TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12445275
Played Aug 17Finished
Maksym Bukata
Home
3.75
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1178111181210––
Volodymyr Ivnytskyi
Away
1.25
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:13 and never touched — 75.0% is still 75.0%
Graded at full timeVolodymyr Ivnytskyi to win
75.0%
75.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingMaksym Bukata above · Volodymyr Ivnytskyi below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 12-10
Point 78 set 4, 12-10 — our read held Volodymyr Ivnytskyi at 75.0%
78 points played in total.
H2H Maksym Bukata 0–2 Volodymyr Ivnytskyi Maksym Bukata has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:13What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.25 (75%)
Ivnytskyi
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Bukata 833 vs Ivnytskyi 878
Ivnytskyi
Wrong
both rated, 45 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bukata 40% vs Ivnytskyi 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bukata 30% vs Ivnytskyi 50%
Ivnytskyi
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Bukata +1 · Ivnytskyi -3
Ivnytskyi
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Ivnytskyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ivnytskyi form (40%) is below what odds imply (80%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBukata 3.75 / Ivnytskyi 1.25
Signal prob.25% / 75%
Edge (Ivnytskyi)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #12445275
Bukata3.75
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog21% won 3 of 14
Down 0–1, comes back10% 1 of 10
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 6
Ivnytskyi1.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeBukata0wins
AwayIvnytskyi2wins
Ivnytskyi leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricBukataIvnytskyiB − IBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match25.038.0−13.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBukataIvnytskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime8 / 77 vs 19 / 7610.4%25%8 / 77 vs 19 / 76Avg sets wonper match0.91.4per matchAvg pointsper match29.933.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
IvnytskyiBukata 3.75/Ivnytskyi 1.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
75%
Ivnytskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Bukata won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LAug 3 · 13:00M. Bukata—2880V. Ivnytskyi—1111113
LJun 13 · 06:30M. Bukata—1011831V. Ivnytskyi—12911113
M. Bukata10
LAug 31 · 16:00V. Ivnytskyi1.5013611113M. Bukata2.501111891WAug 31 · 14:30D. Aldayev1.25310111282M. Bukata3.751112510113LAug 31 · 13:00Y. Priadko1.071111113M. Bukata7.506680LAug 31 · 12:00V. Klymenko1.201111113M. Bukata4.335980LAug 24 · 17:13D. Aldayev1.401211113M. Bukata2.7510920LAug 24 · 15:30Y. Priadko1.0611611153M. Bukata8.008115131WAug 24 · 14:30M. Bukata2.751111113V. Laskavyi1.408990LAug 24 · 13:30O. Kolos1.131111113M. Bukata5.506660WAug 24 · 12:30M. Bukata3.25115114113D. Aldayev1.3371131192LAug 17 · 17:50M. Bukata8.501061161Y. Priadko1.0512119113
V. Ivnytskyi10
WAug 31 · 17:34V. Ivnytskyi3.00111146113Y. Priadko1.3668111182WAug 31 · 16:00V. Ivnytskyi1.5013611113M. Bukata2.501111891WAug 31 · 15:00V. Klymenko1.369840V. Ivnytskyi3.001111113LAug 31 · 14:00Y. Priadko1.308121111113V. Ivnytskyi3.40111013772WAug 31 · 12:30D. Aldayev1.6712991292V. Ivnytskyi2.1010111110113LAug 17 · 17:18V. Ivnytskyi2.75117110V. Klymenko1.401311133WAug 17 · 16:00V. Ivnytskyi2.751111113D. Aldayev1.408840LAug 17 · 15:00V. Klymenko1.368111110113V. Ivnytskyi3.0011891252WAug 17 · 14:00Y. Priadko1.17118121292V. Ivnytskyi4.507111410113LAug 10 · 17:13O. Kolos1.2091211113V. Ivnytskyi4.331110741
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