TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13044706
Played Aug 30Finished
Oleksandr Bolnyh
Home
3.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
119711119911113
Pavlo Chyzh
Away
1.33
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:57 and never touched — 71.7% is still 71.7%
Graded at full timePavlo Chyzh to win
71.7%
71.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingOleksandr Bolnyh above · Pavlo Chyzh below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 11-3
Point 92 set 5, 11-3 — our read held Pavlo Chyzh at 71.7%
92 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Bolnyh 0–1 Pavlo Chyzh Oleksandr Bolnyh has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:57What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Chyzh
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Bolnyh 750 vs Chyzh 925
Chyzh
Wrong
both rated, 175 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bolnyh 20% vs Chyzh 40%
Chyzh
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bolnyh 30% vs Chyzh 30%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Bolnyh +1 · Chyzh +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 72% — Strong (leans Chyzh)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Chyzh form (40%) is below what odds imply (75%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBolnyh 3.25 / Chyzh 1.33
Signal prob.28% / 72%
Edge (Chyzh)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13044706
Bolnyh3.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog37% won 40 of 107
Down 0–1, comes back22% 14 of 63
Down 0–2, comes back8% 3 of 39
Chyzh1.33
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite51% won 32 of 63
Up 2–0, closes it100% 13 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it74% 20 of 27
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeBolnyh0wins
AwayChyzh1wins
Chyzh leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricBolnyhChyzhB − CBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match40.045.0−5.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBolnyhChyzhBasisWin rate · lifetime77 / 172 vs 82 / 20744.8%39.6%77 / 172 vs 82 / 207Avg sets wonper match1.91.7per matchAvg pointsper match36.735.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChyzhBolnyh 3.25/Chyzh 1.33
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
71.7%
Chyzh · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Bolnyh won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LAug 29 · 18:25O. Bolnyh—1198121P. Chyzh—91111143
O. Bolnyh10
WSep 5 · 11:25O. Bolnyh1.8011113123V. Sydorchuk1.918911101WSep 5 · 09:25O. Kulbach5.005940O. Bolnyh1.141111113WSep 5 · 07:25M. Kornijchuk1.835670O. Bolnyh1.831111113WSep 5 · 06:25O. Bolnyh1.4411116113M. Senyk2.63771181WSep 5 · 05:25A. Lanchut8.00781171O. Bolnyh1.0611119113WAug 30 · 08:55O. Bolnyh1.91511911113V. Sydorchuk1.8011911662LAug 30 · 07:25O. Bolnyh4.506970V. Ivanytskyi1.171111113LAug 30 · 05:55O. Bolnyh4.50451151Y. Shcherbak1.1711113113LAug 30 · 04:25O. Bolnyh1.5711711352P. Melnichuk2.25611911113LAug 29 · 18:25P. Chyzh1.4491111143O. Bolnyh2.631198121
P. Chyzh10
WAug 30 · 09:25P. Chyzh2.25713119113V. Ivanytskyi1.57111151192LAug 30 · 08:25P. Chyzh1.3312681182P. Melnichuk3.251011119113LAug 30 · 06:55P. Chyzh1.731111951V. Sydorchuk2.0013911113LAug 30 · 04:55P. Chyzh2.00119591Y. Shcherbak1.7371111113WAug 29 · 18:25P. Chyzh1.4491111143O. Bolnyh2.631198121LAug 29 · 16:25Y. Melnyk1.671112113P. Chyzh2.1021070WAug 29 · 15:25P. Chyzh1.40101111113P. Melnichuk2.75129891LAug 29 · 14:25Y. Shcherbak2.101314113P. Chyzh1.67111270LAug 29 · 12:55P. Chyzh1.44881141V. Sydorchuk2.6311115113LAug 11 · 11:25P. Chyzh1.919139101V. Ivanytskyi1.80111111123
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