. Priadko1.0512119113LAug 17 · 15:30Y. Priadko1.03121111113M. Bukata10.00147761
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