TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12352390
Played Aug 3Finished
Oleksandr Kolos
Home
1.22
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
119117211911711
Vasyl Laskavyi
Away
4.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:32 and never touched — 87.1% is still 87.1%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Kolos to win
87.1%
87.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingOleksandr Kolos above · Vasyl Laskavyi below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 2-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 89 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Oleksandr Kolos at 87.1%
89 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Kolos 10–2 Vasyl Laskavyi Vasyl Laskavyi has won 2 of their 12 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:32What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.22 (77%)
Kolos
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-2 in 12
Kolos
Wrong
gap of 8 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kolos 1174 vs Laskavyi 906
Kolos
Wrong
both rated, 268 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolos 60% vs Laskavyi 20%
Kolos
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolos 70% vs Laskavyi 20%
Kolos
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolos +1 · Laskavyi +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 85% — Strong (leans Kolos) · live re-read · sealed at 87% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kolos form (60%) is below what odds imply (82%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolos 1.22 / Laskavyi 4.00
Signal prob.85% / 15%
Edge (Kolos)+8.8pp
Setka Cup · #12352390
Kolos1.22
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite76% won 37 of 49
Up 2–0, closes it100% 18 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it90% 28 of 31
Laskavyi4.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog19% won 13 of 67
Down 0–1, comes back13% 5 of 40
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 27
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKolos9wins
AwayLaskavyi1wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKolos leads 9–1, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKolos83.3%5 of 6
AwayLaskavyi0%0 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolos6Laskavyi4n = 10Kolos took 6 of 10
S2Kolos7Laskavyi3n = 10Kolos took 7 of 10
S3Kolos8Laskavyi2n = 10Kolos took 8 of 10
S4Kolos5Laskavyi3n = 8Kolos took 5 of 8
S5Kolos3Laskavyi1n = 4Kolos took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKolosLaskavyiK − LBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match42.635.6+7.0per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolosLaskavyiBasisWin rate · lifetime158 / 310 vs 21 / 7951%26.6%158 / 310 vs 21 / 79Avg sets wonper match2.01.5per matchAvg pointsper match36.135.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KolosKolos 1.22/Laskavyi 4.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
85.4%
Kolos · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Laskavyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 3 · 15:00O. Kolos—11112972V. Laskavyi—971111113
WJul 11 · 10:00O. Kolos—111243V. Laskavyi—51020
WJul 6 · 14:30O. Kolos—11711133V. Laskavyi—6119111
WJul 1 · 12:30O. Kolos—11911113V. Laskavyi—811781
WJun 27 · 05:00O. Kolos—61111113V. Laskavyi—119411
WJun 20 · 09:30O. Kolos—1111113V. Laskavyi—6760
WJun 13 · 07:00O. Kolos—5121111133V. Laskavyi—1110135112
WMay 30 · 04:30O. Kolos—1311119113V. Laskavyi—15871152
WMay 23 · 05:00O. Kolos—111011113V. Laskavyi—612951
WMay 9 · 10:30O. Kolos—1111119113V. Laskavyi—13891162
O. Kolos10
WSep 5 · 11:30I. Serdiuk1.2588100O. Kolos3.751111123WSep 5 · 10:00O. Kolos3.00121399113R. Boklah1.361011111132WSep 5 · 08:00A. Fastov1.73931211102O. Kolos2.001111103123LSep 5 · 06:00Y. Priadko1.8014711133O. Kolos1.9112116111WSep 5 · 05:00V. Ananiev2.101111121262O. Kolos1.675131014113LAug 29 · 11:30O. Kolos4.503590S. Priadko1.171111113WAug 29 · 09:30A. Fastov1.8011237782O. Kolos1.919211111113LAug 29 · 07:30R. Boklah1.3611611113O. Kolos3.00811771LAug 29 · 06:30O. Kolos4.0013151081I. Torhachov1.22151312113LAug 29 · 05:30I. Serdiuk1.301111113O. Kolos3.405950
V. Laskavyi10
LAug 24 · 16:00D. Aldayev1.2012116113V. Laskavyi4.331091151LAug 24 · 14:30M. Bukata2.751111113V. Laskavyi1.408990WAug 24 · 13:00Y. Priadko1.36691171V. Laskavyi3.0011116113LAug 24 · 12:00O. Kolos1.221111113V. Laskavyi4.003640LAug 10 · 16:00O. Kolos1.301111113V. Laskavyi3.408990WAug 10 · 14:30V. Klymenko1.6111611542V. Laskavyi2.20911811113LAug 10 · 13:00V. Ivnytskyi2.25111112113V. Laskavyi1.57891491LAug 10 · 12:00A. Fastov1.17101111113V. Laskavyi4.50129761LAug 3 · 17:08V. Laskavyi1.50111161392V. Ivnytskyi2.50791115113LAug 3 · 16:00V. Laskavyi1.1711711892M. Bukata4.50611211113
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