TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13006824
Played Aug 25Finished
Serhii Kryvoshyi
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1416311116611––
Dmytro Ponomarenko
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:11 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDmytro Ponomarenko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSerhii Kryvoshyi above · Dmytro Ponomarenko below
Set 1 · 14-16
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 78 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Dmytro Ponomarenko at 54.0%
78 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:11What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Ponomarenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Kryvoshyi 1297 vs Ponomarenko 1397
Ponomarenko
Correct
both rated, 100 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kryvoshyi 40% vs Ponomarenko 80%
Ponomarenko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kryvoshyi 40% vs Ponomarenko 70%
Ponomarenko
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kryvoshyi -1 · Ponomarenko +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Ponomarenko) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ponomarenko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKryvoshyi 1.83 / Ponomarenko 1.83
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Ponomarenko)+7.0pp
Setka Cup · #13006824
Kryvoshyi1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Ponomarenko1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricKryvoshyiPonomarenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime261 / 555 vs 27 / 6947%39.1%261 / 555 vs 27 / 69Avg sets wonper match1.91.7per matchAvg pointsper match35.736.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PonomarenkoKryvoshyi 1.83/Ponomarenko 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57%
Ponomarenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Ponomarenko won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
S. Kryvoshyi10
WSep 7 · 07:55O. Maksymkiv2.101021521S. Kryvoshyi1.67121113113LSep 7 · 05:55H. Oliynyk3.40812711113S. Kryvoshyi1.30111011772WSep 7 · 04:55M. Treschetka4.338670S. Kryvoshyi1.201111113LSep 6 · 18:25S. Kryvoshyi1.40881151O. Maksymkiv2.7511118113LSep 6 · 16:25O. Sapuzhak2.00111011113S. Kryvoshyi1.73812181LSep 6 · 15:25S. Kryvoshyi1.5341111752V. Kheresko2.38118811113WSep 6 · 14:25V. Salivonchyk4.0011115382S. Kryvoshyi1.22591111113WSep 6 · 12:55S. Kryvoshyi1.22111173M. Treschetka4.003520LSep 2 · 10:25S. Kryvoshyi2.0051111111A. Didyk1.7311134133LSep 2 · 08:55S. Kryvoshyi1.251011131062O. Maksymkiv3.751271112113
D. Ponomarenko10
WAug 26 · 09:55A. Didyk2.2564100D. Ponomarenko1.571111123WAug 26 · 08:55D. Ponomarenko1.671111113A. Didyk2.104760LAug 26 · 07:55D. Ponomarenko1.83611111072V. Kheresko1.83118812113LAug 26 · 06:25D. Ponomarenko1.578680R. Mazur2.251111113WAug 26 · 05:25D. Ponomarenko1.831111113D. Kozoriz1.836860LAug 25 · 18:55D. Ponomarenko1.91561131D. Kozoriz1.8011116113WAug 25 · 16:55A. Didyk1.8311116852D. Ponomarenko1.83491111113WAug 25 · 13:55D. Ponomarenko2.001111311113V. Kheresko1.7313611592WAug 25 · 12:55D. Kasian2.0011811562D. Ponomarenko1.73611811113LAug 9 · 17:40V. Ziakun3.5071111113D. Ponomarenko1.28113861
Upcoming Matches
S. Kryvoshyi
D. Ponomarenko
Nothing scheduled
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