TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12392724
Played Aug 10Finished
Andrii Fastov
Home
1.17
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1012119117116––
Vasyl Laskavyi
Away
4.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:26 and never touched — 71.6% is still 71.6%
Graded at full timeAndrii Fastov to win
71.6%
71.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAndrii Fastov above · Vasyl Laskavyi below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 77 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Andrii Fastov at 71.6%
77 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Fastov 11–0 Vasyl Laskavyi Vasyl Laskavyi has won 0 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 23:26What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.17 (79%)
Fastov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-0 in 11
Fastov
Correct
gap of 11 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Fastov 1192 vs Laskavyi 877
Fastov
Correct
both rated, 315 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Fastov 40% vs Laskavyi 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Fastov 30% vs Laskavyi 20%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Fastov +2 · Laskavyi -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 95% — Strong (leans Fastov) · live re-read · sealed at 72% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Laskavyi form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (22%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFastov 1.17 / Laskavyi 4.50
Signal prob.95% / 5%
Edge (Fastov)+15.6pp
Setka Cup · #12392724
Fastov1.17
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite75% won 63 of 84
Up 2–0, closes it95% 40 of 42
Up 1–0, closes it93% 51 of 55
Laskavyi4.50
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog20% won 14 of 69
Down 0–1, comes back14% 6 of 42
Down 0–2, comes back11% 3 of 28
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeFastov10wins
AwayLaskavyi0wins
2 of 10 to a deciderFastov leads 10–0, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFastov100%8 of 8
AwayLaskavyin = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Fastov8Laskavyi2n = 10Fastov took 8 of 10
S2Fastov7Laskavyi3n = 10Fastov took 7 of 10
S3Fastov7Laskavyi3n = 10Fastov took 7 of 10
S4Fastov6Laskavyi0n = 6Fastov took 6 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricFastovLaskavyiF − LBasisWins100+10in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match40.131.0+9.1per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFastovLaskavyiBasisWin rate · lifetime97 / 192 vs 21 / 8150.5%25.9%97 / 192 vs 21 / 81Avg sets wonper match2.11.5per matchAvg pointsper match37.435.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FastovFastov 1.17/Laskavyi 4.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
95%
Fastov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Fastov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 27 · 15:00A. Fastov—11914143V. Laskavyi—91112121
WJul 25 · 09:30A. Fastov—1110511113V. Laskavyi—91211652
WJul 11 · 05:00A. Fastov—971111113V. Laskavyi—11117652
WJul 1 · 15:00A. Fastov—1111113V. Laskavyi—5780
WJun 27 · 08:00A. Fastov—111110113V. Laskavyi—381251
WJun 20 · 11:30A. Fastov—1111113V. Laskavyi—6550
WJun 13 · 08:00A. Fastov—1412113V. Laskavyi—121090
WMay 30 · 10:00A. Fastov—61111113V. Laskavyi—118971
WMay 23 · 10:00A. Fastov—1112113V. Laskavyi—41040
WMay 16 · 07:00A. Fastov—11114113V. Laskavyi—971181
A. Fastov10
LSep 5 · 11:00A. Fastov2.0014137882R. Boklah1.7312111111113WSep 5 · 09:00Y. Priadko4.50991181A. Fastov1.1711119113LSep 5 · 08:00A. Fastov1.73931211102O. Kolos2.001111103123WSep 5 · 07:00V. Ananiev2.6396111152A. Fastov1.44111198113LSep 5 · 05:30A. Fastov2.75137761I. Serdiuk1.40111111113WAug 29 · 10:30R. Boklah1.577870A. Fastov2.251111113LAug 29 · 09:30A. Fastov1.8011237782O. Kolos1.919211111113LAug 29 · 08:30A. Fastov3.4012961192I. Torhachov1.301011118113WAug 29 · 07:00A. Fastov3.401111411153I. Serdiuk1.30713118132WAug 29 · 05:00A. Fastov3.001111510113S. Priadko1.3699111292
V. Laskavyi10
LAug 24 · 16:00D. Aldayev1.2012116113V. Laskavyi4.331091151LAug 24 · 14:30M. Bukata2.751111113V. Laskavyi1.408990WAug 24 · 13:00Y. Priadko1.36691171V. Laskavyi3.0011116113LAug 24 · 12:00O. Kolos1.221111113V. Laskavyi4.003640LAug 10 · 16:00O. Kolos1.301111113V. Laskavyi3.408990WAug 10 · 14:30V. Klymenko1.6111611542V. Laskavyi2.20911811113LAug 10 · 13:00V. Ivnytskyi2.25111112113V. Laskavyi1.57891491LAug 3 · 17:08V. Laskavyi1.50111161392V. Ivnytskyi2.50791115113LAug 3 · 16:00V. Laskavyi1.1711711892M. Bukata4.50611211113WAug 3 · 15:00O. Kolos1.2211112972V. Laskavyi4.00971111113
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