TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12444962
Played Aug 17Finished
Yurii Priadko
Home
1.17
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
11781112141210911
Volodymyr Ivnytskyi
Away
4.50
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:33 and never touched — 90.4% is still 90.4%
Graded at full timeYurii Priadko to win
90.4%
90.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingYurii Priadko above · Volodymyr Ivnytskyi below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 12-14
Set 4 · 12-10
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 105 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Yurii Priadko at 90.4%
105 points played in total.
H2H Yurii Priadko 5–1 Volodymyr Ivnytskyi Volodymyr Ivnytskyi has won 1 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:33What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.17 (79%)
Priadko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-1 in 6
Priadko
Wrong
gap of 4 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Priadko 1063 vs Ivnytskyi 862
Priadko
Wrong
both rated, 201 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Priadko 60% vs Ivnytskyi 20%
Priadko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Priadko 50% vs Ivnytskyi 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Priadko +1 · Ivnytskyi -4
Ivnytskyi
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 83% — Strong (leans Priadko) · live re-read · sealed at 90% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Priadko form (60%) is below what odds imply (86%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPriadko 1.17 / Ivnytskyi 4.50
Signal prob.83% / 17%
Edge (Priadko)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #12444962
Priadko1.17
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite69% won 35 of 51
Up 2–0, closes it100% 22 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it87% 26 of 30
Ivnytskyi4.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog24% won 15 of 62
Down 0–1, comes back8% 3 of 40
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 26
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomePriadko5wins
AwayIvnytskyi1wins
1 of 6 to a deciderPriadko leads 5–1, and 1 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePriadko100%4 of 4
AwayIvnytskyin = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Priadko4Ivnytskyi2n = 6Priadko took 4 of 6
S2Priadko6Ivnytskyi0n = 6Priadko took 6 of 6
S3Priadko4Ivnytskyi2n = 6Priadko took 4 of 6
S4Priadko1Ivnytskyi2n = 3Ivnytskyi took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home350%
3–1Four sets, home117%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away117%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricPriadkoIvnytskyiP − IBasisWins51+4in 6 meetingsFirst set42+2of 6Avg pointsper match38.032.2+5.8per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPriadkoIvnytskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime105 / 225 vs 19 / 7746.7%24.7%105 / 225 vs 19 / 77Avg sets wonper match1.91.4per matchAvg pointsper match36.433.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PriadkoPriadko 1.17/Ivnytskyi 4.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
83.4%
Priadko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Ivnytskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WJul 18 · 11:00Y. Priadko—811115113V. Ivnytskyi—11691192
WJun 20 · 11:00Y. Priadko—11119113V. Ivnytskyi—791181
WMay 26 · 15:30Y. Priadko—1111143V. Ivnytskyi—95120
LMay 23 · 07:30Y. Priadko—9119101V. Ivnytskyi—11811123
WMar 7 · 12:00Y. Priadko—1111113V. Ivnytskyi—7760
WFeb 14 · 10:30Y. Priadko—1111103V. Ivnytskyi—7890
Y. Priadko10
LSep 5 · 10:30Y. Priadko2.631183121V. Ananiev1.4471111143LSep 5 · 09:00Y. Priadko4.50991181A. Fastov1.1711119113LSep 5 · 07:30Y. Priadko4.0091111101I. Serdiuk1.2211135123WSep 5 · 06:00Y. Priadko1.8014711133O. Kolos1.9112116111WSep 5 · 04:30Y. Priadko1.80111168113R. Boklah1.9198111142LAug 31 · 17:34V. Ivnytskyi3.00111146113Y. Priadko1.3668111182WAug 31 · 16:30Y. Priadko1.2851111123V. Klymenko3.501197101WAug 31 · 15:30Y. Priadko1.401111113D. Aldayev2.753760WAug 31 · 14:00Y. Priadko1.308121111113V. Ivnytskyi3.40111013772WAug 31 · 13:00Y. Priadko1.071111113M. Bukata7.506680
V. Ivnytskyi10
WAug 31 · 17:34V. Ivnytskyi3.00111146113Y. Priadko1.3668111182WAug 31 · 16:00V. Ivnytskyi1.5013611113M. Bukata2.501111891WAug 31 · 15:00V. Klymenko1.369840V. Ivnytskyi3.001111113LAug 31 · 14:00Y. Priadko1.308121111113V. Ivnytskyi3.40111013772WAug 31 · 12:30D. Aldayev1.6712991292V. Ivnytskyi2.1010111110113LAug 17 · 17:18V. Ivnytskyi2.75117110V. Klymenko1.401311133WAug 17 · 16:00V. Ivnytskyi2.751111113D. Aldayev1.408840LAug 17 · 15:00V. Klymenko1.368111110113V. Ivnytskyi3.0011891252LAug 17 · 12:30M. Bukata3.7511811123V. Ivnytskyi1.257118101LAug 10 · 17:13O. Kolos1.2091211113V. Ivnytskyi4.331110741
Upcoming Matches
Y. Priadko
V. Ivnytskyi
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.