TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13037673
Played Aug 29Finished
Yuriy Melnyk
Home
1.17
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 5
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117118117––––
Oleksandr Bolnyh
Away
4.50
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:32 and never touched — 54.5% is still 54.5%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Bolnyh to win
54.5%
54.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingYuriy Melnyk above · Oleksandr Bolnyh below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 55 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Oleksandr Bolnyh at 54.5%
55 points played in total.
H2H Yuriy Melnyk 1–0 Oleksandr Bolnyh Oleksandr Bolnyh has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:32What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.17 (79%)
Melnyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Melnyk 1070 vs Bolnyh 755
Melnyk
Correct
both rated, 316 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Melnyk 0% vs Bolnyh 20%
Bolnyh
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Melnyk 50% vs Bolnyh 30%
Melnyk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Melnyk -5 · Bolnyh -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 79% — Strong (leans Melnyk) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Melnyk form (0%) is below what odds imply (86%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMelnyk 1.17 / Bolnyh 4.50
Signal prob.79% / 21%
Edge (Melnyk)-0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13037673
Melnyk1.17
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite70% won 26 of 37
Up 2–0, closes it92% 12 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it81% 21 of 26
Bolnyh4.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog38% won 39 of 103
Down 0–1, comes back23% 14 of 61
Down 0–2, comes back8% 3 of 37
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeMelnyk1wins
AwayBolnyh0wins
Melnyk leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricMelnykBolnyhM − BBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match33.020.0+13.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMelnykBolnyhBasisWin rate · lifetime115 / 216 vs 76 / 16853.2%45.2%115 / 216 vs 76 / 168Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.036.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MelnykMelnyk 1.17/Bolnyh 4.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
79.4%
Melnyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Melnyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WMay 6 · 06:05Y. Melnyk—1111113O. Bolnyh—8570
Y. Melnyk10
WSep 2 · 18:25Y. Melnyk1.731111113V. Ivanytskyi2.006870LSep 2 · 16:25M. Treschetka1.401111113Y. Melnyk2.756650WSep 2 · 15:25Y. Melnyk1.801111113M. Dunas1.916860WSep 2 · 14:25A. Nikolenko1.80911761Y. Melnyk1.9111211113WSep 2 · 12:55Y. Melnyk2.75129117113O. Maslovskyi1.40101131172WAug 29 · 17:55Y. Melnyk1.251111118123Y. Shcherbak3.75136711102WAug 29 · 16:25Y. Melnyk1.671112113P. Chyzh2.1021070WAug 29 · 14:55Y. Melnyk1.171181211113V. Sydorchuk4.50131110732WAug 29 · 13:25Y. Melnyk1.2261111113P. Melnichuk4.00114771LJul 27 · 11:25O. Maslovskyi1.441111113Y. Melnyk2.634350
O. Bolnyh10
WSep 5 · 11:25O. Bolnyh1.8011113123V. Sydorchuk1.918911101WSep 5 · 09:25O. Kulbach5.005940O. Bolnyh1.141111113WSep 5 · 07:25M. Kornijchuk1.835670O. Bolnyh1.831111113WSep 5 · 06:25O. Bolnyh1.4411116113M. Senyk2.63771181WSep 5 · 05:25A. Lanchut8.00781171O. Bolnyh1.0611119113WAug 30 · 10:25O. Bolnyh3.25117119113P. Chyzh1.3391191132WAug 30 · 08:55O. Bolnyh1.91511911113V. Sydorchuk1.8011911662LAug 30 · 07:25O. Bolnyh4.506970V. Ivanytskyi1.171111113LAug 30 · 05:55O. Bolnyh4.50451151Y. Shcherbak1.1711113113LAug 30 · 04:25O. Bolnyh1.5711711352P. Melnichuk2.25611911113
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