TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12444992
Played Aug 17Finished
Volodymyr Ivnytskyi
Home
2.75
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118118114––––
Denis Aldayev
Away
1.40
At publish
Lost last 8Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 8
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:34 and never touched — 66.3% is still 66.3%
Graded at full timeDenis Aldayev to win
66.3%
66.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingVolodymyr Ivnytskyi above · Denis Aldayev below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-4
Point 53 set 3, 11-4 — our read held Denis Aldayev at 66.3%
53 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Ivnytskyi 3–3 Denis Aldayev Dead even across their 6 meetings.
Last 6 · 3–3Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:34What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Aldayev
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-3 in 6
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ivnytskyi 873 vs Aldayev 920
Aldayev
Wrong
both rated, 47 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ivnytskyi 20% vs Aldayev 0%
Ivnytskyi
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ivnytskyi 40% vs Aldayev 10%
Ivnytskyi
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Ivnytskyi -1 · Aldayev -5
Aldayev
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Aldayev)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Aldayev form (0%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsIvnytskyi 2.75 / Aldayev 1.40
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Aldayev)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #12444992
Ivnytskyi2.75
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog24% won 15 of 62
Down 0–1, comes back8% 3 of 40
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 26
Aldayev1.40
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 8
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite63% won 27 of 43
Up 2–0, closes it94% 16 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it87% 20 of 23
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeIvnytskyi3wins
AwayAldayev3wins
3 of 6 to a deciderLevel at 3–3, and 3 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeIvnytskyi66.7%2 of 3
AwayAldayev66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ivnytskyi3Aldayev3n = 6split evenly
S2Ivnytskyi3Aldayev3n = 6split evenly
S3Ivnytskyi0Aldayev6n = 6Aldayev took 6 of 6
S4Ivnytskyi3Aldayev1n = 4Ivnytskyi took 3 of 4
S5Ivnytskyi2Aldayev1n = 3Ivnytskyi took 2 of 3
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home117%
3–2Decider, home233%
2–3Decider, away117%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away233%
These 6 meetings
MetricIvnytskyiAldayevI − ABasisWins330in 6 meetingsFirst set330of 6Avg pointsper match38.041.8−3.8per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricIvnytskyiAldayevBasisWin rate · lifetime20 / 79 vs 91 / 22725.3%40.1%20 / 79 vs 91 / 227Avg sets wonper match1.41.7per matchAvg pointsper match34.335.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AldayevIvnytskyi 2.75/Aldayev 1.40
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
66.3%
Aldayev · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Ivnytskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WJul 18 · 08:30V. Ivnytskyi—11172113D. Aldayev—6151131
LJul 6 · 16:30V. Ivnytskyi—7440D. Aldayev—1111113
LApr 18 · 10:00V. Ivnytskyi—117611102D. Aldayev—711115123
WMar 20 · 13:30V. Ivnytskyi—913911133D. Aldayev—1111118112
WFeb 14 · 08:30V. Ivnytskyi—1111515113D. Aldayev—99111762
LJan 24 · 11:30V. Ivnytskyi—5950D. Aldayev—1111113
V. Ivnytskyi10
WAug 31 · 17:34V. Ivnytskyi3.00111146113Y. Priadko1.3668111182WAug 31 · 16:00V. Ivnytskyi1.5013611113M. Bukata2.501111891WAug 31 · 15:00V. Klymenko1.369840V. Ivnytskyi3.001111113LAug 31 · 14:00Y. Priadko1.308121111113V. Ivnytskyi3.40111013772WAug 31 · 12:30D. Aldayev1.6712991292V. Ivnytskyi2.1010111110113LAug 17 · 17:18V. Ivnytskyi2.75117110V. Klymenko1.401311133LAug 17 · 15:00V. Klymenko1.368111110113V. Ivnytskyi3.0011891252WAug 17 · 14:00Y. Priadko1.17118121292V. Ivnytskyi4.507111410113LAug 17 · 12:30M. Bukata3.7511811123V. Ivnytskyi1.257118101LAug 10 · 17:13O. Kolos1.2091211113V. Ivnytskyi4.331110741
D. Aldayev10
WAug 31 · 17:03D. Aldayev1.9111119113V. Klymenko1.80821191LAug 31 · 15:30Y. Priadko1.401111113D. Aldayev2.753760LAug 31 · 14:30D. Aldayev1.25310111282M. Bukata3.751112510113WAug 31 · 13:30V. Klymenko1.57141080D. Aldayev2.251612113LAug 31 · 12:30D. Aldayev1.6712991292V. Ivnytskyi2.1010111110113WAug 24 · 17:13D. Aldayev1.401211113M. Bukata2.7510920WAug 24 · 16:00D. Aldayev1.2012116113V. Laskavyi4.331091151LAug 24 · 15:00O. Kolos1.251111411113D. Aldayev3.7513711762LAug 24 · 14:00Y. Priadko1.501311113D. Aldayev2.5011760LAug 24 · 12:30M. Bukata3.25115114113D. Aldayev1.3371131192
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