TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12392788
Played Aug 10Finished
Oleksandr Kolos
Home
1.30
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118119119––––
Vasyl Laskavyi
Away
3.40
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:18 and never touched — 66.0% is still 66.0%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Kolos to win
66.0%
66.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Kolos above · Vasyl Laskavyi below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 59 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Oleksandr Kolos at 66.0%
59 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Kolos 10–2 Vasyl Laskavyi Vasyl Laskavyi has won 2 of their 12 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 23:18What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (72%)
Kolos
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-2 in 12
Kolos
Correct
gap of 8 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kolos 1109 vs Laskavyi 876
Kolos
Correct
both rated, 233 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolos 20% vs Laskavyi 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolos 30% vs Laskavyi 30%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolos -4 · Laskavyi +1
Kolos
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 81% — Strong (leans Kolos) · live re-read · sealed at 66% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kolos form (20%) is below what odds imply (77%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolos 1.30 / Laskavyi 3.40
Signal prob.81% / 19%
Edge (Kolos)+8.8pp
Setka Cup · #12392788
Kolos1.30
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite72% won 39 of 54
Up 2–0, closes it95% 19 of 20
Up 1–0, closes it88% 29 of 33
Laskavyi3.40
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog20% won 14 of 69
Down 0–1, comes back14% 6 of 42
Down 0–2, comes back11% 3 of 28
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKolos9wins
AwayLaskavyi1wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKolos leads 9–1, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKolos83.3%5 of 6
AwayLaskavyi0%0 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolos6Laskavyi4n = 10Kolos took 6 of 10
S2Kolos7Laskavyi3n = 10Kolos took 7 of 10
S3Kolos8Laskavyi2n = 10Kolos took 8 of 10
S4Kolos5Laskavyi3n = 8Kolos took 5 of 8
S5Kolos3Laskavyi1n = 4Kolos took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKolosLaskavyiK − LBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match42.635.6+7.0per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolosLaskavyiBasisWin rate · lifetime158 / 311 vs 22 / 8450.8%26.2%158 / 311 vs 22 / 84Avg sets wonper match2.01.5per matchAvg pointsper match36.335.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KolosKolos 1.30/Laskavyi 3.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
81.1%
Kolos · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kolos won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 3 · 15:00O. Kolos—11112972V. Laskavyi—971111113
WJul 11 · 10:00O. Kolos—111243V. Laskavyi—51020
WJul 6 · 14:30O. Kolos—11711133V. Laskavyi—6119111
WJul 1 · 12:30O. Kolos—11911113V. Laskavyi—811781
WJun 27 · 05:00O. Kolos—61111113V. Laskavyi—119411
WJun 20 · 09:30O. Kolos—1111113V. Laskavyi—6760
WJun 13 · 07:00O. Kolos—5121111133V. Laskavyi—1110135112
WMay 30 · 04:30O. Kolos—1311119113V. Laskavyi—15871152
WMay 23 · 05:00O. Kolos—111011113V. Laskavyi—612951
WMay 9 · 10:30O. Kolos—1111119113V. Laskavyi—13891162
O. Kolos10
WSep 5 · 11:30I. Serdiuk1.2588100O. Kolos3.751111123WSep 5 · 10:00O. Kolos3.00121399113R. Boklah1.361011111132WSep 5 · 08:00A. Fastov1.73931211102O. Kolos2.001111103123LSep 5 · 06:00Y. Priadko1.8014711133O. Kolos1.9112116111WSep 5 · 05:00V. Ananiev2.101111121262O. Kolos1.675131014113LAug 29 · 11:30O. Kolos4.503590S. Priadko1.171111113WAug 29 · 09:30A. Fastov1.8011237782O. Kolos1.919211111113LAug 29 · 07:30R. Boklah1.3611611113O. Kolos3.00811771LAug 29 · 06:30O. Kolos4.0013151081I. Torhachov1.22151312113LAug 29 · 05:30I. Serdiuk1.301111113O. Kolos3.405950
V. Laskavyi10
LAug 24 · 16:00D. Aldayev1.2012116113V. Laskavyi4.331091151LAug 24 · 14:30M. Bukata2.751111113V. Laskavyi1.408990WAug 24 · 13:00Y. Priadko1.36691171V. Laskavyi3.0011116113LAug 24 · 12:00O. Kolos1.221111113V. Laskavyi4.003640WAug 10 · 14:30V. Klymenko1.6111611542V. Laskavyi2.20911811113LAug 10 · 13:00V. Ivnytskyi2.25111112113V. Laskavyi1.57891491LAug 10 · 12:00A. Fastov1.17101111113V. Laskavyi4.50129761LAug 3 · 17:08V. Laskavyi1.50111161392V. Ivnytskyi2.50791115113LAug 3 · 16:00V. Laskavyi1.1711711892M. Bukata4.50611211113WAug 3 · 15:00O. Kolos1.2211112972V. Laskavyi4.00971111113
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